Check historical price trends and seasonality for Norfolk Southern Railway (NSC).
Norfolk Southern Railway (NSC) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.36%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -4.46%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Norfolk Southern Railway (NSC) exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year, starting in November and peaking around December. From November 6th, the stock tends to rise significantly, reaching +15.5% by December 1st. However, the stock experiences a bearish phase in March, bottoming out at -3.9% around March 23rd, followed by a recovery in late April.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in March, specifically around March 23rd, where the stock tends to experience a significant pullback of -3.9%. This dip is followed by a recovery phase starting in late April. Another potential dip occurs in early April, bottoming around April 7th, presenting another opportunity to buy before the late April rebound.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, consider initiating a long position in Norfolk Southern Railway (NSC) around March 23rd to capitalize on the anticipated recovery in late April. The strongest seasonal strength appears in November and December, suggesting holding through year-end could be beneficial. Be mindful of the potential for volatility during the bearish phase in March.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 247.1100 | 2025-03-16 | 232.3000 | -14.8100 | -5.99 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 229.0900 | 2024-03-15 | 255.8300 | 26.7400 | 11.67 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 206.2500 | 2020-03-15 | 146.8600 | -59.3900 | -28.80 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 162.8100 | 2019-03-16 | 179.5200 | 16.7100 | 10.26 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 153.0000 | 2018-03-16 | 138.5900 | -14.4100 | -9.42 |
| Avg | 199.6520 | 190.6200 | -9.03 | -4.46 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.36% | Feb Total -0.81% | Mar Total -0.06% | Apr Total +2.16% | May Total +0.97% | Jun Total -0.18% | Jul Total +5.05% | Aug Total +0.18% | Sep Total +0.12% | Oct Total +1.04% | Nov Total +6.99% | Dec Total -0.67% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.16% | 0.00% | +1.31% | +0.57% | -0.79% | -0.07% | +0.46% | +0.28% | -0.58% | +0.11% | -0.03% | +0.24% | +0.47% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.24% | -0.23% | +0.67% | +0.05% | +0.13% | +0.49% | +0.35% | -0.88% | -0.09% | -0.81% | +0.16% | -0.03% |
| 3 Avg -0.06% | -0.67% | -0.33% | -0.20% | -0.81% | -0.02% | +0.50% | +0.30% | +0.33% | -0.55% | +0.45% | +0.47% | -0.15% |
| 4 Avg +0.16% | +0.44% | +0.45% | +0.41% | -0.77% | +0.54% | -0.15% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.26% | +0.62% | +0.15% | +0.01% |
| 5 Avg -0.09% | +0.09% | -0.42% | -0.04% | -0.11% | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.42% | +0.01% | -0.29% | +0.35% | +0.26% | -0.63% |
| 6 Avg +0.17% | +0.53% | +0.10% | -0.31% | +0.43% | -0.57% | -0.07% | +0.35% | +0.63% | -0.09% | +0.14% | +0.89% | +0.04% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | +0.23% | -0.30% | -0.15% | -0.27% | +0.28% | +0.45% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.07% | -0.58% | +0.69% | +0.07% |
