Check historical price trends and seasonality for PulteGroup (PHM).
PulteGroup (PHM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +27.47%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -9.39%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
PulteGroup (PHM) exhibits a strong upward trend throughout the year, with a notable bullish phase starting in January and extending through the summer. From January 2nd to August 16th, the stock tends to rise from -0.4% to +20.7%. A period of consolidation and slight pullback occurs from late August through October. The stock then enters another strong bullish phase from November through December, culminating in significant gains by December 14th (+29.5%) and December 31st (+27.4%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity appears around March 23rd, where the stock tends to experience a pullback of -1.7%. This dip is typically followed by a rebound in late March. Another potential buying opportunity arises during the late August through October consolidation period, as the stock prepares for its final bullish run of the year.
3) Summary:
Seasonally, PulteGroup tends to perform well, especially during the first half and end of the year. Investors might consider initiating positions in late March following the dip or during the late summer/early fall consolidation phase to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. The strongest seasonal performance is observed in December, suggesting that holding through year-end could be beneficial.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 116.9300 | 2025-03-16 | 102.9400 | -13.9900 | -11.96 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 104.1200 | 2024-03-15 | 110.9000 | 6.7800 | 6.51 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 41.6600 | 2020-03-15 | 30.5300 | -11.1300 | -26.72 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 27.3700 | 2019-03-16 | 26.8700 | -0.5000 | -1.83 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 33.7600 | 2018-03-16 | 29.3800 | -4.3800 | -12.97 |
| Avg | 64.7680 | 60.1240 | -4.64 | -9.39 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +5.14% | Feb Total -2.99% | Mar Total -0.59% | Apr Total +5.86% | May Total +2.84% | Jun Total +1.14% | Jul Total +8.02% | Aug Total +2.09% | Sep Total -2.33% | Oct Total -0.88% | Nov Total +7.78% | Dec Total -0.65% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.28% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.74% | -0.71% | -0.57% | +0.56% | +0.80% | +0.81% | +0.42% | +0.41% | +0.80% | -0.14% |
| 2 Avg -0.05% | -0.18% | +0.32% | +0.95% | -1.07% | +0.58% | +0.66% | -0.02% | -1.13% | -0.20% | -0.15% | -0.19% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg +0.00% | +0.41% | -0.67% | -0.18% | -0.81% | +0.78% | +0.20% | -0.13% | +0.05% | -0.64% | +0.12% | +0.21% | +0.70% |
| 4 Avg +0.24% | +0.41% | -0.75% | +0.74% | +0.52% | +0.67% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.55% | +0.22% | +0.65% | +0.98% | -1.09% |
| 5 Avg +0.10% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.42% | -0.28% | +0.73% | +0.07% | +0.03% | -0.32% | +0.05% | +0.71% | -0.48% |
| 6 Avg -0.03% | -0.61% | -0.56% | +0.05% | +1.11% | -0.44% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.07% | -0.18% | -0.68% | +0.84% |
