Check historical price trends and seasonality for Northrop Grumman (NOC).
Northrop Grumman (NOC) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +13.95%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 60 days) is +3.52%.
4 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 66.67%.
1) Overview:
Northrop Grumman typically experiences a strong bullish phase from late February through August, culminating in substantial gains. The stock tends to rally significantly from late February, reaching a peak in August. Following this peak, there's a period of consolidation or slight pullback in September before another significant surge. The year usually concludes with a strong rally in October, with a peak around October 9 (+17.6%), followed by a slight decline in November, and then a final push to finish the year strong, peaking on December 31 (+13.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity appears around February 5, where the stock tends to experience a dip of -0.7%. This dip could be a strategic entry point before the stock begins its climb through late February and into the spring months. Additionally, the consolidation period in September may offer another chance to buy before the October rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical data, a strategic approach to investing in Northrop Grumman would involve considering entry points during periods of weakness, such as early February. The significant gains observed in October and December suggest that holding the stock through the end of the year could be beneficial. Investors should be aware of the potential for pullbacks in September and November, which could impact short-term returns.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-04 | 482.3900 | 2025-04-04 | 485.5200 | 3.1300 | 0.65 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-04 | 369.7500 | 2022-04-04 | 452.2900 | 82.5400 | 22.32 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-04 | 301.8500 | 2021-04-04 | 322.2400 | 20.3900 | 6.76 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-04 | 361.8100 | 2020-04-03 | 313.6100 | -48.2000 | -13.32 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-04 | 278.7300 | 2019-04-04 | 271.0100 | -7.7200 | -2.77 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-04 | 186.3500 | 2016-04-03 | 200.3100 | 13.9600 | 7.49 |
| Avg | 330.1467 | 340.8300 | 10.68 | 3.52 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.13% | Feb Total +2.88% | Mar Total +1.49% | Apr Total +2.23% | May Total +1.38% | Jun Total +0.28% | Jul Total +3.48% | Aug Total +2.14% | Sep Total +0.99% | Oct Total -0.73% | Nov Total +0.75% | Dec Total -0.62% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.24% | -0.11% | +0.43% | -0.56% | -0.06% | +0.19% | +0.42% | -0.17% | -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.82% |
| 2 Avg +0.15% | +0.36% | +0.05% | +0.42% | -0.02% | -0.30% | 0.00% | +0.26% | +0.08% | +0.31% | -0.04% | +0.52% | +0.12% |
| 3 Avg +0.17% | +0.39% | +0.01% | -0.10% | -0.23% | +0.65% | +0.86% | +0.24% | -0.04% | -0.44% | +0.31% | -0.16% | +0.53% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.20% | +0.62% | -0.19% | +0.24% | +0.59% | 0.00% | -0.26% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.25% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | +0.29% | -0.67% | -0.21% | +0.62% | +0.75% | -0.05% | -0.42% | +0.22% | -0.32% | -0.04% | +0.07% | -0.56% |
| 6 Avg +0.17% | -0.31% | +0.38% | +0.01% | +0.55% | -0.25% | +0.19% | +0.27% | +0.13% | -0.08% | +0.44% | +0.35% | +0.34% |
