Check historical price trends and seasonality for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG).
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +15.30%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is +4.91%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year. The stock price tends to increase steadily from early in the year, experiencing significant gains from November through December. The bullish phase culminates around December 1, with an average increase of +17.6%. However, there is a notable bearish period around March 23, with an average decrease of -1.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises around March 23, as the stock tends to experience a pullback of -1.8% on average. This dip could be a strategic entry point, anticipating a rebound in the following weeks. Another potential, though less pronounced, pullback occurs around the end of February.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality data, a potential investment strategy for PKG involves capitalizing on the dip around March 23, followed by holding the stock through the bullish period leading up to December. Consider that seasonality is just one factor and should be combined with other technical and fundamental analysis before making investment decisions. The strong performance in December, peaking around December 1 (+17.6%) and remaining high through December 31 (+15.3%), suggests a favorable period for realizing gains.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 209.4100 | 2025-05-01 | 183.3700 | -26.0400 | -12.43 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 142.3400 | 2023-05-01 | 138.1500 | -4.1900 | -2.94 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 148.6500 | 2022-05-01 | 161.1700 | 12.5200 | 8.42 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 136.5100 | 2021-05-01 | 147.6500 | 11.1400 | 8.16 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 90.9000 | 2020-05-01 | 94.7500 | 3.8500 | 4.24 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 93.7400 | 2017-05-01 | 98.6300 | 4.8900 | 5.22 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 52.4400 | 2016-05-01 | 64.8800 | 12.4400 | 23.72 |
| Avg | 124.8557 | 126.9429 | 2.09 | 4.91 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.65% | Feb Total -1.40% | Mar Total +3.18% | Apr Total +2.61% | May Total +0.62% | Jun Total -0.98% | Jul Total +4.82% | Aug Total +2.97% | Sep Total -0.32% | Oct Total -0.19% | Nov Total +5.72% | Dec Total -2.01% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.22% | 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.98% | +0.15% | -0.16% | +0.78% | +1.03% | -0.52% | +0.57% | -0.44% | +0.35% | +0.10% |
| 2 Avg +0.04% | +0.34% | -0.20% | +0.87% | -0.34% | -0.12% | +0.25% | -0.10% | -0.22% | +0.24% | +0.11% | -0.09% | -0.23% |
| 3 Avg +0.11% | -0.13% | +0.10% | -0.02% | -0.64% | +0.50% | +0.61% | +0.52% | +0.23% | -0.70% | -0.29% | +0.81% | +0.31% |
| 4 Avg +0.19% | +0.97% | -0.06% | +0.45% | -0.60% | +0.58% | +0.41% | 0.00% | -0.33% | +0.27% | +0.60% | +0.01% | -0.07% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | +0.13% | +0.34% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.33% | +0.36% | -0.72% | -0.49% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.89% | -0.22% |
