Progressive Corporation (PGR) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Progressive Corporation (PGR).

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Progressive Corporation (PGR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +23.24%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 8 for 60 days) is +10.21%.

8 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Progressive Corporation (PGR) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Progressive Corporation (PGR) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with a gradual climb in January and February, reaching a peak around December. The stock generally increases from January 1st, gaining momentum through February, reaching +7.4% by February 28th, and continuing to rise to +19.4% by September 30th. The strongest period of growth appears in November, leading to a peak around December 15th at +23.3%, followed by a slight consolidation period towards the end of December, holding steady at +23.2% on December 31st.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While PGR generally trends upward, there are minor pullback periods that could present buying opportunities. One potential dip occurs in early April, around April 4th, from +12.8% to +11.3%. Another pullback appears in June, around June 11th, from +15.5% to +12.5%. These dips are relatively short-lived, with the stock typically rebounding quickly, making them attractive entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the overall bullish trend.

3) Summary:

The seasonality data suggests a generally positive investment strategy for PGR, with a strong upward trend throughout the year. Investors might consider initiating positions during the minor pullbacks in April or June to capitalize on the overall bullish momentum. The strongest returns are typically seen towards the end of the year, making December 15th a key date to monitor.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2024 2024-02-08 182.9600 2024-04-07 211.0000 28.0400 15.33
2023 2023-02-08 138.3700 2023-04-08 147.2900 8.9200 6.45
2022 2022-02-08 109.2000 2022-04-08 118.5100 9.3100 8.53
2021 2021-02-08 86.1700 2021-04-08 94.9800 8.8100 10.22
2019 2019-02-08 68.3600 2019-04-08 72.0100 3.6500 5.34
2018 2018-02-08 51.0700 2018-04-08 60.0400 8.9700 17.56
2017 2017-02-08 36.9700 2017-04-08 39.2900 2.3200 6.28
2016 2016-02-08 30.7300 2016-04-07 34.4100 3.6800 11.98
Avg 87.9788 97.1913 9.21 10.21
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +3.57% Feb Total +3.55% Mar Total +4.49% Apr Total +0.34% May Total +2.09% Jun Total -0.29% Jul Total +0.56% Aug Total +4.28% Sep Total +0.19% Oct Total -0.71% Nov Total +3.66% Dec Total +0.93%
1 Avg -0.02% 0.00% -0.72% +0.01% +0.28% -0.27% +0.23% +0.35% -0.02% -0.07% -0.29% -0.01% +0.23%
2 Avg +0.13% +0.11% +0.07% +1.09% +0.28% -0.60% +0.52% -0.02% +0.05% -0.05% -0.02% +0.07% +0.05%
