Check historical price trends and seasonality for O'Reilly Auto Parts (ORLY).
O'Reilly Auto Parts (ORLY) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.83%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +1.57%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
O'Reilly Auto Parts exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with a notable dip in early February. The stock price tends to rise significantly from mid-February, climbing steadily through the spring and summer months, reaching impressive gains by the end of September. The bullish trend continues into the fall, peaking in late November before experiencing a slight consolidation phase in December, although remaining at elevated levels, with a significant jump on December 4 (+21.3%) and December 31 (+19.8%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip appears around February 8, with an average decrease of -1.1%, potentially offering a buying opportunity before the subsequent strong rally that begins in mid-February. This pullback could be attributed to general market sentiment or sector-specific news. Investors might consider this period as a strategic entry point, anticipating a rebound and continuation of the upward trend that typically follows through the rest of the year.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a generally bullish investment strategy for O'Reilly Auto Parts. Consider initiating positions following the dip around February 8 to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend. Keep in mind that these are average tendencies and not guarantees, so it's crucial to combine this seasonal analysis with fundamental research and risk management strategies.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 80.3147 | 2025-03-16 | 88.4940 | 8.1793 | 10.18 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 66.0167 | 2024-03-15 | 74.2120 | 8.1953 | 12.41 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 29.4047 | 2020-03-15 | 23.6200 | -5.7847 | -19.67 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 22.9333 | 2019-03-16 | 24.6680 | 1.7347 | 7.56 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 17.1927 | 2018-03-16 | 16.7440 | -0.4487 | -2.61 |
| Avg | 43.1724 | 45.5476 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.32% | Feb Total +1.90% | Mar Total +2.33% | Apr Total +1.07% | May Total +0.32% | Jun Total +1.43% | Jul Total +6.04% | Aug Total +0.54% | Sep Total +2.35% | Oct Total -0.07% | Nov Total +5.37% | Dec Total -0.56% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.56% | +0.34% | -0.46% | -0.55% | 0.00% | +0.25% | +0.15% | +0.48% | -0.15% | -0.11% | -0.05% |
| 2 Avg +0.14% | +0.22% | -0.04% | +0.59% | +0.16% | +0.60% | +0.13% | +0.50% | -0.08% | -0.12% | -0.72% | +0.35% | +0.11% |
| 3 Avg -0.07% | +0.39% | -0.30% | -0.31% | -0.22% | -0.03% | -0.21% | +0.22% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.20% | -0.14% | -0.18% |
| 4 Avg +0.20% | -0.39% | +0.33% | -0.21% | -0.51% | +1.02% | +0.11% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.48% | +0.01% | +0.48% | +0.92% |
| 5 Avg -0.12% | -0.07% | -0.15% | +0.17% | +0.25% | -0.51% | +0.23% | -1.48% | -0.38% | +0.25% | +0.27% | +0.22% | -0.30% |
| 6 Avg +0.27% | +0.27% | -0.33% | +0.22% | +1.31% | +0.41% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.58% | +0.20% | -0.18% | +0.81% | -0.07% |
