Check historical price trends and seasonality for Progressive Corporation (PGR).
Progressive Corporation (PGR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +23.24%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 30 days) is +8.50%.
5 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.
1) Overview:
Progressive Corporation (PGR) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with a gradual climb in January and February, reaching a peak around December. The stock generally increases from January 1st, gaining momentum through February, reaching +7.4% by February 28th, and continuing to rise to +19.4% by September 30th. The strongest period of growth appears in November, leading to a peak around December 15th at +23.3%, followed by a slight consolidation period towards the end of December, holding steady at +23.2% on December 31st.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While PGR generally trends upward, there are minor pullback periods that could present buying opportunities. One potential dip occurs in early April, around April 4th, from +12.8% to +11.3%. Another pullback appears in June, around June 11th, from +15.5% to +12.5%. These dips are relatively short-lived, with the stock typically rebounding quickly, making them attractive entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the overall bullish trend.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a generally positive investment strategy for PGR, with a strong upward trend throughout the year. Investors might consider initiating positions during the minor pullbacks in April or June to capitalize on the overall bullish momentum. The strongest returns are typically seen towards the end of the year, making December 15th a key date to monitor.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 245.5400 | 2025-02-14 | 262.6000 | 17.0600 | 6.95 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 168.5700 | 2024-02-14 | 187.9500 | 19.3800 | 11.50 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 75.4400 | 2020-02-14 | 83.7700 | 8.3300 | 11.04 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 62.6000 | 2019-02-14 | 70.7100 | 8.1100 | 12.96 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 56.2700 | 2018-02-14 | 56.3000 | 0.0300 | 0.05 |
| Avg | 121.6840 | 132.2660 | 10.58 | 8.50 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.57% | Feb Total +3.55% | Mar Total +4.49% | Apr Total +0.34% | May Total +2.09% | Jun Total -0.29% | Jul Total +0.56% | Aug Total +4.28% | Sep Total +0.19% | Oct Total -0.71% | Nov Total +3.66% | Dec Total +0.93% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.72% | +0.01% | +0.28% | -0.27% | +0.23% | +0.35% | -0.02% | -0.07% | -0.29% | -0.01% | +0.23% |
| 2 Avg +0.13% | +0.11% | +0.07% | +1.09% | +0.28% | -0.60% | +0.52% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.05% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.05% |
| 3 Avg +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.22% | +0.38% | +0.52% | +0.18% | -0.22% | +0.23% | +0.73% | -0.18% | +0.37% | 0.00% | -0.37% |
| 4 Avg +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.20% | +0.36% | -1.29% | +0.48% | +0.26% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.33% | +0.68% | +0.06% | +0.09% |
| 5 Avg +0.12% | +0.19% | +0.15% | +0.40% | +0.21% | +0.41% | +0.52% | -0.17% | -0.17% | -0.77% | +0.21% | +0.73% | -0.24% |
| 6 Avg +0.24% | +0.67% | +0.40% | +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.01% | +0.15% | +0.65% | +0.34% | -0.22% | +0.97% | -0.04% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.40% | +0.31% | -0.13% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.32% | -0.21% | +0.13% | +0.10% | -0.24% | +1.18% | -0.04% |