| 7 Avg +0.14% | -0.19% | -0.02% | -0.25% | -0.28% | +0.30% | +0.44% | +0.51% | +0.25% | -0.08% | -0.76% | +0.43% | +1.33% |
| 8 Avg +0.20% | +0.15% | -0.70% | +0.43% | +0.58% | +0.71% | +0.19% | +0.67% | +0.61% | -0.50% | +0.33% | -0.22% | +0.18% |
| 9 Avg -0.04% | +0.21% | +0.45% | -0.12% | +1.03% | +0.23% | -0.26% | +0.11% | -0.57% | -0.22% | -0.51% | -0.65% | -0.22% |
| 10 Avg +0.21% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.37% | -0.60% | +0.14% | -0.32% | +1.22% | +0.14% | -0.30% | -0.34% | +2.17% | +0.10% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | +1.32% | -0.62% | -1.20% | +0.72% | -0.80% | -1.41% | +0.39% | +0.18% | +0.84% | +0.06% | +0.32% | -0.18% |
| 12 Avg -0.01% | +0.29% | +0.75% | -1.56% | +0.01% | -0.39% | +1.02% | +0.73% | +0.11% | +0.28% | -0.59% | -0.71% | -0.02% |
| 13 Avg -0.15% | +0.79% | -0.18% | -0.04% | -0.18% | -0.08% | -1.07% | -0.53% | +0.53% | -0.96% | -0.29% | +0.38% | -0.10% |
| 14 Avg +0.09% | +0.05% | +0.12% | -1.10% | +0.42% | -0.07% | -0.32% | +0.47% | -0.08% | +0.15% | +0.63% | +0.77% | +0.10% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | +0.46% | +0.49% | +0.69% | -0.76% | +0.14% | +0.50% | -0.36% | +0.03% | -0.50% | +0.18% | -0.32% | +0.20% |
| 16 Avg -0.05% | -0.37% | -0.37% | -1.68% | +0.11% | +0.39% | -0.81% | +1.18% | +0.34% | +0.37% | +0.41% | +0.48% | -0.70% |
| 17 Avg -0.03% | +0.05% | -0.67% | +0.18% | +1.11% | +0.23% | -0.12% | +0.05% | -1.09% | -0.21% | -0.01% | +0.15% | +0.02% |
| 18 Avg -0.16% | -0.57% | -0.29% | -1.91% | +0.38% | +0.50% | -0.64% | +0.09% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.59% | +0.09% | -0.18% |
| 19 Avg -0.15% | -0.11% | +0.04% | +0.20% | -0.10% | -0.24% | -0.48% | +0.35% | +0.01% | +0.70% | -1.35% | +0.17% | -0.98% |
| 20 Avg -0.06% | +0.61% | +0.22% | +0.15% | -0.74% | +0.16% | +0.58% | -0.36% | -0.05% | -1.29% | -0.26% | +0.19% | +0.13% |
| 21 Avg +0.11% | +0.37% | -0.32% | -0.35% | -0.29% | +0.15% | +0.25% | +1.04% | +0.96% | -0.62% | -0.57% | +0.40% | +0.31% |
| 22 Avg +0.25% | +1.19% | +0.10% | -0.01% | +0.60% | -0.55% | +0.04% | +1.92% | +0.40% | +0.46% | -1.62% | +0.51% | +0.01% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | -0.12% | +0.03% | -1.73% | +1.00% | -0.77% | +0.88% | -0.31% | +0.35% | -0.34% | +1.25% | +0.85% | -0.73% |
| 24 Avg +0.53% | +0.92% | +0.17% | +2.75% | +1.39% | +0.63% | -0.37% | -0.25% | +0.07% | +0.07% | +0.93% | -0.29% | +0.31% |
| 25 Avg +0.26% | -0.25% | -0.18% | +1.32% | +0.15% | +0.72% | -1.18% | +0.60% | +0.26% | -0.20% | +0.34% | +1.54% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.16% | +0.13% | -0.14% | +1.37% | +0.51% | +0.94% | -0.07% | -0.08% | -0.95% | -0.36% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.54% |
| 27 Avg +0.22% | -0.02% | -0.38% | +0.20% | +1.27% | +1.06% | +0.18% | +0.25% | +0.13% | +0.15% | -0.33% | -0.10% | +0.25% |
| 28 Avg +0.11% | +0.22% | -0.19% | +0.01% | +1.12% | -1.09% | +0.46% | -0.30% | -0.20% | +1.09% | +0.50% | -0.05% | -0.27% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | -0.52% | - | +0.38% | +0.13% | -0.17% | +0.77% | +0.59% | +0.25% | -0.26% | -1.11% | +0.23% | +0.20% |
| 30 Avg -0.10% | +0.09% | - | -0.36% | -1.16% | +0.23% | +0.49% | -0.31% | +0.20% | -0.12% | +0.69% | -0.46% | -0.42% |
| 31 Avg -0.14% | +0.50% | - | -0.80% | - | -0.27% | - | -0.27% | -0.04% | - | +0.10% | - | -0.22% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
