Check historical price trends and seasonality for Numeraire (NMR-USD).
Numeraire (NMR-USD) average YTD return over the past 5 years is -7.17%.
Over the past 5 years, the return for the specified period (Jun 15 for 30 days) is +6.30%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Numeraire (NMR-USD) exhibits strong seasonality, with a pronounced bullish phase from February through April. February shows consistent gains, peaking around February 22 with an average increase of +39.2%. This bullish momentum continues into March and April, culminating in a significant peak around April 17 with an average gain of +61.4%. Conversely, the period from June to July tends to be bearish, with a notable low around June 26, showing an average decrease of -22.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during the pullback periods in June and July, as well as mid-November. The most significant dip occurs around June 26, with an average decline of -22.1%, presenting a substantial discount. A secondary, less severe pullback occurs in July, bottoming out around July 11 with an average decline of -18.4%. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong rallies earlier in the year, potentially setting the stage for a rebound later in the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Numeraire (NMR-USD) could involve accumulating positions during the June/July and mid-November pullbacks to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. Specifically, consider entry points around June 26, given the -22.1% average decline. However, remember that seasonality is just one factor, and broader market conditions and fundamental analysis should also be considered before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-06-15 | 7.6620 | 2025-07-14 | 8.0518 | 0.3898 | 5.09 |
| 2024 | 2024-06-15 | 21.9431 | 2024-07-14 | 13.6279 | -8.3152 | -37.89 |
| 2023 | 2023-06-15 | 11.5436 | 2023-07-14 | 13.5685 | 2.0248 | 17.54 |
| 2022 | 2022-06-15 | 8.4963 | 2022-07-14 | 14.6412 | 6.1448 | 72.32 |
| 2021 | 2021-06-15 | 42.1861 | 2021-07-14 | 31.3957 | -10.7904 | -25.58 |
| Avg | 18.3662 | 16.2570 | -2.11 | 6.30 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.44% | Feb Total +26.23% | Mar Total +8.28% | Apr Total -4.34% | May Total -9.00% | Jun Total +3.80% | Jul Total +0.43% | Aug Total +17.59% | Sep Total +12.18% | Oct Total -2.46% | Nov Total +7.80% | Dec Total -4.51% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.71% | 0.00% | +1.27% | +4.16% | -0.29% | -0.27% | -2.36% | -6.89% | -2.75% | -2.50% | +2.30% | +1.19% | -2.37% |
| 2 Avg +0.65% | -1.80% | -2.86% | -1.09% | -4.17% | +0.29% | +0.70% | -2.59% | -0.52% | +17.94% | -1.91% | +1.22% | +2.60% |
| 3 Avg -0.30% | -0.28% | +4.22% | -3.39% | -0.83% | +1.30% | -0.95% | -2.13% | -0.62% | -0.93% | -0.85% | -1.06% | +1.96% |
| 4 Avg +1.48% | +5.47% | +11.52% | -2.81% | +7.52% | -1.20% | +2.10% | +0.38% | -0.09% | -5.01% | +1.54% | -0.47% | -1.17% |
| 5 Avg +0.52% | -1.06% | +2.36% | +0.02% | -0.54% | +0.81% | -3.79% | -2.55% | -1.12% | -1.73% | +3.23% | +1.39% | +9.22% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | -0.35% | -4.43% | +1.69% | -3.43% | -2.83% | +1.13% | +0.32% | +1.64% | +7.64% | -0.15% | +1.59% | -1.94% |
