Check historical price trends and seasonality for Philip Morris International (PM).
Philip Morris International (PM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +8.29%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +1.50%.
4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.
1) Overview:
The strongest bullish phase for Philip Morris International typically occurs from early January through late February, showing a consistent upward trend, culminating in gains of +7.7% by February 28. After this peak, the stock experiences a bearish phase throughout March, declining to +7.8% by March 31. A consolidation period follows, with moderate gains until August, leading to a significant bullish surge, peaking at +12.9% by August 21. The year concludes with a final gain of +8.2% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on historical averages, potential buying opportunities arise during pullback periods. One such period appears in March, after the strong gains in January and February, presenting a chance to buy as the stock corrects. Another possible entry point could be in late August, after the peak of +12.9% on August 21, as the stock tends to consolidate gains. These pullbacks may be attributed to profit-taking after periods of strong performance.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Philip Morris International could involve entering positions during the pullback in March or after August 21, capitalizing on seasonal weakness. The strongest period for holding the stock appears to be from late February through August 21, and again in December. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for optimal entry and exit points.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 119.8000 | 2025-01-22 | 122.8900 | 3.0900 | 2.58 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 94.5100 | 2024-01-22 | 92.4300 | -2.0800 | -2.20 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 88.5600 | 2020-01-22 | 88.9800 | 0.4200 | 0.47 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 70.7500 | 2019-01-22 | 72.8100 | 2.0600 | 2.91 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 104.8700 | 2018-01-22 | 108.8100 | 3.9400 | 3.76 |
| Avg | 95.6980 | 97.1840 | 1.49 | 1.50 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.28% | Feb Total +3.88% | Mar Total +0.41% | Apr Total +0.98% | May Total +0.25% | Jun Total +0.57% | Jul Total +2.63% | Aug Total -1.37% | Sep Total -3.29% | Oct Total +0.84% | Nov Total +0.98% | Dec Total -0.22% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.37% | +0.06% | -0.41% | +0.06% | -0.21% | -0.19% | +0.17% | +0.16% | -0.21% | +0.58% |
| 2 Avg +0.14% | +0.19% | +0.01% | +0.76% | +0.16% | -0.41% | +0.40% | +0.22% | +0.13% | +0.25% | -0.30% | +0.06% | +0.17% |
| 3 Avg +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.35% | +0.37% | +0.22% | +0.18% | +0.57% | +0.41% | -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.38% | +0.07% | +0.05% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | +0.13% | +0.44% | +0.16% | -0.65% | +0.17% | +0.19% | 0.00% | -0.20% | -0.06% | +0.70% | +0.21% | -0.19% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | +0.25% | -0.42% | +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.22% | -0.25% | +0.08% | -0.81% | -0.22% | +0.28% | +0.35% | +0.06% |
| 6 Avg +0.16% | +0.54% | +1.31% | +0.09% | +0.66% | +0.07% | +0.09% | -0.43% | +0.27% | +0.16% | -0.19% | -0.74% | +0.08% |
