Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG).

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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +15.30%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 60 days) is +6.12%.

6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year. The stock price tends to increase steadily from early in the year, experiencing significant gains from November through December. The bullish phase culminates around December 1, with an average increase of +17.6%. However, there is a notable bearish period around March 23, with an average decrease of -1.8%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buying opportunity arises around March 23, as the stock tends to experience a pullback of -1.8% on average. This dip could be a strategic entry point, anticipating a rebound in the following weeks. Another potential, though less pronounced, pullback occurs around the end of February.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality data, a potential investment strategy for PKG involves capitalizing on the dip around March 23, followed by holding the stock through the bullish period leading up to December. Consider that seasonality is just one factor and should be combined with other technical and fundamental analysis before making investment decisions. The strong performance in December, peaking around December 1 (+17.6%) and remaining high through December 31 (+15.3%), suggests a favorable period for realizing gains.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-07-17 202.2400 2025-09-14 215.1500 12.9100 6.38
2024 2024-07-17 191.5600 2024-09-14 210.2700 18.7100 9.77
2023 2023-07-17 133.9900 2023-09-14 150.7500 16.7600 12.51
2020 2020-07-17 104.7100 2020-09-14 105.9300 1.2200 1.17
2019 2019-07-17 97.9900 2019-09-14 108.3700 10.3800 10.59
2018 2018-07-17 114.6700 2018-09-14 114.4600 -0.2100 -0.18
2017 2017-07-17 112.8400 2017-09-14 115.8000 2.9600 2.62
Avg 136.8571 145.8186 8.96 6.12
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.65% Feb Total -1.40% Mar Total +3.18% Apr Total +2.61% May Total +0.62% Jun Total -0.98% Jul Total +4.82% Aug Total +2.97% Sep Total -0.32% Oct Total -0.19% Nov Total +5.72% Dec Total -2.01%
1 Avg +0.22% 0.00% -0.21% +0.98% +0.15% -0.16% +0.78% +1.03% -0.52% +0.57% -0.44% +0.35% +0.10%
2 Avg +0.04% +0.34% -0.20% +0.87% -0.34% -0.12% +0.25% -0.10% -0.22% +0.24% +0.11% -0.09% -0.23%
3 Avg +0.11% -0.13% +0.10% -0.02% -0.64% +0.50% +0.61% +0.52% +0.23% -0.70% -0.29% +0.81% +0.31%
4 Avg +0.19% +0.97% -0.06% +0.45% -0.60% +0.58% +0.41% 0.00% -0.33% +0.27% +0.60% +0.01% -0.07%
5 Avg -0.01% +0.13% +0.34% -0.11% +0.04% -0.33% +0.36% -0.72% -0.49% -0.01% -0.03% +0.89% -0.22%
6 Avg +0.14% +0.33% +0.20% -0.45% +0.70% -0.05% +0.70% +0.49% +0.26% -0.07% -0.27% -0.15% 0.00%
7 Avg +0.03% -0.20% -0.25% -0.19% -0.58% +0.10% +0.42% +0.40% +0.15% +0.35% +0.02% +0.18% -0.05%
8 Avg -0.02% +0.37% -0.58% -0.15% +0.37% +0.49% -0.27% -0.11% +0.47% -0.25% -0.42% -0.06% -0.09%
9 Avg -0.07% -0.42% +0.06% +0.50% +1.14% -0.23% -0.70% +0.08% +0.12% -0.09% -0.63% +0.02% -0.62%
10 Avg +0.17% +0.30% -0.31% -0.03% -0.02% +0.44% -0.66% +0.85% +0.37% +0.37% -0.17% +0.85% +0.04%
11 Avg +0.05% +0.56% -0.80% -0.30% +0.26% -0.28% -0.65% -0.29% +0.48% +0.85% +0.08% +0.36% +0.30%
12 Avg +0.03% -0.14% +0.61% -1.02% +0.18% -0.09% +0.15% +0.55% -0.11% +0.56% +0.26% -0.39% -0.16%
13 Avg -0.06% -0.07% +0.23% +0.56% +0.05% -0.69% -1.21% +0.03% +0.33% -0.28% -0.05% +0.14% +0.23%
14 Avg -0.02% -0.12% -0.08% -0.14% +0.10% +0.62% -0.50% +0.19% -0.16% -0.37% +0.17% +0.54% -0.48%
15 Avg -0.12% +0.34% +0.47% -0.68% -0.39% -0.56% +0.09% -0.02% -0.56% +0.01% -0.20% +0.03% -0.01%
16 Avg +0.11% -0.23% +0.42% +0.08% -0.45% +0.51% -0.08% +0.80% +0.77% -0.97% +0.30% +0.19% -0.04%
17 Avg +0.06% -0.08% -0.02% +1.93% +0.81% +0.08% -0.86% -0.26% -0.10% -0.05% +0.15% +0.20% -1.09%
18 Avg -0.10% -0.16% -0.20% -0.36% +0.16% -0.51% -0.01% -0.16% -0.07% +0.29% +0.09% -0.18% -0.04%
19 Avg -0.07% -0.26% -0.35% -0.41% +0.51% -0.43% +0.03% +0.31% +0.25% +0.60% -0.62% -0.25% -0.22%
20 Avg -0.16% +0.10% +0.18% +0.21% -0.33% -0.34% +0.22% -0.13% -0.04% -0.57% -0.57% -0.39% -0.23%
21 Avg +0.01% -0.32% -0.28% +0.02% -0.11% +0.20% -0.08% +0.35% +0.36% -0.63% +0.54% +0.35% -0.28%
22 Avg -0.08% +0.29% +0.10% -0.94% +0.20% -0.13% -0.22% +0.24% -0.15% -0.40% -0.22% +0.17% +0.08%
23 Avg +0.03% +0.25% +0.08% -1.66% -0.18% -0.18% +0.25% +0.29% -0.16% +0.11% +1.00% +0.15% +0.35%
24 Avg +0.11% +0.28% +0.09% +0.85% +0.28% +0.45% -0.28% +0.14% +0.31% -0.05% -0.54% +0.05% -0.29%
25 Avg +0.15% -0.59% +0.09% +0.58% -0.82% +0.09% -0.36% +1.14% +0.80% +0.23% +0.49% +0.17% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.33% +0.49% +0.20% +1.84% +0.02% +0.75% +0.26% -0.57% -0.12% -0.26% +0.24% +0.43% +0.72%
27 Avg +0.25% +0.26% -0.52% -0.40% +1.39% +0.96% -0.46% +0.61% +0.40% +0.33% -0.05% +0.09% +0.37%
28 Avg +0.01% -0.46% -0.68% +0.23% +1.06% -0.51% +0.03% -0.21% +0.30% +0.45% +0.45% +0.03% -0.58%
29 Avg +0.05% -0.47% - +0.52% +0.45% -0.32% +0.60% +0.01% +0.30% -0.72% -0.57% +0.71% +0.05%
30 Avg +0.01% -0.96% - +0.60% -0.79% +0.17% +0.23% -0.27% +0.47% -0.12% +0.36% +0.52% -0.07%
31 Avg -0.11% +0.25% - -0.12% - -0.38% - -0.38% -0.36% - 0.00% - +0.21%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jul 17 - Aug 15] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses