Check historical price trends and seasonality for Numeraire (NMR-USD).
Numeraire (NMR-USD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +35.98%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +21.97%.
4 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
Numeraire (NMR-USD) exhibits strong seasonality, with a pronounced bullish phase from February through April. February shows consistent gains, peaking around February 22 with an average increase of +39.2%. This bullish momentum continues into March and April, culminating in a significant peak around April 17 with an average gain of +61.4%. Conversely, the period from June to July tends to be bearish, with a notable low around June 26, showing an average decrease of -22.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during the pullback periods in June and July, as well as mid-November. The most significant dip occurs around June 26, with an average decline of -22.1%, presenting a substantial discount. A secondary, less severe pullback occurs in July, bottoming out around July 11 with an average decline of -18.4%. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong rallies earlier in the year, potentially setting the stage for a rebound later in the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Numeraire (NMR-USD) could involve accumulating positions during the June/July and mid-November pullbacks to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. Specifically, consider entry points around June 26, given the -22.1% average decline. However, remember that seasonality is just one factor, and broader market conditions and fundamental analysis should also be considered before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 14.4231 | 2025-03-16 | 8.3959 | -6.0273 | -41.79 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 17.8910 | 2024-03-15 | 39.2326 | 21.3416 | 119.29 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 16.1571 | 2023-03-16 | 19.1099 | 2.9528 | 18.28 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-16 | 28.4517 | 2022-03-16 | 28.1420 | -0.3098 | -1.09 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-16 | 28.3978 | 2021-03-16 | 44.7333 | 16.3354 | 57.52 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 6.1904 | 2020-03-15 | 5.7526 | -0.4378 | -7.07 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 3.0990 | 2019-03-16 | 5.4346 | 2.3357 | 75.37 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 28.9714 | 2018-03-16 | 16.0159 | -12.9555 | -44.72 |
| Avg | 17.9477 | 20.8521 | 2.90 | 21.97 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.73% | Feb Total +28.95% | Mar Total +31.24% | Apr Total +8.72% | May Total -7.11% | Jun Total -4.55% | Jul Total +4.03% | Aug Total +24.20% | Sep Total -3.82% | Oct Total +9.84% | Nov Total +4.91% | Dec Total -6.37% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +6.36% | +1.17% | +1.01% | -1.17% | -4.77% | -0.88% | -2.45% | +2.53% | -0.81% | -1.62% |
| 2 Avg +0.41% | -0.73% | -1.91% | +0.28% | -1.74% | +2.73% | +0.10% | -1.96% | -2.16% | +11.30% | -3.37% | -0.51% | +2.88% |
| 3 Avg +0.37% | +0.49% | +3.89% | -1.92% | +2.30% | +0.87% | -0.83% | -0.57% | +0.06% | -2.47% | +1.82% | +0.12% | +0.66% |
| 4 Avg +1.57% | +3.54% | +3.85% | +7.99% | +3.18% | -0.35% | +0.23% | -0.94% | -0.59% | -2.07% | +4.36% | -0.88% | +0.58% |
| 5 Avg -0.34% | -2.55% | +0.01% | -2.47% | -0.60% | +0.62% | -2.48% | -1.23% | +1.83% | -5.98% | +2.81% | +1.29% | +4.68% |
