Check historical price trends and seasonality for Oracle Corporation (ORCL).
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.57%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +2.68%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with consistent gains from January to July. The stock price tends to increase steadily from January, experiencing notable gains through March, reaching +6.2% by March 18. This bullish trend continues into the summer, peaking around July, where the average gain reaches +22.7% by July 29. After July, the gains consolidate, but there is a significant surge around September 10, with an average gain of +30.3%, before ending the year with a strong gain of +19.5% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While Oracle generally trends upward, there are periods that could present buying opportunities. After the peak in late July, there is a slight consolidation period in August, which could be viewed as a minor dip. The most significant pullback occurs in December, particularly between December 10 and December 17, which sees a drop from +26.6% to +20.1%. This dip in December could be attributed to end-of-year profit-taking or tax-loss harvesting. Investors might consider these periods of consolidation or decline as potential entry points, anticipating a rebound in subsequent periods.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a generally bullish trend for Oracle, with significant gains concentrated in the first half of the year and a notable spike in September. Investors could consider establishing a position in early January to capitalize on the overall upward trend. The dip in December may offer a strategic entry point for long-term investors, anticipating a rebound in the new year.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 159.5400 | 2025-03-16 | 149.2700 | -10.2700 | -6.44 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 106.5700 | 2024-03-15 | 125.5400 | 18.9700 | 17.80 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 55.4300 | 2020-03-15 | 47.9300 | -7.5000 | -13.53 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 48.0600 | 2019-03-16 | 52.9400 | 4.8800 | 10.15 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 49.5900 | 2018-03-16 | 52.2700 | 2.6800 | 5.40 |
| Avg | 83.8380 | 85.5900 | 1.75 | 2.68 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.70% | Feb Total +0.25% | Mar Total +3.27% | Apr Total +0.17% | May Total +3.10% | Jun Total +8.11% | Jul Total +4.28% | Aug Total -0.97% | Sep Total +2.33% | Oct Total +1.69% | Nov Total +0.44% | Dec Total -3.35% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.26% | 0.00% | +0.75% | +0.57% | +0.59% | +0.21% | +0.17% | +0.72% | -0.57% | +0.41% | +0.21% | +0.07% | -0.03% |
| 2 Avg +0.07% | -0.11% | -0.25% | +0.79% | +0.17% | +0.44% | -0.03% | +1.16% | -0.66% | +0.12% | -0.37% | -0.07% | -0.36% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | +0.31% | +0.17% | -0.36% | -0.45% | -0.09% | +0.33% | +0.09% | +0.58% | -0.55% | -0.08% | +0.06% | +0.32% |
| 4 Avg +0.20% | +0.43% | +0.60% | -0.42% | -0.49% | +0.60% | +0.46% | 0.00% | +0.36% | +0.04% | +1.04% | -0.31% | +0.11% |
| 5 Avg +0.15% | -0.39% | -0.13% | +0.40% | +0.31% | -0.05% | +0.74% | +0.22% | -0.76% | +0.94% | +0.69% | +0.25% | -0.44% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.60% | +0.19% | +0.16% | +0.66% | +0.22% | +0.11% | -0.32% | -0.06% | +0.51% | -0.09% |