| 7 Avg -0.83% | -4.37% | +4.04% | -0.55% | -0.01% | -0.74% | -5.06% | -1.98% | +1.91% | +0.66% | -2.50% | +0.82% | -2.12% |
| 8 Avg -0.59% | -0.87% | -1.47% | -0.48% | +2.63% | -2.00% | -1.58% | -1.99% | +2.15% | -4.08% | +0.91% | -2.58% | +2.32% |
| 9 Avg +0.24% | +0.06% | +0.08% | +4.41% | +2.43% | -0.80% | +3.00% | +2.32% | -1.15% | +1.00% | -2.03% | -4.11% | -2.34% |
| 10 Avg -0.98% | +2.33% | +3.24% | -3.54% | -1.80% | -2.49% | -5.40% | -0.65% | +0.25% | +3.82% | -7.31% | +3.84% | -4.11% |
| 11 Avg -0.68% | -0.05% | +0.14% | +1.01% | -0.96% | -3.08% | -3.34% | -1.75% | -2.30% | +0.84% | +0.57% | -0.99% | +1.69% |
| 12 Avg -0.13% | +0.31% | +3.42% | -0.42% | -2.65% | -3.71% | -2.93% | +0.78% | +1.78% | -1.02% | +4.64% | -1.75% | -0.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.60% | +0.47% | -0.59% | +1.25% | -3.78% | +0.99% | -3.30% | +1.29% | +2.93% | -2.00% | -0.29% | -2.85% | -1.34% |
| 14 Avg -0.25% | -0.86% | +1.59% | +1.83% | +1.71% | -1.13% | -0.48% | +0.32% | -2.66% | -0.50% | -0.45% | -0.97% | -1.44% |
| 15 Avg +0.46% | +1.07% | +0.08% | -0.11% | -0.85% | +2.29% | +1.15% | +0.97% | -2.34% | +0.15% | +0.49% | +2.37% | +0.21% |
| 16 Avg -0.25% | +0.98% | +0.84% | -2.42% | +0.17% | +6.35% | -2.07% | +2.26% | -0.78% | -2.43% | -0.60% | -2.10% | -3.20% |
| 17 Avg +0.81% | +0.99% | +2.13% | +10.09% | +4.49% | -1.75% | -2.02% | -1.47% | -2.17% | +1.23% | -0.84% | -0.83% | -0.12% |
| 18 Avg -0.99% | -2.46% | +0.94% | +1.60% | -2.47% | -1.31% | -3.08% | -0.10% | -0.38% | +0.99% | -0.35% | -0.01% | -5.28% |
| 19 Avg -0.19% | -3.46% | +2.24% | -2.91% | +3.04% | -6.36% | +0.82% | +0.01% | +3.92% | -0.49% | +0.31% | +2.49% | -1.90% |
| 20 Avg +1.56% | +2.31% | -1.49% | +0.70% | +0.68% | +4.59% | +2.45% | +1.51% | +2.07% | -2.28% | +2.13% | +5.58% | +0.51% |
| 21 Avg -0.93% | -2.88% | -1.32% | -1.81% | -3.47% | -3.23% | -3.15% | +8.28% | +3.49% | -1.56% | -0.90% | -4.87% | +0.22% |
| 22 Avg -0.33% | -2.06% | +3.19% | -3.01% | +0.23% | +0.74% | -4.27% | -3.26% | +1.69% | +0.01% | -0.40% | +1.99% | +1.21% |
| 23 Avg +0.47% | +1.63% | -4.47% | +0.25% | +0.07% | -4.88% | +4.41% | -1.42% | +1.28% | +4.35% | +0.72% | +2.05% | +1.70% |
| 24 Avg -0.23% | -1.47% | -1.11% | -1.16% | -0.83% | +2.41% | +0.87% | -2.07% | -1.06% | -2.19% | +0.61% | +2.01% | +1.27% |
| 25 Avg +0.41% | +0.94% | -0.13% | -0.73% | +0.89% | +1.42% | -0.39% | +4.49% | -1.95% | -0.69% | -0.14% | +0.72% | +0.44% |
| 26 Avg +2.44% | -0.10% | +1.53% | +4.64% | +1.28% | +6.34% | -3.16% | +0.74% | +16.76% | +3.08% | +1.52% | -2.33% | -0.97% |
| 27 Avg +0.82% | +4.66% | -0.96% | -1.20% | -0.08% | -2.00% | +1.19% | +3.52% | +5.33% | -1.26% | -2.60% | +1.72% | +1.56% |
| 28 Avg -0.38% | +0.19% | +2.25% | -0.10% | -0.71% | -3.09% | -0.21% | -0.63% | -4.49% | +1.19% | +1.20% | +1.61% | -1.79% |
| 29 Avg +1.57% | +1.03% | - | +2.17% | -3.09% | +5.84% | +10.09% | +0.22% | -0.46% | -0.20% | +1.56% | +0.19% | -0.13% |
| 30 Avg +2.14% | -0.14% | - | +0.44% | +0.47% | +2.19% | +23.41% | -1.09% | -1.32% | -1.85% | -1.94% | +1.92% | +1.46% |
| 31 Avg -0.45% | +0.20% | - | -0.24% | - | -3.68% | - | +3.59% | -1.47% | - | -0.93% | - | -0.61% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|