| 8 Avg -0.01% | +0.67% | -0.04% | -0.84% | +0.39% | +0.36% | +0.01% | -0.61% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.17% | -0.19% |
| 9 Avg -0.04% | -0.12% | +0.15% | -1.13% | +0.99% | -0.15% | -0.49% | +0.18% | -0.43% | +0.33% | +0.38% | +0.10% | -0.28% |
| 10 Avg +0.09% | -0.36% | +0.46% | +0.39% | -0.55% | +0.35% | -0.77% | +0.44% | +0.48% | +0.25% | -0.58% | +1.05% | -0.04% |
| 11 Avg +0.04% | +0.10% | +0.21% | -0.25% | +0.03% | -0.19% | -0.78% | +0.52% | +0.50% | +0.14% | +0.41% | -0.04% | -0.22% |
| 12 Avg +0.02% | +0.25% | +0.64% | -1.43% | -0.11% | +0.11% | +0.27% | +0.32% | -0.28% | +0.49% | -0.14% | -0.53% | +0.59% |
| 13 Avg +0.06% | -0.23% | -0.02% | +0.82% | +0.07% | -0.27% | -0.67% | +0.64% | +0.32% | -0.58% | +0.18% | +0.36% | +0.15% |
| 14 Avg +0.10% | +0.12% | +0.19% | -0.55% | +0.51% | +0.28% | -0.34% | +0.33% | +0.18% | +0.29% | +0.49% | +0.43% | -0.69% |
| 15 Avg +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.41% | -0.18% | -0.45% | -0.10% | +0.35% | +0.57% | -0.57% | +0.41% | +0.38% | +0.21% | +0.02% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | +0.36% | -0.08% | -1.10% | -0.17% | +0.27% | +0.25% | +0.17% | +0.30% | -0.21% | +0.37% | +0.41% | -0.45% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | -0.02% | -0.11% | +1.24% | +0.99% | -0.31% | -0.43% | -0.23% | -0.11% | -0.12% | -0.06% | -0.27% | -0.33% |
| 18 Avg +0.15% | +0.15% | -0.26% | -0.08% | +0.28% | -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.78% | +0.32% | +0.66% | -0.18% | +0.10% | +0.13% |
| 19 Avg -0.17% | +0.05% | -0.04% | +0.18% | +0.27% | -0.73% | -0.39% | -0.19% | +0.03% | +0.19% | -0.60% | -0.25% | -0.50% |
| 20 Avg -0.12% | +0.17% | +0.02% | -0.73% | +0.07% | +0.45% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.40% | -0.27% | -0.72% | -0.03% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.53% | -0.25% | -0.23% | +0.03% | -0.58% | +0.16% | +0.14% | +0.15% | -0.56% | +0.13% | +1.09% | +0.24% |
| 22 Avg +0.20% | -0.28% | -0.29% | -0.81% | +1.15% | +0.32% | +0.25% | +0.48% | -0.12% | +0.38% | +0.76% | +0.49% | +0.05% |
| 23 Avg -0.16% | +0.55% | -0.50% | -0.95% | +0.45% | -0.53% | +0.34% | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.45% | -1.14% | +0.05% | +0.39% |
| 24 Avg +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.17% | +2.37% | +0.28% | -0.13% | -0.79% | -0.89% | -0.06% | +0.34% | +0.11% | -0.04% | -0.11% |
| 25 Avg +0.15% | -0.41% | -0.54% | +0.09% | +0.40% | +0.49% | -0.17% | +1.21% | +0.14% | +0.07% | -0.19% | +0.70% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.13% | -0.48% | -0.29% | +1.08% | -0.31% | +0.96% | 0.00% | +1.06% | -0.28% | -0.29% | -0.11% | -0.28% | +0.52% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.44% | -0.04% | +0.95% | +0.68% | -0.62% | -0.71% | +0.11% | +0.19% | -0.08% | -0.46% | +0.36% |
| 28 Avg +0.16% | +0.23% | -0.44% | +0.24% | +0.30% | -0.55% | +0.85% | -0.12% | +0.47% | +0.29% | +0.32% | +0.43% | -0.12% |
| 29 Avg +0.23% | +0.78% | - | +0.38% | +0.02% | -0.34% | +0.44% | +0.43% | +0.36% | -0.41% | +0.10% | +0.74% | +0.08% |
| 30 Avg +0.13% | -0.15% | - | +0.84% | -1.15% | +0.65% | +0.69% | +0.04% | -0.03% | -0.27% | +0.68% | +0.40% | -0.31% |
| 31 Avg -0.21% | -0.28% | - | -0.31% | - | -0.37% | - | -0.18% | -0.67% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.30% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
