Check historical price trends and seasonality for NZDCHF (NZDCHF=X).
NZDCHF (NZDCHF=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -3.93%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -2.05%.
2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.
1) Overview:
The NZDCHF pair tends to exhibit a bearish trend throughout much of the year. The strongest downward movement typically occurs from July through October, culminating in a significant dip of -4.7% around October 10. A slight recovery is observed towards the end of February, with an average increase of +0.5% around February 25, followed by a continued downward trend into the end of the year, reaching -3.8% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the historical data, potential buying opportunities arise during periods of significant decline. The most pronounced dip occurs around October 10, with an average decrease of -4.7%, suggesting a possible entry point for long positions anticipating a rebound. Another potential, albeit smaller, buying opportunity may present itself near December 31, where the pair tends to decline by -3.8%. The slight bullish movement around February 25 (+0.5%) could also be considered a minor buying opportunity after the preceding weeks of decline.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a bearish bias for NZDCHF, particularly from July to October. Investors might consider entering long positions around October 10 to capitalize on the historically significant dip. However, it's crucial to consider other technical and fundamental factors before making investment decisions, as seasonality represents only one aspect of market behavior.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 0.5132 | 2025-03-16 | 0.5032 | -0.0100 | -1.95 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 0.5298 | 2024-03-15 | 0.5415 | 0.0117 | 2.21 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 0.5916 | 2023-03-16 | 0.5740 | -0.0176 | -2.97 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 0.6373 | 2020-03-15 | 0.5774 | -0.0599 | -9.40 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 0.6736 | 2019-03-16 | 0.6858 | 0.0122 | 1.81 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 0.7024 | 2018-03-16 | 0.6912 | -0.0112 | -1.59 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 0.7200 | 2017-03-16 | 0.7025 | -0.0175 | -2.43 |
| Avg | 0.6240 | 0.6108 | -0.01 | -2.05 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.37% | Feb Total +0.21% | Mar Total -0.89% | Apr Total -0.29% | May Total -0.43% | Jun Total -0.43% | Jul Total -0.39% | Aug Total -1.32% | Sep Total -0.44% | Oct Total +0.14% | Nov Total +1.17% | Dec Total -0.61% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.30% | -0.07% | -0.17% | -0.02% | +0.15% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.20% | +0.12% | -0.04% |
| 2 Avg +0.00% | -0.12% | +0.13% | +0.04% | +0.10% | +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.08% | -0.37% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.01% |
| 3 Avg +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.16% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.29% | +0.14% | -0.16% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.16% | +0.05% |
| 4 Avg +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.28% | -0.01% | +0.12% | -0.50% | +0.03% | +0.18% | +0.10% | -0.23% | +0.25% | +0.30% | +0.02% |
| 5 Avg -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.09% | +0.22% | +0.03% | +0.17% | -0.22% | -0.16% | -0.32% | -0.29% | +0.14% |
| 6 Avg +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.06% | -0.12% | -0.11% | +0.18% | +0.10% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.26% | +0.06% | +0.24% | -0.26% |
| 7 Avg -0.05% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.13% | -0.50% | +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.19% | +0.14% | -0.08% | -0.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 8 Avg +0.00% | -0.13% | -0.17% | +0.10% | -0.23% | +0.15% | +0.13% | +0.18% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.21% | +0.09% | +0.18% |
| 9 Avg -0.01% | +0.16% | -0.25% | -0.23% | -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.15% | -0.20% | +0.07% | -0.14% | -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.04% |
| 10 Avg -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.14% | -0.38% | +0.46% | -0.16% | -0.22% | -0.01% | -0.20% | +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.10% | -0.09% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.09% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.16% | +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.01% | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.12% | -0.02% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | +0.37% | +0.28% | +0.19% | -0.18% | -0.11% | -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.11% | +0.11% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.11% | -0.28% | +0.15% | -0.13% | -0.07% | +0.33% | -0.15% | +0.12% | -0.13% | -0.22% | +0.12% |
| 14 Avg +0.00% | -0.04% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.33% | -0.11% | -0.17% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.15% | +0.22% | -0.25% | +0.11% |
| 15 Avg -0.05% | -0.15% | -0.03% | -0.04% | +0.09% | -0.18% | +0.12% | -0.09% | -0.19% | -0.09% | +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.09% |
| 16 Avg -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.07% | +0.10% | +0.09% | -0.17% | -0.10% | -0.15% | +0.24% | -0.19% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.08% | +0.21% | -0.11% | +0.08% | -0.17% | -0.11% | +0.02% | -0.09% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.04% |
| 18 Avg -0.02% | -0.06% | +0.20% | +0.10% | +0.11% | -0.08% | -0.10% | -0.32% | -0.36% | +0.09% | +0.25% | -0.01% | -0.07% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.05% | -0.44% | 0.00% | +0.01% | +0.13% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +0.08% | +0.10% | -0.18% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.01% | +0.25% | +0.06% | +0.18% | -0.27% | -0.15% | +0.03% | +0.23% | -0.20% | -0.14% | -0.33% |
| 21 Avg -0.05% | +0.22% | +0.02% | -0.11% | -0.02% | -0.15% | -0.07% | +0.02% | -0.25% | -0.07% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.12% |
| 22 Avg -0.03% | +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.21% | -0.12% | +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.29% | +0.13% | +0.14% | -0.02% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.14% | +0.45% | -0.18% | +0.05% | +0.11% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.05% | 0.00% |
| 24 Avg +0.03% | +0.15% | -0.11% | +0.08% | +0.14% | -0.12% | +0.07% | -0.21% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.13% | +0.18% |
| 25 Avg -0.05% | -0.26% | +0.20% | -0.05% | -0.22% | -0.20% | -0.12% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.14% | -0.31% | +0.09% | -0.05% |
| 26 Avg -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.07% | +0.10% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.08% | -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.30% | +0.10% | -0.15% | +0.10% |
| 27 Avg +0.11% | +0.15% | -0.17% | +0.19% | -0.02% | +0.27% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.26% | +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.12% | +0.15% |
| 28 Avg -0.08% | -0.33% | -0.26% | -0.26% | +0.01% | +0.05% | -0.26% | +0.06% | -0.10% | +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.20% | -0.26% |
| 29 Avg -0.02% | +0.06% | - | +0.09% | +0.06% | +0.19% | -0.10% | -0.12% | -0.17% | -0.05% | -0.15% | -0.05% | +0.02% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | +0.06% | - | +0.20% | +0.06% | -0.22% | -0.06% | -0.05% | +0.27% | -0.23% | +0.17% | +0.16% | -0.03% |
| 31 Avg +0.03% | -0.06% | - | -0.03% | - | +0.04% | - | +0.01% | +0.06% | - | +0.15% | - | +0.05% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
