Check historical price trends and seasonality for Annaly Capital Management (NLY).
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -3.77%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -3.72%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Annaly Capital Management tends to experience a strong bullish phase in early January, peaking around February 1st with an average gain of +2.7%. Following this high, the stock typically enters a bearish phase, declining significantly from mid-March through October. The most substantial decline occurs around October 29th, averaging -8.5%. The stock then experiences a slight recovery in late November before declining again towards December 31st, averaging -3.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several potential buy-the-dip opportunities emerge throughout the year. The most significant pullback occurs from mid-March through October, presenting a chance to buy at lower prices. The sharpest decline culminates around October 29th (-8.5%), potentially offering an attractive entry point for investors anticipating a rebound. Another smaller dip occurs leading up to December 31st (-3.8%), which could be another opportunity before the typical January rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Annaly Capital Management might involve accumulating shares during the weakness from mid-March to late October, especially around October 29th. Consider capitalizing on the typical strength observed around February 1st by potentially reducing holdings or taking profits. Investors should be aware of the late December weakness and adjust their positions accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 19.1600 | 2025-03-16 | 21.6100 | 2.4500 | 12.79 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 19.3400 | 2024-03-15 | 19.4800 | 0.1400 | 0.72 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 38.6000 | 2020-03-15 | 27.6000 | -11.0000 | -28.50 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 40.7200 | 2019-03-16 | 41.2800 | 0.5600 | 1.38 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 44.7200 | 2018-03-16 | 42.4800 | -2.2400 | -5.01 |
| Avg | 32.5080 | 30.4900 | -2.02 | -3.72 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.06% | Feb Total -1.86% | Mar Total -4.87% | Apr Total +2.97% | May Total -0.82% | Jun Total +0.28% | Jul Total +4.47% | Aug Total -1.09% | Sep Total -5.93% | Oct Total -1.74% | Nov Total +5.83% | Dec Total -0.43% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.59% | -0.18% | -1.31% | -0.55% | +0.83% | -0.12% | -0.19% | 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.54% | +0.19% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | -0.06% | -0.11% | +1.01% | +0.25% | -0.56% | -0.02% | +0.13% | -0.57% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.21% |
| 3 Avg -0.02% | +0.61% | -0.36% | +0.02% | -1.53% | +0.06% | +0.98% | +0.25% | -0.06% | -0.15% | -0.10% | -0.04% | +0.07% |
| 4 Avg +0.12% | +0.01% | +0.24% | -0.09% | -0.30% | +0.11% | +0.43% | 0.00% | -0.12% | +0.17% | +0.23% | +0.51% | +0.24% |
| 5 Avg +0.06% | +0.22% | +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.68% | -0.10% | +0.17% | -0.27% | +0.02% | -0.39% | +0.59% | -0.15% |
| 6 Avg -0.05% | +0.34% | -0.07% | -0.22% | +0.36% | -0.08% | +0.28% | -0.32% | +0.18% | +0.16% | -1.07% | -0.41% | +0.22% |
| 7 Avg +0.14% | -0.16% | -0.06% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.34% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.11% | -0.14% | +0.91% | +0.50% |
| 8 Avg +0.54% | -0.04% | +0.10% | +0.53% | +3.09% | -0.10% | +0.86% | +0.08% | +0.61% | +0.14% | +0.49% | +0.63% | +0.15% |
| 9 Avg -0.15% | -0.13% | -0.58% | -1.39% | +1.00% | -0.55% | -0.05% | +0.17% | +0.11% | -0.09% | +0.08% | -0.39% | -0.01% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.37% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -1.39% | +0.49% | -0.67% | +0.84% | +0.34% | +0.04% | -0.90% | +1.27% | -0.27% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +0.39% | -0.48% | -0.74% | +0.37% | -0.36% | -0.46% | +0.35% | -0.11% | +0.35% | +0.85% | +0.18% | -0.05% |
| 12 Avg -0.07% | -0.09% | +0.35% | -1.36% | -0.06% | -0.60% | +1.21% | +0.37% | -0.16% | -0.21% | +0.16% | -0.34% | -0.06% |
| 13 Avg +0.07% | -0.28% | +0.28% | +0.51% | +0.24% | +0.16% | -0.92% | -0.34% | +0.09% | -0.28% | +0.32% | +0.46% | +0.55% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | +0.26% | -0.42% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +0.76% | +0.01% | -0.29% | -0.47% | +0.42% | -0.33% | +0.04% | +0.26% |
| 15 Avg +0.03% | +0.11% | +0.59% | +0.18% | -0.58% | +0.03% | -0.15% | +0.58% | -0.14% | -0.44% | +0.19% | -0.06% | +0.01% |
| 16 Avg -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.43% | -0.18% | -0.46% | -0.14% | -0.45% | +0.22% | +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.08% | +0.09% | -0.14% |
| 17 Avg +0.00% | +0.03% | -0.46% | +0.20% | +1.11% | -0.28% | -0.16% | -0.05% | -0.17% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -0.24% | -0.26% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -1.80% | -0.08% | +0.53% | -0.05% | -0.23% | -0.16% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.24% | -0.26% |
| 19 Avg -0.06% | -0.35% | +0.14% | -0.16% | -0.22% | +0.04% | -0.10% | +0.15% | +0.12% | +0.25% | -0.51% | -0.22% | +0.11% |
| 20 Avg +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.17% | +0.24% | -0.18% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.39% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.05% | +0.11% | -0.25% |
| 21 Avg +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.76% | +0.16% | +0.35% | -0.45% | +0.60% | +0.45% | -0.38% | -0.54% | -0.19% | +0.73% | +0.76% |
| 22 Avg +0.12% | +0.22% | +0.19% | -0.06% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.18% | +0.35% | -0.11% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.29% | +0.41% |
| 23 Avg -0.09% | +0.22% | +0.10% | -1.22% | +0.30% | -0.38% | +0.38% | -0.02% | +0.34% | -0.84% | -0.38% | +0.31% | +0.15% |
| 24 Avg +0.15% | -0.10% | +0.13% | +0.84% | +0.31% | -0.20% | +0.46% | 0.00% | +0.55% | -0.22% | -0.19% | +0.06% | +0.12% |
| 25 Avg +0.20% | +0.04% | -0.34% | +1.98% | +0.04% | -0.37% | +0.18% | -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.08% | +0.15% | +0.54% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.05% | +0.48% | +0.11% | +0.56% | -0.20% | +0.70% | -0.09% | +0.51% | -0.60% | -0.78% | -0.47% | -0.11% | +0.46% |
| 27 Avg -0.15% | +0.05% | -0.96% | -0.31% | +0.83% | +0.46% | -0.59% | +0.08% | -0.33% | -0.83% | -0.24% | -0.04% | +0.09% |
| 28 Avg -0.12% | +0.46% | -0.45% | -0.52% | +1.15% | -0.50% | -0.77% | +0.51% | +0.31% | -0.58% | -0.09% | +0.16% | -1.06% |
| 29 Avg -0.27% | -0.12% | - | -0.23% | +0.12% | -0.29% | -1.29% | +0.68% | +0.19% | -1.89% | -0.06% | +0.61% | -0.71% |
| 30 Avg -0.35% | +0.19% | - | -1.52% | -0.35% | +0.28% | -0.11% | +0.05% | -0.30% | -0.78% | +0.30% | -0.54% | -1.10% |
| 31 Avg -0.27% | +0.05% | - | -1.20% | - | -0.12% | - | -0.47% | -0.09% | - | +0.53% | - | -0.62% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
