Check historical price trends and seasonality for Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI).
Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +26.33%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 15 for 30 days) is +9.98%.
6 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 75.00%.
1) Overview:
Ollie's Bargain Outlet typically experiences a strong bullish phase from January through July, culminating in a peak around July 22 with an average gain of +39.0%. A significant pullback then occurs from late August, specifically August 23 (+39.1%), through early December. The stock then consolidates and rebounds towards the end of December, reaching +26.3% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most notable dip opportunity appears in early January, around January 3, where the stock tends to decline by -2.0%. Following the peak in late July, a substantial pullback occurs throughout August. This pullback provides another potential buying opportunity as the stock prepares for a year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, an effective strategy for Ollie's Bargain Outlet might involve accumulating shares during the pullback in early January and again in late August. Consider holding these positions through the end of the year to capitalize on the typical year-end rally. However, be mindful of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could influence performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-03-15 | 74.0000 | 2024-04-13 | 71.5200 | -2.4800 | -3.35 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-15 | 52.7800 | 2023-04-13 | 58.5800 | 5.8000 | 10.99 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-15 | 40.5900 | 2022-04-13 | 54.0000 | 13.4100 | 33.04 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-15 | 94.2800 | 2021-04-13 | 89.9200 | -4.3600 | -4.62 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-15 | 79.4600 | 2019-04-13 | 90.6400 | 11.1800 | 14.07 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-15 | 59.8000 | 2018-04-13 | 60.2000 | 0.4000 | 0.67 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-15 | 31.7500 | 2017-04-13 | 33.3000 | 1.5500 | 4.88 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-15 | 21.0500 | 2016-04-13 | 26.1400 | 5.0900 | 24.18 |
| Avg | 56.7138 | 60.5375 | 3.82 | 9.98 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +6.14% | Feb Total -0.47% | Mar Total +4.15% | Apr Total +9.75% | May Total +4.54% | Jun Total +6.53% | Jul Total +5.17% | Aug Total -6.95% | Sep Total +0.87% | Oct Total +1.82% | Nov Total +2.46% | Dec Total -5.93% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.10% | 0.00% | +0.39% | +0.66% | -0.71% | -0.44% | +0.63% | +0.12% | +0.17% | +0.52% | -0.19% | +0.29% | -0.25% |
| 2 Avg -0.13% | -0.95% | +0.12% | +0.44% | -0.03% | +1.57% | +0.66% | -0.54% | -1.03% | +0.03% | -0.61% | -0.67% | -0.54% |
| 3 Avg -0.26% | -0.65% | -0.89% | -0.38% | -0.61% | -0.05% | -0.25% | +0.58% | +0.92% | -0.43% | +0.24% | +0.56% | -2.18% |
| 4 Avg +0.44% | +1.25% | +0.03% | -0.83% | +1.52% | +0.91% | +0.64% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.84% | +0.58% | +0.37% | +0.13% |
| 5 Avg +0.08% | +0.13% | -0.20% | -0.57% | -0.42% | -1.06% | +1.69% | +0.94% | -0.51% | +0.56% | -0.16% | +0.49% | +0.04% |
| 6 Avg +0.30% | +1.51% | +0.07% | +0.40% | +1.30% | +0.32% | +0.35% | +0.71% | +0.36% | +0.14% | -0.96% | -0.03% | -0.60% |
