Check historical price trends and seasonality for NZDSEK (NZDSEK=X).
NZDSEK (NZDSEK=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -0.36%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -1.49%.
2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.
1) Overview:
The NZDSEK exchange rate exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. A bullish phase typically begins in February, peaking around February 25 with an average gain of +1.1%. A significant bearish phase occurs between August and October, culminating in a low around October 17 with an average loss of -1.5%. The year concludes with a slight downward tendency towards December 31, averaging -0.6%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several periods offer potential "buy-the-dip" opportunities. The most pronounced pullback occurs between August and October, with the lowest point around October 17. Another, smaller pullback occurs in late December, bottoming around December 31. These pullbacks could represent strategic entry points, anticipating a rebound in subsequent months, particularly leading into the bullish period in February.
3) Summary:
Based on 10-year seasonality, consider initiating long positions in NZDSEK around October 17 to capitalize on the subsequent recovery. Another potential entry point is around December 31. Be mindful of the overall downward trend in late December and manage risk accordingly, targeting a potential exit around February 25 to capture the seasonal peak.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 6.2712 | 2025-03-16 | 5.8106 | -0.4606 | -7.34 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 6.3879 | 2024-03-15 | 6.3358 | -0.0521 | -0.82 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 6.6106 | 2023-03-16 | 6.5327 | -0.0779 | -1.18 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 6.2543 | 2020-03-15 | 5.9528 | -0.3015 | -4.82 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 6.1112 | 2019-03-16 | 6.3580 | 0.2468 | 4.04 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 5.8424 | 2018-03-16 | 5.9430 | 0.1006 | 1.72 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 6.3627 | 2017-03-16 | 6.2348 | -0.1279 | -2.01 |
| Avg | 6.2629 | 6.1668 | -0.10 | -1.49 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.44% | Feb Total +0.50% | Mar Total -0.92% | Apr Total -0.10% | May Total -0.13% | Jun Total +0.78% | Jul Total -0.38% | Aug Total -0.65% | Sep Total -0.29% | Oct Total +0.50% | Nov Total +0.88% | Dec Total -0.88% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.11% | -0.20% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.02% | +0.13% | +0.16% | +0.14% | +0.13% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | -0.18% | +0.08% | +0.14% | +0.20% | +0.13% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.08% | +0.21% | +0.15% | +0.07% | 0.00% |
| 3 Avg +0.04% | +0.24% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.09% | +0.23% | +0.12% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.01% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +0.09% |
| 4 Avg -0.02% | +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.20% | +0.10% | -0.31% | -0.01% | +0.09% | -0.07% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.11% | +0.01% |
| 5 Avg -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.08% | +0.17% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.23% | -0.19% | -0.31% | -0.09% | +0.08% |
| 6 Avg +0.04% | +0.10% | +0.13% | -0.36% | +0.08% | +0.18% | +0.05% | +0.28% | -0.05% | +0.18% | +0.13% | +0.08% | -0.29% |
| 7 Avg -0.04% | -0.08% | +0.02% | +0.17% | -0.20% | -0.13% | +0.07% | -0.22% | +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.02% | -0.04% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.04% | +0.28% | -0.23% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.19% | -0.19% | -0.03% | -0.24% | +0.01% | -0.04% |
| 9 Avg +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.08% | -0.16% | -0.10% | +0.03% | +0.37% | -0.10% | +0.19% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.10% |
| 10 Avg -0.09% | -0.14% | -0.25% | -0.53% | +0.29% | -0.24% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.11% | -0.10% | +0.14% | -0.12% | +0.03% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.12% | -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.04% | -0.23% | -0.06% | +0.02% |
| 12 Avg +0.02% | +0.20% | +0.10% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.09% | -0.06% | -0.31% | -0.09% | +0.05% | +0.23% | +0.12% | +0.14% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.02% | +0.02% | +0.07% | +0.15% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.14% | -0.06% |
| 14 Avg -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.21% | -0.13% | -0.18% | -0.12% | +0.10% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.14% | 0.00% |
| 15 Avg -0.04% | -0.08% | -0.02% | -0.36% | +0.06% | -0.19% | +0.17% | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.07% | +0.01% | +0.14% | -0.10% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.22% | +0.10% | -0.07% | +0.15% | +0.14% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.04% | +0.21% | -0.03% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.24% | +0.17% | +0.22% | -0.14% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.14% | +0.02% | -0.17% |
| 18 Avg +0.01% | +0.09% | +0.18% | +0.10% | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.06% | -0.22% | -0.07% | -0.06% | +0.22% | -0.02% | +0.06% |
| 19 Avg +0.04% | +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.05% | +0.18% | +0.33% | -0.11% | -0.02% | +0.12% | +0.22% | +0.05% | -0.28% |
| 20 Avg -0.01% | -0.22% | +0.05% | +0.25% | -0.11% | +0.09% | -0.05% | -0.04% | -0.02% | +0.13% | -0.15% | +0.03% | -0.07% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | +0.30% | +0.07% | -0.24% | -0.04% | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.25% | -0.13% | +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.11% | -0.22% |
| 22 Avg -0.07% | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.30% | -0.11% | -0.08% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.10% | +0.05% | +0.03% | -0.32% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | +0.05% | +0.27% | -0.06% | -0.11% | +0.10% | -0.05% | +0.07% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.08% |
| 24 Avg +0.06% | +0.12% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.12% | +0.25% | +0.07% | +0.14% |
| 25 Avg -0.09% | -0.18% | +0.23% | -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.19% | -0.10% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.08% | -0.23% | -0.17% | -0.26% |
| 26 Avg -0.01% | -0.15% | -0.03% | +0.02% | +0.23% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.14% | +0.13% | -0.15% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.08% |
| 27 Avg +0.14% | +0.19% | -0.21% | +0.16% | +0.09% | +0.23% | +0.35% | +0.26% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.18% | +0.07% | +0.20% |
| 28 Avg -0.05% | -0.18% | -0.12% | -0.20% | -0.04% | -0.04% | -0.18% | -0.16% | -0.11% | +0.20% | +0.26% | +0.18% | -0.18% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | +0.08% | - | +0.24% | 0.00% | +0.15% | -0.12% | +0.07% | -0.06% | -0.25% | +0.09% | +0.07% | -0.03% |
| 30 Avg +0.06% | +0.05% | - | +0.25% | +0.16% | +0.03% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.19% | -0.13% | +0.05% | +0.16% | -0.09% |
| 31 Avg +0.01% | +0.09% | - | +0.01% | - | -0.10% | - | -0.07% | -0.17% | - | +0.13% | - | +0.15% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