| 6 Avg +0.14% | +0.33% | +0.20% | -0.45% | +0.70% | -0.05% | +0.70% | +0.49% | +0.26% | -0.07% | -0.27% | -0.15% | 0.00% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.20% | -0.25% | -0.19% | -0.58% | +0.10% | +0.42% | +0.40% | +0.15% | +0.35% | +0.02% | +0.18% | -0.05% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | +0.37% | -0.58% | -0.15% | +0.37% | +0.49% | -0.27% | -0.11% | +0.47% | -0.25% | -0.42% | -0.06% | -0.09% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | -0.42% | +0.06% | +0.50% | +1.14% | -0.23% | -0.70% | +0.08% | +0.12% | -0.09% | -0.63% | +0.02% | -0.62% |
| 10 Avg +0.17% | +0.30% | -0.31% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.44% | -0.66% | +0.85% | +0.37% | +0.37% | -0.17% | +0.85% | +0.04% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +0.56% | -0.80% | -0.30% | +0.26% | -0.28% | -0.65% | -0.29% | +0.48% | +0.85% | +0.08% | +0.36% | +0.30% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.61% | -1.02% | +0.18% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.55% | -0.11% | +0.56% | +0.26% | -0.39% | -0.16% |
| 13 Avg -0.06% | -0.07% | +0.23% | +0.56% | +0.05% | -0.69% | -1.21% | +0.03% | +0.33% | -0.28% | -0.05% | +0.14% | +0.23% |
| 14 Avg -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.08% | -0.14% | +0.10% | +0.62% | -0.50% | +0.19% | -0.16% | -0.37% | +0.17% | +0.54% | -0.48% |
| 15 Avg -0.12% | +0.34% | +0.47% | -0.68% | -0.39% | -0.56% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.56% | +0.01% | -0.20% | +0.03% | -0.01% |
| 16 Avg +0.11% | -0.23% | +0.42% | +0.08% | -0.45% | +0.51% | -0.08% | +0.80% | +0.77% | -0.97% | +0.30% | +0.19% | -0.04% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +1.93% | +0.81% | +0.08% | -0.86% | -0.26% | -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.15% | +0.20% | -1.09% |
| 18 Avg -0.10% | -0.16% | -0.20% | -0.36% | +0.16% | -0.51% | -0.01% | -0.16% | -0.07% | +0.29% | +0.09% | -0.18% | -0.04% |
| 19 Avg -0.07% | -0.26% | -0.35% | -0.41% | +0.51% | -0.43% | +0.03% | +0.31% | +0.25% | +0.60% | -0.62% | -0.25% | -0.22% |
| 20 Avg -0.16% | +0.10% | +0.18% | +0.21% | -0.33% | -0.34% | +0.22% | -0.13% | -0.04% | -0.57% | -0.57% | -0.39% | -0.23% |
| 21 Avg +0.01% | -0.32% | -0.28% | +0.02% | -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.08% | +0.35% | +0.36% | -0.63% | +0.54% | +0.35% | -0.28% |
| 22 Avg -0.08% | +0.29% | +0.10% | -0.94% | +0.20% | -0.13% | -0.22% | +0.24% | -0.15% | -0.40% | -0.22% | +0.17% | +0.08% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | +0.25% | +0.08% | -1.66% | -0.18% | -0.18% | +0.25% | +0.29% | -0.16% | +0.11% | +1.00% | +0.15% | +0.35% |
| 24 Avg +0.11% | +0.28% | +0.09% | +0.85% | +0.28% | +0.45% | -0.28% | +0.14% | +0.31% | -0.05% | -0.54% | +0.05% | -0.29% |
| 25 Avg +0.15% | -0.59% | +0.09% | +0.58% | -0.82% | +0.09% | -0.36% | +1.14% | +0.80% | +0.23% | +0.49% | +0.17% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.33% | +0.49% | +0.20% | +1.84% | +0.02% | +0.75% | +0.26% | -0.57% | -0.12% | -0.26% | +0.24% | +0.43% | +0.72% |
| 27 Avg +0.25% | +0.26% | -0.52% | -0.40% | +1.39% | +0.96% | -0.46% | +0.61% | +0.40% | +0.33% | -0.05% | +0.09% | +0.37% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | -0.46% | -0.68% | +0.23% | +1.06% | -0.51% | +0.03% | -0.21% | +0.30% | +0.45% | +0.45% | +0.03% | -0.58% |
| 29 Avg +0.05% | -0.47% | - | +0.52% | +0.45% | -0.32% | +0.60% | +0.01% | +0.30% | -0.72% | -0.57% | +0.71% | +0.05% |
| 30 Avg +0.01% | -0.96% | - | +0.60% | -0.79% | +0.17% | +0.23% | -0.27% | +0.47% | -0.12% | +0.36% | +0.52% | -0.07% |
| 31 Avg -0.11% | +0.25% | - | -0.12% | - | -0.38% | - | -0.38% | -0.36% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.21% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
