Check historical price trends and seasonality for Palladium Futures (NYMEX) (PA=F).
Palladium Futures (NYMEX) (PA=F) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +17.19%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -0.89%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Palladium futures tend to experience a strong bullish trend from January through early March, rising from +0.1% on January 2nd to +8.3% on March 6th. Following this peak, the price typically declines into mid-March, reaching +1.3% on March 15th, before recovering slightly. The strongest bullish phase occurs in December, particularly towards the end of the month, with significant gains of +21.3% by December 27th and +17.1% by December 31st.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in mid-March, around March 15th, after the price retraces from its early March peak. This pullback could be attributed to profit-taking after the initial bullish run. Another, potentially smaller, dip occurs in late May around May 24th, presenting another chance to enter before a potential rebound in June. The most significant buying opportunity appears near the end of the year, specifically after a slight dip on January 3rd of -0.6%, to capitalize on the substantial rally that typically occurs in December.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for Palladium futures could involve entering long positions in mid-March or late May after pullbacks, holding through the summer months, and then capitalizing on the strong December rally. Another strategy would be to buy after the small dip on January 3rd. Given the significant gains observed towards the end of December, it's crucial to monitor market conditions and potentially take profits before the year-end.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 950.3000 | 2025-03-16 | 962.3000 | 12.0000 | 1.26 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 931.4000 | 2024-03-15 | 1,083.5000 | 152.1000 | 16.33 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 2,188.8000 | 2020-03-15 | 1,539.2000 | -649.6000 | -29.68 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 1,316.0000 | 2019-03-16 | 1,535.6000 | 219.6000 | 16.69 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 1,090.8000 | 2018-03-16 | 992.3000 | -98.5000 | -9.03 |
| Avg | 1,295.4600 | 1,222.5800 | -72.88 | -0.89 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.99% | Feb Total +0.12% | Mar Total +2.96% | Apr Total +1.30% | May Total -4.52% | Jun Total +3.46% | Jul Total +4.58% | Aug Total -0.39% | Sep Total +3.47% | Oct Total -0.45% | Nov Total +1.36% | Dec Total +3.70% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.09% | +1.03% | -0.34% | -1.39% | +0.72% | +0.04% | -0.97% | +0.11% | -0.40% | +1.29% | +0.43% |
| 2 Avg +0.00% | +0.06% | -0.20% | +0.37% | -0.37% | -0.40% | +0.48% | +0.91% | -0.53% | +0.31% | -0.38% | -0.20% | -0.01% |
| 3 Avg -0.06% | -0.54% | +0.04% | +1.12% | -0.63% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.19% | -0.70% | +0.25% | -0.05% | -0.26% | -0.04% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.70% | +0.19% | +1.18% | -0.55% | -0.33% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.29% | -0.23% | -0.04% | -0.31% | -0.22% |
| 5 Avg -0.14% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.26% | -0.96% | -0.26% | +0.39% | +0.07% | -0.23% | -0.34% | -0.24% | +0.91% | -0.71% |