| 7 Avg -0.14% | +0.60% | -0.88% | -1.53% | +1.36% | -0.10% | -0.36% | +1.09% | -0.41% | +1.04% | +0.01% | +0.98% | -3.53% |
| 8 Avg +0.32% | -0.45% | -0.42% | +1.10% | +0.10% | +0.23% | +0.85% | +0.47% | +0.22% | +0.25% | +0.46% | +0.27% | +0.72% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | -0.09% | +0.30% | +0.23% | +1.33% | -0.28% | +0.08% | -0.13% | -0.07% | +0.30% | +0.33% | -1.47% | -1.39% |
| 10 Avg +0.14% | +0.57% | -0.01% | -1.15% | +0.98% | -0.57% | -0.66% | +0.28% | +0.08% | +0.25% | +0.05% | +0.87% | +0.99% |
| 11 Avg +0.47% | +1.11% | +0.32% | -0.55% | -0.15% | -0.06% | +0.13% | +1.02% | +0.96% | +0.18% | -0.02% | +0.52% | +2.16% |
| 12 Avg -0.16% | +0.25% | +1.35% | -1.99% | +0.51% | +0.14% | -0.01% | +0.28% | -1.69% | +0.26% | +0.33% | -0.70% | -0.65% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | -0.89% | +0.72% | +1.43% | +0.01% | -0.79% | -0.45% | -0.70% | +0.45% | -0.97% | +0.98% | 0.00% | +0.29% |
| 14 Avg -0.12% | -0.87% | +0.99% | -0.26% | 0.00% | +0.67% | +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.22% | -0.61% | -0.46% | +0.03% | -0.65% |
| 15 Avg +0.37% | +0.45% | +0.36% | +1.01% | +0.82% | -0.29% | +0.48% | +0.07% | +0.72% | +1.20% | +0.11% | -0.07% | -0.47% |
| 16 Avg +0.10% | +1.10% | +0.25% | -0.94% | +0.35% | +0.82% | +0.71% | +0.17% | -0.04% | -0.59% | +0.22% | -0.14% | -0.70% |
| 17 Avg +0.41% | +0.19% | -0.64% | +0.63% | +1.66% | +0.04% | +0.91% | +0.68% | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.61% | +0.69% | +0.37% |
| 18 Avg +0.16% | -0.29% | -0.07% | -1.10% | +0.54% | +0.18% | +0.76% | +0.40% | +0.53% | +0.09% | +0.26% | -0.06% | +0.64% |
| 19 Avg +0.15% | +0.20% | -0.13% | +2.09% | +0.62% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.09% | +0.41% | -0.19% | -0.62% | -0.65% | -0.30% |
| 20 Avg -0.09% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.07% | -0.71% | -0.18% | +0.30% | +0.32% | +0.33% | -0.05% | -0.44% | -0.67% |
| 21 Avg +0.24% | +0.70% | -0.26% | +0.52% | -0.92% | +0.29% | +0.66% | +0.42% | +0.69% | -0.01% | -0.05% | +1.04% | -0.18% |
| 22 Avg +0.17% | +0.51% | -0.07% | +0.25% | +0.25% | -0.10% | -0.79% | +0.66% | -0.48% | +0.13% | +0.15% | +1.56% | -0.09% |
| 23 Avg +0.06% | +0.31% | -0.72% | -0.44% | +0.63% | -0.09% | +1.03% | -0.73% | +0.57% | -0.02% | -0.01% | -0.16% | +0.31% |
| 24 Avg +0.03% | +0.64% | +0.46% | +0.35% | +0.35% | +0.51% | -0.72% | +0.06% | -0.85% | -0.07% | -0.37% | -0.39% | +0.39% |
| 25 Avg +0.30% | +0.54% | -0.04% | +0.60% | -0.32% | +0.85% | +0.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.18% | +0.94% | +0.71% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.10% | +0.38% | -0.50% | +0.78% | +0.53% | +0.96% | +0.50% | -0.38% | -1.41% | -0.58% | -0.18% | +0.22% | +0.89% |
| 27 Avg +0.15% | +0.05% | -0.64% | +1.16% | +1.15% | +0.94% | -0.11% | -0.27% | -1.37% | -0.20% | +0.52% | +0.31% | +0.27% |
| 28 Avg +0.03% | -0.60% | -0.34% | +0.26% | +0.07% | +0.34% | -0.90% | -0.17% | -0.13% | +0.59% | +0.51% | +0.49% | +0.25% |
| 29 Avg -0.52% | +0.33% | - | +0.81% | -1.11% | +0.11% | +0.29% | +0.28% | -4.37% | -0.92% | -0.09% | -1.02% | -0.02% |
| 30 Avg -0.29% | -0.33% | - | +0.76% | -0.12% | +0.38% | -0.10% | -0.26% | +0.22% | -1.03% | -0.69% | -1.13% | -0.90% |
| 31 Avg -0.11% | +0.51% | - | +0.31% | - | -0.36% | - | -0.20% | -0.74% | - | -0.02% | - | -0.25% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
