Check historical price trends and seasonality for PHPJPY (PHPJPY=X).
PHPJPY (PHPJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +0.61%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -1.67%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The PHPJPY pair exhibits a generally bearish trend from January through early August. The most significant downward pressure occurs around August 6, with an average decline of -2.6%. A bullish phase typically begins in late October, gaining momentum through November, culminating around November 25 with an average increase of +1.0%. The pair tends to consolidate through December, showing a slight positive bias, ending the year on December 31 with an average gain of +0.5%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several periods present potential buying opportunities. The most pronounced dip occurs around August 6, with an average decline of -2.6%, offering a significant entry point. Another potential entry point exists in mid-March, where the currency pair experiences a dip of -1.8% around March 13. These pullbacks could be considered strategic entry points, anticipating a rebound towards the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to PHPJPY would involve considering entry points during periods of weakness, particularly around August 6. Investors should be aware of the historical tendency for the pair to appreciate towards the end of the year, with a notable rise around November 25. Monitoring global economic factors and geopolitical events is crucial to validate these seasonal trends.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 2.6619 | 2025-03-16 | 2.5723 | -0.0896 | -3.37 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 2.6136 | 2024-03-15 | 2.6702 | 0.0566 | 2.17 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 2.3243 | 2023-03-16 | 2.4147 | 0.0904 | 3.89 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 2.1590 | 2020-03-15 | 2.0357 | -0.1233 | -5.71 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 2.0824 | 2019-03-16 | 2.0849 | 0.0025 | 0.12 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 2.1894 | 2018-03-16 | 2.0344 | -0.1550 | -7.08 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 2.2918 | 2017-03-16 | 2.2526 | -0.0392 | -1.71 |
| Avg | 2.3318 | 2.2950 | -0.04 | -1.67 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.05% | Feb Total -0.25% | Mar Total +0.88% | Apr Total +0.12% | May Total +0.35% | Jun Total +0.10% | Jul Total -1.27% | Aug Total -0.07% | Sep Total +0.01% | Oct Total +1.62% | Nov Total +0.91% | Dec Total -0.11% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.47% | 0.00% | -0.19% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.08% | +0.13% | +0.13% |
| 2 Avg -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.27% | +0.27% | -0.17% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.02% | -0.28% | -0.19% | -0.13% | -0.05% | -0.22% |
| 3 Avg 0.00% | -0.13% | -0.14% | +0.14% | +0.14% | -0.18% | -0.13% | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.24% | +0.16% | -0.08% | -0.10% |
| 4 Avg -0.05% | +0.06% | -0.05% | -0.03% | -0.17% | -0.06% | +0.24% | +0.12% | -0.28% | -0.10% | +0.06% | +0.06% | -0.51% |
| 5 Avg +0.03% | +0.16% | +0.31% | +0.18% | -0.11% | -0.17% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.26% | +0.09% | -0.04% | -0.02% | +0.27% |
| 6 Avg -0.04% | -0.13% | +0.13% | -0.54% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.32% | -0.32% | -0.09% | +0.46% | +0.06% | +0.24% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | +0.02% | -0.25% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.02% | +0.12% | -0.18% | +0.24% | -0.03% | +0.18% | -0.11% | +0.05% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.23% | -0.16% | -0.02% | +0.11% | +0.16% | -0.05% | +0.14% | +0.17% | +0.06% | +0.26% | -0.07% |
| 9 Avg -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.14% | -0.01% | -0.23% | +0.18% | -0.04% | +0.02% | +0.12% | -0.36% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.08% |
| 10 Avg -0.01% | -0.27% | +0.01% | +0.01% | +0.02% | -0.04% | -0.16% | -0.03% | +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.16% | +0.28% | 0.00% |
| 11 Avg +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.14% | -0.04% | +0.23% | +0.30% | -0.15% | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.14% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.13% | -0.17% | +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.05% | -0.09% | +0.12% |
| 13 Avg -0.05% | -0.33% | +0.11% | -0.32% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.33% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.07% | -0.02% |
| 14 Avg 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.16% | +0.21% | -0.03% | -0.30% | -0.12% | +0.24% | +0.09% | +0.21% | +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.29% |
| 15 Avg +0.01% | -0.14% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.01% | +0.14% | +0.11% | +0.12% | -0.14% | -0.15% | -0.03% | +0.15% | +0.23% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | -0.05% | +0.34% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.25% | -0.07% | -0.13% | -0.19% | -0.12% | +0.11% | +0.20% |
| 17 Avg -0.14% | -0.02% | -0.18% | +0.04% | -0.10% | +0.07% | -0.24% | -0.12% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.26% | -1.29% | -0.07% |
| 18 Avg +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.20% | +0.18% | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.09% | -0.14% | +0.13% | +0.06% | +1.41% | -0.12% |
| 19 Avg +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.18% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.21% |
| 20 Avg +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.14% | +0.11% | +0.27% | -0.29% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.07% | -0.10% | +0.54% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | -0.16% | +0.22% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.11% | -0.26% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.10% | -0.37% |
| 22 Avg -0.04% | -0.04% | -0.09% | +0.13% | -0.19% | -0.30% | +0.02% | -0.19% | +0.14% | -0.15% | +0.13% | -0.02% | +0.13% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.06% | +0.39% | +0.25% | -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.14% | +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.13% |
| 24 Avg -0.07% | -0.17% | -0.20% | -0.14% | +0.14% | -0.27% | -0.20% | -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.18% | +0.10% |
| 25 Avg +0.05% | +0.11% | +0.08% | +0.22% | +0.29% | -0.11% | -0.01% | -0.02% | +0.28% | -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.20% | -0.21% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.17% | -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.01% | -0.02% | +0.13% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.11% | +0.03% | -0.26% | +0.23% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | +0.24% | +0.06% | +0.16% | -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.23% | -0.22% | -0.21% | -0.14% | -0.01% | +0.16% | +0.16% |
| 28 Avg +0.04% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.30% | +0.36% | +0.17% | -0.30% | +0.06% | +0.14% | -0.20% | -0.06% | -0.11% |
| 29 Avg +0.07% | +0.04% | - | +0.47% | -0.17% | +0.21% | +0.17% | -0.05% | +0.26% | +0.23% | -0.02% | -0.29% | -0.09% |
| 30 Avg +0.01% | -0.04% | - | -0.23% | +0.14% | -0.28% | +0.21% | -0.03% | +0.17% | -0.01% | +0.05% | +0.16% | +0.03% |
| 31 Avg +0.02% | -0.17% | - | +0.07% | - | +0.03% | - | -0.13% | +0.01% | - | +0.53% | - | -0.23% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