| 7 Avg +0.17% | -0.27% | +0.52% | +0.19% | +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.40% | -0.15% | +0.29% | +0.04% | +0.55% | +0.41% | -0.06% |
| 8 Avg 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.16% | -0.55% | +0.32% | +0.39% | -0.01% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -0.17% | +0.58% | +0.21% | -0.15% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | -0.43% | +0.75% | -0.72% | +0.46% | -0.17% | -0.26% | -0.28% | +0.25% | -0.41% | +0.80% | +0.36% | -0.01% |
| 10 Avg +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.44% | +0.81% | +0.17% | +0.28% | -0.44% | +0.37% | +0.03% | -0.20% | -0.36% | +0.38% | +0.55% |
| 11 Avg -0.12% | +0.07% | +0.24% | -0.46% | +0.41% | -0.59% | -1.13% | +0.18% | +0.21% | +0.44% | -0.18% | -0.69% | +0.12% |
| 12 Avg -0.06% | +0.28% | -0.13% | -1.46% | +0.43% | +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.12% | +0.30% | -0.04% | +0.11% | -0.55% | +0.25% |
| 13 Avg +0.03% | -0.23% | -0.17% | +1.26% | +0.10% | -0.42% | +0.19% | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.43% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.02% |
| 14 Avg -0.14% | +0.46% | -0.31% | -0.41% | +0.40% | -0.78% | -0.20% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.53% | -0.26% | -0.39% | -0.66% |
| 15 Avg +0.10% | -0.10% | +0.31% | +0.25% | -0.29% | +0.54% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.28% | -0.30% | +0.16% | +0.19% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | +0.01% | +0.35% | -1.72% | +0.33% | +0.57% | -0.20% | +0.10% | +0.20% | +0.30% | +0.21% | -0.11% | +0.06% |
| 17 Avg +0.30% | +0.13% | +0.76% | +1.66% | +0.54% | +0.35% | -0.13% | +0.35% | +0.20% | +0.18% | -0.26% | +0.19% | -0.38% |
| 18 Avg +0.03% | -0.12% | +0.08% | +0.53% | +0.28% | +0.19% | -0.31% | -0.62% | -0.20% | +0.68% | +0.43% | -0.11% | -0.45% |
| 19 Avg -0.16% | +0.04% | -0.46% | -0.82% | +0.07% | -0.27% | -0.26% | +0.02% | -0.08% | -0.17% | -0.01% | -0.18% | +0.17% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.28% | -0.43% | +0.14% | +0.39% | +0.24% | +0.26% | -0.21% | +0.07% | +0.03% | -0.58% |
| 21 Avg +0.11% | +0.31% | +0.49% | +0.35% | -0.95% | +0.33% | +0.72% | -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.29% | +0.11% | +0.38% | -0.23% |
| 22 Avg +0.02% | -0.15% | +0.06% | -0.27% | -0.71% | -0.25% | -0.31% | +1.19% | +0.21% | +0.23% | -0.29% | +0.26% | +0.23% |
| 23 Avg -0.06% | +0.28% | +0.01% | -0.30% | +0.39% | +0.08% | -0.42% | -0.06% | -0.63% | -0.21% | +0.08% | -0.07% | +0.15% |
| 24 Avg +0.06% | +0.18% | +0.11% | +0.84% | -0.85% | +0.71% | -0.48% | +0.53% | +0.17% | +0.12% | -0.31% | +0.04% | -0.33% |
| 25 Avg +0.10% | -0.22% | +0.17% | +0.75% | -0.02% | -0.23% | +0.15% | +0.43% | -0.08% | +0.49% | -0.34% | +0.07% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.01% | -0.36% | -0.63% | +1.26% | -0.35% | -0.03% | -0.19% | -0.18% | +0.11% | +0.32% | -0.07% | -0.09% | +0.28% |
| 27 Avg -0.04% | -0.94% | +0.10% | -0.21% | +0.17% | +0.86% | +0.10% | -0.20% | +0.07% | +0.24% | -0.76% | -0.46% | +0.52% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.10% | +0.58% | -0.16% | +0.20% | -0.49% | +0.13% | +0.47% | -0.09% | +0.26% | -0.78% | +0.33% | +0.29% |
| 29 Avg +0.03% | +0.27% | - | +0.46% | +0.14% | -0.57% | +0.05% | +0.84% | +0.30% | -0.35% | -0.89% | +0.04% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.23% | +0.29% | - | +0.39% | +0.24% | +0.36% | +0.92% | +0.16% | +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.17% | +0.02% |
| 31 Avg -0.18% | -0.36% | - | -0.54% | - | -0.33% | - | -0.17% | -0.15% | - | +0.22% | - | +0.08% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|