Check historical price trends and seasonality for Pinnacle West (PNW).
Pinnacle West (PNW) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.78%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +1.96%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Pinnacle West (PNW) exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline into January, bottoming around January 12 with an average decrease of -1.8%. From there, it enters a strong bullish phase, climbing steadily through the spring and summer, peaking around August 1 with an average increase of +7.5%. After August, the stock experiences a pullback before recovering into the end of the year, reaching +3.7% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip occurs in January, particularly around January 12, presenting a potential buying opportunity after a period of weakness. Another pullback period appears after the August peak, as the stock consolidates some of its gains. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after a strong summer run. A final, smaller buying opportunity may arise in late December before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to PNW would involve accumulating shares in January around January 12 to capitalize on the typical low point. Consider trimming positions after the peak around August 1 to lock in profits from the summer rally. Re-entering the market in late December could position investors for further gains into the year-end.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 86.4400 | 2025-03-16 | 93.7100 | 7.2700 | 8.41 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 69.8600 | 2024-03-15 | 70.9800 | 1.1200 | 1.60 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 93.2400 | 2020-03-15 | 81.5700 | -11.6700 | -12.52 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 84.7700 | 2019-03-16 | 96.1500 | 11.3800 | 13.42 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 78.8600 | 2018-03-16 | 77.9700 | -0.8900 | -1.13 |
| Avg | 82.6340 | 84.0760 | 1.44 | 1.96 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.20% | Feb Total +0.11% | Mar Total +5.28% | Apr Total -0.43% | May Total +1.48% | Jun Total -0.60% | Jul Total +2.63% | Aug Total -2.25% | Sep Total -2.41% | Oct Total +0.69% | Nov Total +3.12% | Dec Total -1.66% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.22% | -0.55% | -0.63% | -0.32% | +0.69% | +0.38% | -0.27% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.50% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | -0.42% | +0.40% | +1.30% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.37% | +0.25% | +0.04% | +0.36% | -0.12% | -0.23% | -0.02% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | -0.25% | +0.07% | +0.52% | -0.65% | +0.29% | +0.31% | +0.07% | -0.46% | -0.16% | +0.31% | +0.34% | -0.06% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.17% | +0.98% | -0.49% | +0.55% | -0.25% | 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.13% | +0.38% | -0.24% | +0.15% |
| 5 Avg -0.05% | -0.25% | -0.11% | +0.09% | +0.35% | -0.08% | +0.20% | -0.05% | -0.77% | -0.37% | 0.00% | +0.47% | -0.12% |
| 6 Avg +0.21% | +0.52% | -0.19% | -0.11% | +1.11% | -0.16% | -0.03% | +0.14% | +0.54% | +0.08% | +0.09% | +0.24% | +0.35% |
| 7 Avg -0.17% | -0.25% | -0.06% | +0.30% | -0.62% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -0.38% | +0.08% | +0.15% | -0.85% | -0.37% | +0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | +0.19% | -0.48% | +0.31% | +0.70% | -0.21% | +0.09% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.17% | -0.29% | +0.15% | -0.18% |
| 9 Avg -0.03% | -0.33% | +0.15% | -0.58% | +0.73% | 0.00% | -0.20% | -0.19% | +0.27% | -0.51% | -0.07% | +0.52% | -0.18% |
| 10 Avg +0.09% | -0.23% | +0.30% | +0.31% | -0.45% | +0.38% | -0.15% | +0.48% | +0.05% | -0.25% | +0.32% | +0.53% | -0.22% |
| 11 Avg -0.14% | -0.46% | -0.03% | -0.93% | +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.64% | +0.39% | -0.32% | +0.09% | +0.20% | -0.09% | -0.06% |
| 12 Avg -0.15% | -0.34% | +0.11% | -0.95% | +0.07% | -0.55% | +0.42% | -0.18% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.38% | -0.05% | -0.02% |
| 13 Avg +0.15% | +0.44% | +0.13% | +0.60% | -0.35% | +0.18% | -0.34% | -0.15% | -0.01% | -0.13% | +0.43% | +0.23% | +0.75% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.37% | +0.46% | +0.34% | -0.21% | +0.01% | +0.27% | -0.31% | +0.35% | +0.09% | +0.52% | -0.75% |
| 15 Avg +0.24% | +0.49% | +0.45% | +0.79% | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.46% | -0.05% | +0.10% | -0.19% | +0.17% | +0.62% | +0.04% |
| 16 Avg -0.08% | +0.13% | +0.16% | -1.56% | -0.27% | +0.05% | -0.35% | +0.50% | +0.16% | 0.00% | +0.35% | -0.02% | -0.12% |
| 17 Avg +0.12% | +0.27% | +0.28% | +1.10% | +0.62% | -0.15% | -0.63% | +0.57% | -0.11% | +0.08% | +0.19% | -0.57% | -0.18% |
| 18 Avg -0.21% | -0.56% | +0.33% | -1.49% | +0.01% | +0.25% | -0.54% | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.13% | +0.24% | -0.27% | -0.56% |
| 19 Avg +0.07% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.59% | +0.21% | -0.10% | -0.15% | -0.26% | +0.25% | -0.04% | +0.33% | -0.06% | -0.18% |
| 20 Avg -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.01% | -0.13% | -0.54% | +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.08% | -0.17% | +0.04% | -0.18% | +0.01% | -0.13% |
| 21 Avg +0.05% | +0.12% | +0.47% | +0.12% | -0.50% | -0.17% | +0.22% | +0.15% | -0.20% | +0.08% | +0.07% | +0.42% | -0.20% |
| 22 Avg +0.12% | -0.18% | +0.12% | -0.41% | +0.34% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.59% | -0.14% | -0.05% | +0.34% | +0.56% | +0.28% |
| 23 Avg -0.05% | +0.20% | +0.59% | -0.45% | -0.24% | +0.11% | -0.15% | -0.20% | -0.24% | -0.22% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.04% |
| 24 Avg +0.25% | +0.17% | -0.45% | +1.73% | +0.44% | +0.58% | +0.44% | -0.36% | -0.05% | +0.10% | +0.65% | +0.11% | -0.38% |
| 25 Avg +0.10% | +0.33% | +0.74% | +0.34% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.14% | -0.24% | +0.22% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.08% | -0.04% | -1.31% | +1.08% | -0.47% | +0.51% | +0.04% | +0.46% | -0.66% | -0.69% | -0.04% | +0.14% | +0.01% |
| 27 Avg -0.09% | +0.11% | -0.73% | +0.20% | +0.19% | +0.09% | +0.19% | -0.21% | -0.03% | -0.60% | -0.22% | +0.02% | -0.05% |
| 28 Avg -0.10% | +0.08% | -0.70% | +0.22% | -0.14% | -0.11% | -0.16% | -0.16% | -0.13% | +0.02% | -0.58% | +0.30% | +0.10% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | -0.18% | - | +0.55% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.13% | +0.44% | +0.18% | -0.41% | -0.30% | -0.01% | +0.37% |
| 30 Avg -0.02% | +0.21% | - | +0.08% | -0.29% | +0.25% | +0.66% | -0.33% | -0.50% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.26% | 0.00% |
| 31 Avg +0.02% | -0.16% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.39% | - | +0.08% | -0.04% | - | -0.26% | - | +0.12% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