| 6 Avg +0.33% | +1.91% | -1.03% | +0.31% | -3.24% | +2.00% | +2.07% | -0.60% | -0.09% | +4.51% | -0.68% | +1.25% | -2.46% |
| 7 Avg +0.52% | +0.34% | +3.27% | -1.63% | +4.75% | -2.06% | -3.66% | -0.11% | +0.91% | +0.65% | +2.98% | +0.93% | -0.14% |
| 8 Avg -0.61% | +1.29% | 0.00% | -2.39% | +1.73% | +0.67% | -2.99% | -1.75% | -1.85% | -3.92% | +0.08% | +0.71% | +1.15% |
| 9 Avg -0.30% | -1.13% | +0.13% | +1.39% | -0.45% | -0.31% | +1.11% | +1.43% | -0.46% | +0.97% | -2.11% | -2.82% | -1.39% |
| 10 Avg -0.87% | +3.24% | +4.21% | -2.12% | -1.90% | -4.31% | -2.79% | -3.12% | -0.98% | +1.73% | -4.36% | +3.67% | -3.69% |
| 11 Avg -0.79% | -1.04% | -1.23% | +2.54% | +0.33% | -4.73% | -2.45% | -2.27% | -0.30% | +0.19% | -1.42% | -1.07% | +2.02% |
| 12 Avg +2.01% | +1.18% | +5.95% | -6.92% | -0.67% | -0.97% | -1.85% | +4.18% | +22.55% | +0.17% | +2.98% | -2.47% | -0.03% |
| 13 Avg +0.07% | +0.53% | -4.01% | +4.40% | -2.63% | +2.37% | -0.20% | +0.82% | +0.17% | -0.95% | -0.12% | -0.82% | +1.26% |
| 14 Avg -0.86% | -2.20% | +2.76% | -1.31% | +2.00% | -2.70% | +1.92% | +0.03% | -4.88% | -0.93% | -0.62% | -2.41% | -1.95% |
| 15 Avg -0.45% | +0.28% | -0.37% | -0.74% | -0.38% | +0.11% | -1.70% | +2.43% | -1.45% | -0.75% | -0.60% | +0.25% | -2.43% |
| 16 Avg -0.88% | -3.10% | -0.16% | -3.36% | +1.90% | +3.32% | -1.56% | -0.48% | +0.92% | -2.63% | -1.86% | -1.54% | -1.98% |
| 17 Avg +0.90% | +0.62% | +2.62% | +6.56% | +1.24% | -1.84% | -1.18% | +2.30% | +0.90% | -0.17% | -1.24% | -0.51% | +1.54% |
| 18 Avg -0.18% | +0.89% | +0.87% | +0.24% | +1.18% | -1.81% | -2.67% | +1.43% | -4.50% | -0.56% | +5.46% | +0.68% | -3.41% |
| 19 Avg +2.23% | -1.95% | +3.12% | +20.33% | +4.30% | -4.55% | +1.54% | -0.86% | +3.84% | +0.85% | -1.68% | -0.67% | +2.50% |
| 20 Avg +1.89% | +1.16% | +10.72% | -1.05% | +0.89% | +2.94% | +0.95% | +2.11% | +1.55% | +0.14% | +0.73% | +4.06% | -1.49% |
| 21 Avg -1.36% | -4.50% | -1.52% | +1.30% | -2.53% | -3.59% | -1.97% | +4.66% | -0.03% | -1.29% | -1.89% | -3.53% | -1.40% |
| 22 Avg -0.25% | -0.84% | -0.31% | -0.77% | +0.76% | +1.65% | -5.26% | -2.08% | +1.34% | -0.55% | -0.22% | +2.59% | +0.65% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +1.64% | -3.42% | -0.96% | +0.86% | -3.55% | +2.03% | -1.72% | +1.22% | +2.59% | -0.71% | +2.31% | +0.35% |
| 24 Avg -0.54% | -0.63% | -2.95% | +0.01% | -0.79% | +1.53% | -0.58% | -0.07% | -0.80% | -1.93% | -0.70% | -1.73% | +2.20% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.50% | +1.12% | +0.07% | -2.14% | +0.68% | +0.16% | +2.76% | -2.18% | +0.12% | +2.34% | -2.16% | -0.85% |
| 26 Avg +1.82% | +0.09% | +0.27% | +8.08% | +2.26% | +4.64% | -2.96% | -0.52% | +10.39% | +2.38% | +1.43% | -3.10% | -1.15% |
| 27 Avg +0.92% | +3.67% | +1.73% | -1.05% | -0.61% | -0.53% | -0.82% | +2.73% | +5.03% | -0.58% | -2.28% | +3.49% | +0.29% |
| 28 Avg -0.04% | +0.52% | +1.36% | -1.02% | +0.79% | -3.97% | +1.41% | -0.47% | -4.27% | -0.38% | -0.03% | +6.50% | -0.86% |
| 29 Avg +0.77% | -0.26% | - | -2.32% | -1.72% | +3.19% | +6.75% | +0.46% | -1.14% | -1.95% | +0.34% | +5.00% | +0.09% |
| 30 Avg +0.86% | -2.33% | - | +0.79% | -1.52% | +1.09% | +14.29% | -0.68% | -0.52% | +0.16% | +0.93% | -2.92% | +0.19% |
| 31 Avg +0.54% | -1.39% | - | +0.61% | - | -1.24% | - | +2.88% | +0.57% | - | +4.90% | - | -2.56% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