| 7 Avg +0.07% | -0.06% | +0.28% | -0.96% | -0.06% | -0.17% | +0.30% | +0.40% | +0.39% | +0.02% | +0.22% | +0.39% | +0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | +0.33% | +0.57% | +0.52% | +0.17% | +0.02% | +0.04% | -0.33% | -0.05% | -0.25% | -0.09% | +0.37% | +0.07% |
| 9 Avg +0.01% | -0.14% | +0.07% | -0.51% | +0.56% | +0.20% | -0.50% | -0.30% | +0.08% | +0.15% | +0.60% | -0.41% | +0.33% |
| 10 Avg +0.16% | -0.47% | +0.36% | +0.16% | -0.26% | +0.18% | -0.21% | +0.87% | 0.00% | +0.20% | +0.50% | +0.51% | +0.08% |
| 11 Avg +0.10% | +0.44% | +0.17% | -0.47% | +0.19% | +0.10% | +0.16% | +0.27% | +0.13% | +0.27% | -0.27% | +0.10% | +0.17% |
| 12 Avg -0.05% | -0.19% | +0.67% | -1.00% | +0.06% | -0.53% | -0.40% | +0.27% | +0.02% | +0.45% | +0.06% | -0.29% | +0.26% |
| 13 Avg +0.06% | +0.08% | +0.26% | +1.05% | -0.12% | -0.24% | -0.45% | -0.29% | +0.06% | -0.77% | +0.31% | +0.18% | +0.64% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | +0.14% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.68% | -0.03% | +0.28% | +0.27% | -0.21% | 0.00% | -0.18% | -0.25% | -0.41% |
| 15 Avg +0.27% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.46% | +0.07% | +0.44% | +0.52% | +0.05% | +0.58% | -0.12% | +0.11% | +0.45% | +0.34% |
| 16 Avg +0.15% | +0.13% | +0.34% | -1.19% | +0.35% | +0.43% | +0.41% | +0.15% | +0.46% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.24% | +0.50% |
| 17 Avg +0.22% | +0.59% | +0.44% | +1.09% | +0.78% | -0.09% | +0.05% | -0.14% | -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.21% |
| 18 Avg -0.21% | -0.18% | -0.24% | -1.11% | -0.07% | -0.16% | -0.45% | +0.55% | -0.02% | -0.55% | +0.51% | +0.21% | -1.06% |
| 19 Avg -0.25% | +0.74% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -1.48% | -0.37% | -0.19% | -0.04% | +0.08% | +0.08% | -0.90% | -0.31% | -0.50% |
| 20 Avg -0.28% | -0.02% | +0.12% | -0.93% | -0.93% | +0.40% | +0.22% | -0.57% | -0.07% | +0.06% | -0.33% | -0.12% | -1.13% |
| 21 Avg +0.05% | +0.24% | +0.60% | -0.38% | -0.54% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.99% | +0.12% | +0.03% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.46% |
| 22 Avg -0.08% | -0.15% | +0.06% | -0.78% | +0.04% | +0.16% | -0.13% | -0.66% | -0.49% | -0.26% | +1.32% | -0.09% | 0.00% |
| 23 Avg +0.07% | +0.11% | +0.50% | -1.06% | +0.52% | +0.55% | +0.40% | +0.19% | -0.33% | -0.29% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.28% |
| 24 Avg -0.04% | -0.40% | -0.81% | +0.81% | +0.64% | +0.34% | -0.53% | -0.18% | -0.29% | -0.20% | +0.20% | -0.02% | -0.02% |
| 25 Avg +0.08% | +0.41% | +0.17% | +0.25% | -0.33% | -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.23% | -0.15% | +0.39% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.08% | +0.37% | -0.50% | +1.15% | -0.26% | +0.20% | -0.37% | +0.29% | -0.57% | -0.73% | -0.30% | -0.13% | -0.09% |
| 27 Avg -0.15% | -0.07% | -0.55% | +0.09% | +0.19% | +0.16% | -0.08% | +0.38% | -0.67% | -0.31% | -1.11% | -0.07% | +0.23% |
| 28 Avg +0.15% | +0.53% | -0.55% | +0.38% | +0.46% | -0.46% | +0.28% | 0.00% | +0.62% | +0.09% | +0.17% | +0.29% | -0.05% |
| 29 Avg +0.03% | -0.17% | - | +0.51% | -0.01% | -0.30% | -0.09% | +0.80% | +0.02% | -0.69% | -0.05% | +0.05% | +0.22% |
| 30 Avg -0.06% | +0.02% | - | +0.54% | -0.13% | +0.02% | +0.24% | -0.07% | -0.06% | -0.68% | +0.05% | -0.32% | -0.26% |
| 31 Avg -0.19% | -0.07% | - | +0.17% | - | -0.36% | - | -0.44% | -0.24% | - | -0.38% | - | +0.02% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