| 8 Avg +0.16% | +0.25% | -0.47% | -0.04% | +0.20% | +0.34% | -0.06% | -0.14% | +0.28% | +0.29% | +0.12% | +0.83% | +0.29% |
| 9 Avg -0.04% | +0.08% | +0.21% | -0.59% | +0.44% | -0.02% | -0.70% | +0.16% | +0.54% | -0.17% | +0.48% | -0.85% | -0.05% |
| 10 Avg +0.04% | -0.09% | -0.05% | +0.49% | +0.52% | +0.37% | -0.80% | +0.36% | -0.18% | -0.24% | -0.49% | +0.76% | -0.17% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | +0.24% | +0.29% | -0.17% | -0.31% | -0.48% | -0.78% | -0.19% | -0.09% | +0.56% | -0.07% | -0.13% | +0.08% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | +0.19% | +0.32% | -0.54% | +0.13% | -0.20% | -0.28% | -0.21% | -0.16% | +0.37% | -0.07% | +0.35% | +0.73% |
| 13 Avg -0.05% | -0.03% | +0.70% | +1.11% | -1.17% | -0.18% | +0.15% | -1.50% | +0.12% | -0.55% | +0.91% | -0.13% | +0.02% |
| 14 Avg -0.05% | -0.01% | +0.83% | +0.72% | -0.14% | +0.17% | -0.45% | +0.46% | +0.13% | +0.01% | -0.45% | -1.14% | -0.67% |
| 15 Avg +0.24% | +0.43% | +0.64% | +0.16% | +0.13% | +0.74% | +0.59% | +0.05% | +0.31% | -0.26% | -0.86% | -0.13% | +1.06% |
| 16 Avg +0.23% | +0.22% | +0.17% | +0.06% | +0.70% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.13% | +1.36% | -0.09% | +0.37% | +0.15% | -0.34% |
| 17 Avg +0.17% | +0.10% | +0.10% | +0.67% | +0.45% | +0.69% | -0.24% | +0.75% | +0.16% | +0.09% | +0.15% | -0.30% | -0.53% |
| 18 Avg -0.11% | +0.12% | +0.30% | -0.82% | -0.56% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.38% | +0.13% | +0.63% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -0.31% |
| 19 Avg -0.12% | -0.19% | -0.08% | -1.14% | +0.41% | -0.76% | +0.11% | -0.59% | +0.27% | +0.63% | +0.17% | -0.38% | +0.14% |
| 20 Avg +0.07% | +0.08% | -0.17% | +0.44% | +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.68% | +0.25% | +0.10% | -0.60% | +0.04% | -0.06% |
| 21 Avg +0.04% | -0.24% | +0.29% | +0.25% | -0.57% | +0.03% | +0.29% | -0.06% | -0.10% | -0.24% | +0.23% | +0.40% | +0.15% |
| 22 Avg -0.03% | -0.25% | +0.12% | -0.54% | -0.14% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.28% | -0.22% | -0.12% | -0.08% | +0.53% | +0.20% |
| 23 Avg -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.22% | -0.21% | +0.18% | -0.18% | +0.17% | -0.13% | -0.50% | -0.62% | -0.37% | +0.25% | +0.08% |
| 24 Avg +0.09% | +0.62% | -0.28% | +0.69% | -0.12% | +0.23% | +0.14% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.32% | -0.21% |
| 25 Avg +0.18% | +0.68% | +0.61% | +0.57% | +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.09% | +0.01% | +0.04% | +0.26% | -0.11% | +0.29% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.03% | -0.29% | -0.12% | +1.07% | -0.34% | +0.11% | -0.40% | +0.33% | +0.02% | -0.50% | -0.17% | +0.34% | +0.35% |
| 27 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.35% | -0.27% | +0.05% | +0.75% | +0.23% | -0.06% | +0.27% | -0.17% | -0.41% | -0.25% | +0.46% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.38% | -0.36% | +0.47% | +0.28% | -0.08% | +0.05% | -0.21% | -0.12% | +0.30% | +0.01% | +0.31% | -0.15% |
| 29 Avg +0.14% | +0.34% | - | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.20% | +0.51% | -0.01% | -0.18% | +0.30% | +0.18% |
| 30 Avg +0.18% | +0.44% | - | +0.36% | -0.14% | +0.64% | +0.81% | -0.14% | -0.25% | +0.10% | +0.26% | 0.00% | -0.16% |
| 31 Avg -0.02% | -0.08% | - | -0.52% | - | -0.07% | - | +0.34% | +0.01% | - | +0.08% | - | +0.14% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