| 7 Avg +0.00% | -0.04% | -0.28% | +0.26% | -0.49% | +0.23% | +0.10% | +0.15% | -0.54% | +0.17% | -0.43% | +0.67% | +0.25% |
| 8 Avg +0.23% | +0.38% | -0.53% | +0.07% | +0.17% | +0.15% | +0.47% | +0.25% | +0.21% | +0.22% | +0.55% | +0.48% | +0.34% |
| 9 Avg +0.29% | +0.18% | +0.50% | +0.18% | +1.41% | -0.10% | -0.22% | +0.33% | +0.01% | +0.55% | +0.57% | -0.18% | +0.18% |
| 10 Avg +0.41% | -0.42% | +0.28% | -0.23% | -0.63% | +0.58% | -0.61% | +0.22% | -0.23% | +5.21% | -0.64% | +0.26% | +1.16% |
| 11 Avg -0.28% | +0.51% | -0.48% | -1.24% | -0.11% | -0.73% | -0.57% | 0.00% | +0.01% | -0.23% | +0.06% | -0.05% | -0.49% |
| 12 Avg +0.12% | +0.34% | +0.10% | +0.52% | +0.04% | +0.13% | +3.32% | +0.35% | +0.18% | -1.56% | +0.38% | -0.79% | -1.50% |
| 13 Avg +0.19% | -0.43% | +0.28% | +1.74% | +0.48% | +0.14% | +0.29% | +0.09% | -0.15% | -0.20% | +0.74% | -0.23% | -0.52% |
| 14 Avg +0.18% | +0.31% | +0.17% | -0.10% | +0.35% | +0.90% | +0.79% | +0.28% | +0.25% | -0.13% | -0.50% | +0.14% | -0.25% |
| 15 Avg +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.25% | +0.42% | -0.15% | -0.08% | +0.31% | -0.04% | +0.42% | -0.11% | -0.10% | +0.10% | 0.00% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | +0.15% | -0.32% | -0.09% | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.58% | +0.05% | +0.29% | -0.27% | +0.56% | +0.67% | -0.40% |
| 17 Avg -0.13% | +0.16% | -0.15% | +1.41% | +0.09% | +0.21% | -0.31% | -0.16% | -0.21% | -0.54% | -0.38% | -0.11% | -1.54% |
| 18 Avg +0.00% | -0.09% | +0.19% | +0.50% | -0.08% | -0.34% | +0.62% | -0.20% | +0.18% | -0.73% | -0.08% | -0.16% | +0.23% |
| 19 Avg +0.07% | -0.13% | +0.04% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.46% | +0.18% | -0.07% | -0.38% | +0.93% | -0.18% | +0.06% | +1.18% |
| 20 Avg -0.32% | +0.11% | -0.76% | -0.95% | -0.12% | +0.46% | -0.55% | +0.18% | -0.18% | +0.03% | -0.75% | -0.79% | -0.54% |
| 21 Avg -0.10% | +0.67% | -0.74% | +0.14% | -1.38% | +0.01% | +0.22% | +0.44% | +0.10% | +0.01% | +0.39% | -0.55% | -0.53% |
| 22 Avg +0.27% | +0.64% | +1.01% | -0.49% | -0.18% | -0.12% | +1.02% | +0.08% | -0.18% | +0.67% | +0.09% | +0.43% | +0.22% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.62% | +0.27% | -0.72% | +0.30% | -0.40% | +0.37% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.91% | +0.38% | -0.04% | -0.16% |
| 24 Avg +0.19% | +0.17% | +0.19% | +1.18% | +0.79% | -0.13% | +0.27% | -0.14% | -0.38% | -0.16% | +0.17% | +0.50% | -0.16% |
| 25 Avg +0.02% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.39% | 0.00% | +0.91% | -0.23% | +0.20% | +0.37% | -0.36% | -0.02% | -0.32% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.14% | +0.43% | +0.29% | +1.34% | -0.14% | +0.30% | -0.07% | -0.25% | +0.04% | -0.70% | -0.42% | +0.30% | +0.52% |
| 27 Avg -0.23% | -1.65% | -0.97% | -0.40% | +0.31% | +0.61% | -0.34% | +0.07% | +0.12% | +0.13% | -0.01% | -0.50% | -0.12% |
| 28 Avg +0.02% | +0.45% | -0.35% | -0.25% | +0.09% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.19% | +0.11% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.14% | -0.20% |
| 29 Avg -0.03% | -0.23% | - | +0.54% | -0.28% | -0.26% | +0.54% | +0.15% | -0.07% | -0.27% | -0.13% | -0.07% | -0.24% |
| 30 Avg -0.02% | +0.35% | - | 0.00% | -0.34% | -0.06% | +0.75% | -0.59% | +0.12% | -0.21% | -0.22% | +0.23% | -0.22% |
| 31 Avg -0.07% | -0.12% | - | -0.37% | - | -0.30% | - | +0.26% | -0.08% | - | +0.20% | - | -0.05% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