| 6 Avg +0.01% | -0.08% | -0.80% | +1.02% | -0.19% | -0.13% | +1.25% | -0.02% | +0.15% | -0.58% | +0.23% | -0.50% | -0.24% |
| 7 Avg +0.04% | +0.25% | -0.77% | -0.60% | -0.30% | +0.36% | -0.78% | +0.53% | -0.14% | +0.10% | +0.54% | +0.56% | +0.68% |
| 8 Avg +0.34% | -0.11% | +0.26% | -0.36% | +1.50% | 0.00% | +0.38% | +0.49% | +0.34% | -0.17% | +1.43% | +0.13% | +0.14% |
| 9 Avg -0.14% | -0.31% | -0.33% | -0.37% | +0.93% | -0.20% | -0.65% | -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.08% | +0.23% | -1.17% | +0.34% |
| 10 Avg +0.37% | +0.10% | +0.15% | -0.45% | -0.44% | +1.30% | -0.55% | +0.86% | +1.89% | +0.92% | +0.76% | +0.55% | -0.68% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | -0.53% | -0.49% | -0.24% | +0.39% | -0.43% | -0.02% | +0.99% | -0.62% | +0.99% | +0.23% | -0.37% | +1.06% |
| 12 Avg -0.09% | +0.32% | +0.98% | -1.26% | +0.16% | -1.75% | +0.66% | -0.30% | -0.40% | +1.40% | -0.81% | +0.16% | -0.22% |
| 13 Avg -0.13% | -0.17% | +0.05% | -0.46% | +0.78% | -0.22% | -0.93% | +0.01% | +0.47% | -0.70% | +0.30% | -0.25% | -0.48% |
| 14 Avg +0.15% | +0.44% | +1.19% | -1.28% | +0.96% | +0.53% | +0.34% | -1.09% | -0.52% | -0.45% | +0.05% | +0.41% | +1.26% |
| 15 Avg -0.05% | +0.27% | -0.05% | -0.34% | +0.18% | +0.71% | +0.03% | -0.67% | -1.17% | +0.20% | -0.31% | +0.98% | -0.39% |
| 16 Avg +0.33% | -0.35% | +0.70% | +0.58% | +0.06% | -0.15% | +0.87% | -0.38% | +0.40% | +0.07% | +0.60% | +0.57% | +1.01% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | +0.31% | +0.04% | +1.00% | +0.62% | -0.32% | -1.53% | +0.64% | +0.13% | -0.47% | -0.89% | -0.11% | +0.46% |
| 18 Avg +0.17% | +0.28% | +0.42% | -0.49% | +1.21% | +0.11% | -0.16% | -0.18% | +0.52% | +0.13% | -0.37% | +0.38% | +0.15% |
| 19 Avg +0.08% | +1.09% | +0.38% | +0.13% | -0.16% | +0.41% | -0.26% | -0.82% | -1.06% | +1.19% | +0.35% | -0.20% | -0.13% |
| 20 Avg +0.30% | +0.54% | +0.48% | +0.11% | +0.57% | +1.00% | +0.25% | +0.55% | +0.31% | -0.64% | +0.68% | -0.09% | -0.21% |
| 21 Avg -0.17% | +0.40% | -0.55% | +0.76% | -0.89% | -0.38% | +0.83% | +0.70% | +0.14% | -0.55% | -1.71% | -0.13% | -0.65% |
| 22 Avg +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.30% | -0.34% | -0.71% | -1.14% | -0.25% | +1.34% | -0.63% | +1.35% | +0.76% | -0.80% | +0.57% |
| 23 Avg +0.11% | -0.25% | +0.04% | -0.09% | +0.37% | -0.86% | +0.44% | +0.22% | +0.65% | -0.57% | +0.18% | -0.54% | +1.78% |
| 24 Avg +0.15% | +0.85% | -0.82% | +1.41% | -0.41% | -0.70% | +0.18% | +0.21% | +0.14% | -0.02% | +1.11% | +0.21% | -0.35% |
| 25 Avg -0.19% | -1.16% | -0.17% | +2.30% | -1.90% | +0.36% | -0.81% | -0.23% | +0.08% | -0.42% | -0.09% | -0.49% | +0.23% |
| 26 Avg +0.32% | +0.47% | -0.28% | -0.15% | +0.89% | +0.51% | +1.27% | -0.03% | +0.21% | +0.35% | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.66% |
| 27 Avg -0.10% | -0.90% | -0.15% | -0.99% | -0.32% | +0.15% | +0.21% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.17% | -1.07% | +0.48% | +1.10% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | -0.32% | -0.49% | -1.40% | +0.57% | -0.25% | +0.45% | +0.69% | +0.24% | +0.87% | -0.17% | +1.04% | -0.19% |
| 29 Avg -0.10% | +0.15% | - | -0.85% | +0.21% | +0.11% | +0.86% | +0.10% | +0.79% | +0.19% | -0.25% | -0.44% | -2.02% |
| 30 Avg -0.01% | +0.37% | - | +1.01% | +0.07% | -0.24% | -0.04% | -0.95% | -0.22% | +0.08% | -0.20% | -0.48% | +0.52% |
| 31 Avg +0.08% | +0.71% | - | +0.89% | - | -0.87% | - | +0.69% | +0.09% | - | -0.82% | - | -0.13% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