3 Avg +0.15% -0.04% +0.22% +0.38% +0.52% +0.18% -0.22% +0.23% +0.73% -0.18% +0.37% 0.00% -0.37%
4 Avg +0.11% +0.02% +0.20% +0.36% -1.29% +0.48% +0.26% 0.00% +0.10% +0.33% +0.68% +0.06% +0.09%
5 Avg +0.12% +0.19% +0.15% +0.40% +0.21% +0.41% +0.52% -0.17% -0.17% -0.77% +0.21% +0.73% -0.24%
6 Avg +0.24% +0.67% +0.40% +0.09% 0.00% -0.08% -0.01% +0.15% +0.65% +0.34% -0.22% +0.97% -0.04%
7 Avg +0.03% -0.40% +0.31% -0.13% +0.04% -0.02% -0.32% -0.21% +0.13% +0.10% -0.24% +1.18% -0.04%
8 Avg +0.16% +0.25% -0.47% -0.04% +0.20% +0.34% -0.06% -0.14% +0.28% +0.29% +0.12% +0.83% +0.29%
9 Avg -0.04% +0.08% +0.21% -0.59% +0.44% -0.02% -0.70% +0.16% +0.54% -0.17% +0.48% -0.85% -0.05%
10 Avg +0.04% -0.09% -0.05% +0.49% +0.52% +0.37% -0.80% +0.36% -0.18% -0.24% -0.49% +0.76% -0.17%
11 Avg -0.09% +0.24% +0.29% -0.17% -0.31% -0.48% -0.78% -0.19% -0.09% +0.56% -0.07% -0.13% +0.08%
12 Avg +0.05% +0.19% +0.32% -0.54% +0.13% -0.20% -0.28% -0.21% -0.16% +0.37% -0.07% +0.35% +0.73%
13 Avg -0.05% -0.03% +0.70% +1.11% -1.17% -0.18% +0.15% -1.50% +0.12% -0.55% +0.91% -0.13% +0.02%
14 Avg -0.05% -0.01% +0.83% +0.72% -0.14% +0.17% -0.45% +0.46% +0.13% +0.01% -0.45% -1.14% -0.67%
15 Avg +0.24% +0.43% +0.64% +0.16% +0.13% +0.74% +0.59% +0.05% +0.31% -0.26% -0.86% -0.13% +1.06%
16 Avg +0.23% +0.22% +0.17% +0.06% +0.70% -0.01% 0.00% +0.13% +1.36% -0.09% +0.37% +0.15% -0.34%
17 Avg +0.17% +0.10% +0.10% +0.67% +0.45% +0.69% -0.24% +0.75% +0.16% +0.09% +0.15% -0.30% -0.53%
18 Avg -0.11% +0.12% +0.30% -0.82% -0.56% +0.09% +0.02% -0.38% +0.13% +0.63% -0.26% -0.24% -0.31%
19 Avg -0.12% -0.19% -0.08% -1.14% +0.41% -0.76% +0.11% -0.59% +0.27% +0.63% +0.17% -0.38% +0.14%
20 Avg +0.07% +0.08% -0.17% +0.44% +0.15% +0.03% -0.09% +0.68% +0.25% +0.10% -0.60% +0.04% -0.06%
21 Avg +0.04% -0.24% +0.29% +0.25% -0.57% +0.03% +0.29% -0.06% -0.10% -0.24% +0.23% +0.40% +0.15%
22 Avg -0.03% -0.25% +0.12% -0.54% -0.14% -0.08% -0.06% +0.28% -0.22% -0.12% -0.08% +0.53% +0.20%
23 Avg -0.09% +0.04% +0.22% -0.21% +0.18% -0.18% +0.17% -0.13% -0.50% -0.62% -0.37% +0.25% +0.08%
24 Avg +0.09% +0.62% -0.28% +0.69% -0.12% +0.23% +0.14% +0.07% +0.01% +0.10% +0.14% -0.32% -0.21%
25 Avg +0.18% +0.68% +0.61% +0.57% +0.09% -0.14% -0.09% +0.01% +0.04% +0.26% -0.11% +0.29% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.03% -0.29% -0.12% +1.07% -0.34% +0.11% -0.40% +0.33% +0.02% -0.50% -0.17% +0.34% +0.35%
27 Avg +0.02% 0.00% -0.35% -0.27% +0.05% +0.75% +0.23% -0.06% +0.27% -0.17% -0.41% -0.25% +0.46%
28 Avg +0.07% +0.38% -0.36% +0.47% +0.28% -0.08% +0.05% -0.21% -0.12% +0.30% +0.01% +0.31% -0.15%
29 Avg +0.14% +0.34% - +0.07% +0.04% +0.01% +0.11% +0.20% +0.51% -0.01% -0.18% +0.30% +0.18%
30 Avg +0.18% +0.44% - +0.36% -0.14% +0.64% +0.81% -0.14% -0.25% +0.10% +0.26% 0.00% -0.16%
31 Avg -0.02% -0.08% - -0.52% - -0.07% - +0.34% +0.01% - +0.08% - +0.14%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Feb 8 - Mar 9] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses