Check historical price trends and seasonality for Nvidia (NVDA).
Nvidia (NVDA) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +99.62%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (May 2 for 30 days) is +16.27%.
6 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 75.00%.
1) Overview:
Nvidia exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with gains generally accelerating from January through the end of the year. The stock tends to start the year with modest gains, gradually increasing to +22.4% by March 31. The strongest period typically begins in May, reaching a peak of +77.8% by September 1 and continuing to climb, culminating in a significant surge to +104.8% by December 27.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities may arise during pullbacks in early September, where the average gain decreases from +77.8% on September 1 to +70.2% on September 7. Another potential dip occurs in mid-October, with the average gain decreasing from +82.3% on October 16 to +79.1% on October 20. These periods of consolidation or slight decline could present strategic entry points before the stock resumes its upward trajectory toward the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Nvidia involves considering entry points during periods of consolidation, such as early September or mid-October, to capitalize on the stock's overall bullish trend. Given the significant gains typically observed towards the end of the year, particularly around December 27, investors should consider holding positions through this period to maximize potential returns. However, it's crucial to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results, and other factors should be considered.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-05-02 | 114.5000 | 2025-05-31 | 135.1300 | 20.6300 | 18.02 |
| 2024 | 2024-05-02 | 85.8170 | 2024-05-31 | 109.6330 | 23.8160 | 27.75 |
| 2023 | 2023-05-02 | 28.2100 | 2023-05-31 | 37.8340 | 9.6240 | 34.12 |
| 2022 | 2022-05-02 | 19.5330 | 2022-05-31 | 18.6720 | -0.8610 | -4.41 |
| 2019 | 2019-05-02 | 4.5798 | 2019-05-31 | 3.3865 | -1.1933 | -26.06 |
| 2018 | 2018-05-02 | 5.6578 | 2018-05-31 | 6.3047 | 0.6469 | 11.43 |
| 2017 | 2017-05-02 | 2.5870 | 2017-05-31 | 3.6088 | 1.0218 | 39.50 |
| 2016 | 2016-05-02 | 0.9000 | 2016-05-31 | 1.1680 | 0.2680 | 29.78 |
| Avg | 32.7231 | 39.4671 | 6.74 | 16.27 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +5.40% | Feb Total +8.13% | Mar Total +7.04% | Apr Total -1.65% | May Total +16.03% | Jun Total +6.63% | Jul Total +8.65% | Aug Total +5.67% | Sep Total -0.50% | Oct Total +4.68% | Nov Total +7.87% | Dec Total -1.36% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.08% | 0.00% | +1.51% | +0.30% | -0.18% | +0.25% | +0.49% | -0.47% | -0.90% | -0.22% | +0.04% | +0.86% | -0.74% |
| 2 Avg +0.29% | +0.73% | +0.76% | +0.38% | +0.02% | +0.83% | +1.11% | +0.34% | -0.67% | -0.14% | -0.01% | +0.05% | +0.04% |
| 3 Avg -0.21% | -0.19% | -0.97% | -1.81% | -0.77% | +0.36% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.87% | -1.89% | +0.79% | +1.15% | -0.21% |
| 4 Avg +0.44% | +0.91% | +1.02% | +0.55% | -1.80% | +0.26% | +1.50% | 0.00% | +1.23% | -0.02% | +0.16% | +2.33% | -0.82% |
| 5 Avg -0.02% | -0.46% | -0.34% | -0.18% | -0.52% | -0.17% | +0.71% | +0.60% | -1.09% | +0.03% | +0.63% | +0.17% | +0.43% |
| 6 Avg +0.12% | +0.14% | +1.30% | -0.75% | +0.15% | +0.38% | -0.01% | +0.68% | +0.53% | -1.03% | +0.16% | +0.41% | -0.51% |