| 7 Avg -0.18% | -0.48% | -0.15% | -0.87% | -0.12% | -0.32% | +0.06% | -0.18% | 0.00% | +0.11% | -0.60% | +0.58% | -0.22% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.59% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.46% | -0.02% | -0.11% | +0.14% | +0.42% | +0.27% | +0.39% | -0.26% |
| 9 Avg +0.15% | +0.15% | +0.63% | +0.43% | +0.13% | +0.30% | -0.11% | +0.38% | -0.07% | +0.06% | +0.02% | +0.55% | -0.65% |
| 10 Avg +0.29% | -0.16% | +0.41% | +1.06% | +0.65% | -0.01% | -0.16% | +0.50% | -0.17% | -0.15% | +0.43% | +0.57% | +0.47% |
| 11 Avg -0.02% | +0.34% | +0.43% | -0.42% | -0.34% | -0.28% | -0.03% | -0.11% | +0.02% | -0.10% | -0.18% | 0.00% | +0.35% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | +0.36% | +0.47% | -1.11% | -0.18% | -0.12% | +0.42% | +0.43% | -0.13% | -0.26% | +0.52% | -0.28% | +0.44% |
| 13 Avg +0.10% | -0.46% | +0.24% | +0.91% | +0.06% | -0.52% | -0.47% | +0.49% | -0.15% | -0.17% | +0.81% | +0.51% | -0.03% |
| 14 Avg +0.09% | -0.26% | +0.23% | +0.44% | +0.39% | +0.27% | +0.04% | +0.64% | +0.23% | -0.01% | +0.18% | -0.07% | -1.02% |
| 15 Avg +0.15% | -0.19% | +0.56% | +0.13% | -0.15% | +0.49% | +0.47% | 0.00% | +0.14% | +0.04% | +0.15% | -0.16% | +0.35% |
| 16 Avg +0.06% | +0.43% | +0.24% | -1.36% | +0.58% | -0.04% | -0.42% | +0.09% | +0.78% | -0.42% | +0.31% | +0.56% | -0.03% |
| 17 Avg +0.08% | +0.43% | +0.18% | +0.80% | +0.31% | -0.23% | +0.42% | +0.19% | -0.14% | -0.05% | -0.12% | -0.33% | -0.56% |
| 18 Avg -0.06% | +0.20% | +0.19% | -1.09% | +0.55% | -0.68% | +0.07% | -0.03% | -0.17% | -0.02% | +0.18% | +0.09% | +0.05% |
| 19 Avg -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.03% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.30% | +0.36% | +0.25% | -0.29% | -0.61% | -0.39% | -0.11% |
| 20 Avg -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.08% | -0.63% | +0.37% | -0.61% | +0.19% | +0.32% | +0.06% | +0.48% | -0.15% | -0.71% | -0.30% |
| 21 Avg +0.08% | +0.12% | -0.51% | +0.27% | -0.91% | +0.17% | +0.49% | +0.19% | +0.05% | -0.25% | +0.54% | +0.57% | +0.19% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | -0.41% | -0.39% | -0.32% | -0.04% | -0.61% | +0.44% | +0.52% | -0.48% | +0.78% | -0.21% | +0.80% | -0.02% |
| 23 Avg -0.10% | -0.22% | -0.19% | -0.23% | +0.25% | -0.54% | +0.35% | +0.07% | -0.30% | -0.09% | -0.59% | +0.22% | +0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | +0.19% | +0.31% | +1.11% | +0.37% | +0.75% | -0.25% | -0.08% | -0.22% | -0.18% | +0.58% | -0.21% | +0.20% |
| 25 Avg +0.14% | -0.31% | -0.07% | +1.08% | -0.87% | +0.54% | -0.39% | +0.27% | +0.47% | +0.52% | +0.14% | +0.32% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.35% | +0.07% | -0.09% | +1.36% | +1.18% | +0.25% | -0.01% | +0.57% | -0.46% | +0.15% | +0.78% | 0.00% | +0.35% |
| 27 Avg -0.10% | -0.85% | -0.59% | -0.27% | +0.42% | +0.47% | -0.12% | +0.35% | -0.05% | -0.03% | -0.63% | +0.07% | +0.08% |
| 28 Avg +0.05% | +0.58% | +0.41% | -0.14% | -1.91% | -0.20% | +0.01% | +0.54% | +0.17% | +0.49% | +0.28% | +0.57% | -0.18% |
| 29 Avg +0.14% | +0.13% | - | +0.74% | +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.28% | +0.32% | +0.26% | -0.02% | -0.62% | +0.24% | +0.06% |
| 30 Avg +0.10% | +0.33% | - | +0.16% | -0.31% | +0.50% | +0.25% | +0.89% | -0.19% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.11% | -0.39% |
| 31 Avg -0.38% | -0.61% | - | -0.68% | - | -0.88% | - | -0.14% | +0.02% | - | -0.56% | - | +0.18% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
