Check historical price trends and seasonality for Paccar (PCAR).
Paccar (PCAR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.82%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.23%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Paccar (PCAR) exhibits a strong upward trend throughout the year, with a particularly bullish phase from January through February. Starting in January, the stock tends to climb steadily, reaching a gain of +7.3% by February 22. After a period of consolidation through the spring and summer, the stock enters another strong bullish phase in the fall, culminating in substantial gains in December, with an average increase of +18.0% by December 11 and +14.8% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities may arise during pullback periods in March and May. From February 22 to March 23, there is a tendency for the stock to decline, presenting a possible entry point after the initial bullish run. Another potential dip occurs in May, where the stock price tends to decrease from April 28 to May 24. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after initial rallies, offering strategic entry points before the stock resumes its upward trajectory.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Paccar (PCAR) based on seasonality would involve accumulating shares during the pullback periods in March and May. Given the strong performance in December, particularly around December 11 (+18.0%) and December 31 (+14.8%), investors should consider holding through year-end to capitalize on these gains. However, it's important to consider broader market conditions and company-specific news when making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 109.4800 | 2025-03-16 | 99.2100 | -10.2700 | -9.38 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 94.0500 | 2024-03-15 | 118.3300 | 24.2800 | 25.82 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 52.3733 | 2020-03-15 | 43.4200 | -8.9533 | -17.10 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 40.0400 | 2019-03-16 | 45.1000 | 5.0600 | 12.64 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 50.6467 | 2018-03-16 | 45.1600 | -5.4867 | -10.83 |
| Avg | 69.3180 | 70.2440 | 0.93 | 0.23 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +5.39% | Feb Total +0.04% | Mar Total -0.42% | Apr Total -0.64% | May Total -0.97% | Jun Total +1.83% | Jul Total +4.17% | Aug Total -1.35% | Sep Total +1.07% | Oct Total +1.61% | Nov Total +6.09% | Dec Total -0.95% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.62% | +0.45% | -0.51% | -0.36% | +0.59% | +0.23% | -1.34% | +0.26% | -0.39% | +0.60% | -0.03% |
| 2 Avg +0.00% | +0.30% | -0.36% | +0.35% | -0.27% | -0.25% | +0.34% | -0.14% | -0.72% | -0.04% | +0.14% | +0.47% | +0.20% |
| 3 Avg +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.20% | +0.32% | -0.54% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.16% | -0.75% | +0.80% | +0.37% | +0.15% |
| 4 Avg +0.18% | +0.82% | +0.81% | -1.00% | -0.33% | -0.03% | +0.66% | 0.00% | -0.23% | +0.35% | +1.05% | +0.10% | 0.00% |
| 5 Avg +0.14% | -0.07% | -0.25% | +0.19% | -0.16% | -0.07% | +0.83% | -0.79% | -0.24% | +0.17% | +0.71% | +1.03% | +0.27% |
| 6 Avg +0.28% | +1.05% | +0.10% | +0.42% | +0.32% | -0.08% | +0.94% | +0.14% | +0.25% | -0.07% | -0.19% | +0.44% | +0.04% |
| 7 Avg -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.60% | -0.61% | -0.41% | +0.26% | -0.08% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.17% | -0.20% | +0.09% | +0.52% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | +0.15% | -0.61% | -0.38% | +0.01% | +0.36% | +0.49% | +0.27% | +0.39% | -0.32% | -0.05% | +0.22% | +0.18% |
| 9 Avg +0.04% | -0.49% | +0.84% | -0.11% | +0.59% | +0.30% | -0.26% | +0.23% | -0.43% | +0.72% | -0.25% | -0.22% | -0.38% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | -0.15% | -0.31% | +0.46% | +0.05% | +0.13% | -0.89% | +0.69% | -0.12% | +0.22% | -0.69% | +1.16% | +0.44% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | +0.43% | -0.25% | -0.56% | +0.37% | -0.69% | -0.71% | -0.08% | +0.40% | +0.43% | +0.17% | -0.11% | +0.25% |
| 12 Avg +0.10% | +0.16% | +0.46% | -0.95% | +0.46% | -0.05% | +0.28% | +0.71% | -0.01% | +0.54% | -0.28% | -0.12% | 0.00% |
| 13 Avg -0.07% | +0.53% | +0.16% | +0.64% | -0.08% | -0.42% | -0.44% | -0.01% | +0.22% | -0.51% | -0.20% | -0.12% | -0.64% |
| 14 Avg +0.16% | +0.77% | +0.33% | +0.28% | +0.17% | +0.15% | -0.39% | +0.11% | -0.17% | +0.74% | +0.53% | +0.19% | -0.79% |
| 15 Avg +0.17% | -0.42% | +0.63% | +0.45% | -0.18% | +0.36% | +0.73% | +0.33% | +0.10% | -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.03% |
| 16 Avg +0.03% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.56% | +0.24% | -0.05% | -0.39% | +0.46% | +0.26% | -0.25% | +0.40% | +0.34% | -0.34% |
| 17 Avg -0.14% | +0.17% | +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.41% | -0.03% | -0.34% | -0.19% | -0.33% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.74% | -0.68% |
| 18 Avg -0.08% | +0.06% | -0.26% | -0.71% | -0.14% | -0.54% | -0.12% | +0.32% | +0.22% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.13% | -0.10% |
| 19 Avg -0.08% | -0.15% | +0.03% | -0.24% | -0.25% | -0.36% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.26% | +0.23% | -0.36% | -0.35% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | +0.05% | +0.22% | -0.61% | +0.15% | -0.26% | -0.10% | +0.34% | -0.19% | -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.11% | -0.14% |
| 21 Avg +0.20% | +0.93% | -0.30% | +0.17% | -0.13% | +0.08% | -0.21% | +0.34% | +0.04% | -0.65% | +0.65% | +1.20% | +0.25% |
| 22 Avg +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.42% | -0.96% | -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.86% | +0.16% | +0.16% | +0.18% | +0.69% | -0.03% |
| 23 Avg -0.18% | +0.63% | -0.42% | -1.28% | +0.25% | -0.12% | +0.17% | -0.66% | -0.27% | -0.06% | -0.77% | +0.42% | -0.01% |
| 24 Avg +0.22% | +1.02% | -0.22% | +1.62% | +0.46% | +0.21% | -0.33% | +0.78% | +0.13% | -0.59% | -0.19% | -0.15% | -0.08% |
| 25 Avg +0.06% | +0.40% | -0.47% | +0.61% | -0.52% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.06% | +0.10% | -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.28% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.23% | +0.63% | -0.15% | +0.73% | -0.11% | +0.74% | -0.08% | +0.63% | -0.27% | +0.03% | +0.14% | -0.17% | +0.62% |
| 27 Avg -0.02% | -0.77% | -0.54% | -0.31% | +0.52% | +0.81% | -0.68% | +0.25% | +0.21% | +0.49% | -0.22% | -0.10% | +0.15% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | -0.40% | -0.09% | +0.30% | +0.17% | -0.42% | +0.61% | -0.24% | +0.12% | +0.69% | +0.27% | +0.14% | -0.12% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | +0.94% | - | +0.71% | -0.14% | -0.36% | +0.49% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.33% | +0.05% | +0.03% | -0.20% |
| 30 Avg -0.11% | -0.39% | - | +0.26% | -1.01% | +0.17% | +0.68% | -0.61% | +0.15% | -0.30% | -0.29% | +0.31% | -0.18% |
| 31 Avg -0.18% | -0.65% | - | -0.23% | - | -0.60% | - | +0.32% | -0.20% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.08% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