| 7 Avg +0.30% | -0.12% | +0.88% | -0.32% | -0.02% | +0.60% | -0.04% | +0.87% | +0.13% | -0.20% | -0.20% | +1.20% | +0.80% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | +0.45% | -0.22% | -0.93% | -0.15% | +0.44% | +0.58% | +0.62% | +0.24% | -0.67% | -0.12% | +0.07% | +0.45% |
| 9 Avg +0.13% | +1.40% | +1.52% | +0.58% | +1.50% | -1.37% | -0.36% | +0.87% | -1.13% | +0.99% | +0.42% | -1.54% | -1.30% |
| 10 Avg +0.39% | +0.41% | +0.02% | -0.22% | +0.28% | +2.31% | -0.08% | +1.05% | -0.21% | +0.61% | -0.94% | +1.50% | -0.02% |
| 11 Avg +0.27% | +0.72% | -0.44% | +0.45% | +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.44% | -0.35% | -1.21% | +0.92% | -0.22% | +3.73% | +0.09% |
| 12 Avg +0.41% | +0.22% | +0.19% | +0.29% | +0.05% | -0.55% | +0.64% | +1.49% | +1.93% | +0.31% | +0.82% | -0.44% | -0.02% |
| 13 Avg +0.36% | -0.43% | +0.34% | +1.58% | +0.82% | +2.38% | +0.11% | -0.20% | +1.07% | -1.07% | +0.53% | -0.25% | -0.57% |
| 14 Avg +0.63% | -0.50% | +2.41% | +0.21% | -0.04% | +1.53% | +0.85% | +0.47% | +1.63% | +0.86% | -0.41% | -0.06% | +0.56% |
| 15 Avg +0.40% | -0.57% | +1.07% | +1.39% | +0.14% | +1.08% | +0.58% | -0.13% | +0.26% | +0.62% | -0.44% | -0.27% | +1.07% |
| 16 Avg -0.18% | +0.05% | +0.13% | -0.10% | +0.02% | +0.39% | -0.47% | -0.69% | +0.33% | -0.63% | +0.95% | -1.28% | -0.86% |
| 17 Avg -0.10% | +0.92% | -1.06% | +1.24% | -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.58% | +0.05% | -0.84% | -0.60% | +0.11% | -0.68% | -0.69% |
| 18 Avg +0.41% | +0.13% | +0.73% | -0.47% | +0.43% | +0.62% | +0.95% | +0.77% | +0.20% | +0.20% | -0.28% | +0.75% | +0.88% |
| 19 Avg +0.16% | +0.42% | +0.75% | +0.91% | -1.51% | +0.35% | +0.25% | +0.51% | +0.62% | +0.45% | -0.59% | -0.21% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg +0.01% | +0.48% | -0.23% | +0.52% | -0.74% | +0.36% | +0.11% | +0.59% | +0.24% | -1.59% | +0.09% | +0.16% | +0.18% |
| 21 Avg 0.00% | +0.34% | -1.63% | +0.48% | -1.51% | +0.06% | -0.44% | -0.08% | +1.64% | +0.01% | +1.00% | -0.49% | +0.58% |
| 22 Avg +0.24% | +0.32% | +1.77% | +0.17% | +0.67% | +0.26% | +0.09% | +0.46% | -0.29% | +0.36% | -0.09% | -0.35% | -0.43% |
| 23 Avg +0.36% | +1.28% | +0.11% | -0.10% | +0.86% | +0.54% | -0.26% | +0.03% | +1.29% | -0.34% | -0.10% | +0.33% | +0.69% |
| 24 Avg +0.27% | +0.53% | -0.15% | +2.58% | +0.23% | +0.37% | -0.51% | -0.35% | 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.24% | +0.26% | -0.20% |
| 25 Avg +0.34% | -0.22% | -1.35% | -0.58% | +0.50% | +2.97% | +0.75% | -0.15% | +0.33% | +0.82% | +1.09% | -0.10% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.20% | +0.76% | +0.78% | +0.56% | +0.33% | +0.83% | -0.13% | +0.10% | -0.82% | -0.38% | -0.60% | +0.21% | +0.78% |
| 27 Avg -0.24% | -2.50% | -1.20% | -1.45% | +0.53% | +0.56% | -0.34% | +0.50% | +0.19% | +0.15% | +0.74% | -0.03% | -0.02% |
| 28 Avg +0.27% | +0.24% | +0.41% | -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.97% | +0.54% | +0.62% | +0.28% | +0.63% | +0.64% | -0.29% | -0.80% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | -0.20% | - | +1.18% | -0.44% | +0.63% | -0.61% | +0.38% | -0.35% | +0.22% | +0.09% | -0.25% | +0.21% |
| 30 Avg +0.09% | -0.34% | - | +0.56% | -0.55% | -0.07% | +0.38% | -0.71% | +0.07% | +0.83% | +0.49% | +0.92% | -0.59% |
| 31 Avg -0.01% | +0.48% | - | +0.10% | - | -0.87% | - | +0.73% | +0.10% | - | -0.31% | - | -0.30% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
