Check historical price trends and seasonality for Netflix (NFLX).
Netflix (NFLX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +30.45%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -2.03%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
Netflix's historical data suggests a strong bullish tendency throughout the year. The stock tends to climb steadily from January, experiencing significant gains through the first half of the year. The bullish trend peaks around July, reaching approximately +29.6% by July 10. After the summer peak, the stock consolidates through the fall before experiencing a final surge, culminating in substantial gains of +31.3% by November 28 and +30.4% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Historically, there appears to be a pullback period in late July, offering a potential buying opportunity as the stock retraces from its summer highs. Another potential dip occurs in early December, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the stock before it reaches its year-end peak. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after periods of strong performance or broader market corrections. The rebound from these dips tends to be relatively swift, making timely entry crucial for maximizing gains.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Netflix would involve considering entry points during pullback periods in late July and early December. Investors should be aware of the stock's tendency to consolidate in the fall before experiencing a year-end rally. Timing entry points around these periods could potentially lead to capturing significant gains, especially leading up to the end of the year.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 97.3700 | 2025-05-01 | 113.3470 | 15.9770 | 16.41 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 31.5180 | 2023-05-01 | 32.4120 | 0.8940 | 2.84 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 36.8070 | 2022-05-01 | 19.0360 | -17.7710 | -48.28 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 52.0700 | 2021-05-01 | 51.3470 | -0.7230 | -1.39 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 36.8770 | 2020-05-01 | 41.5270 | 4.6500 | 12.61 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 13.9140 | 2017-05-01 | 15.5350 | 1.6210 | 11.65 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 9.7930 | 2016-05-01 | 9.0030 | -0.7900 | -8.07 |
| Avg | 39.7641 | 40.3153 | 0.55 | -2.03 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +7.45% | Feb Total +1.82% | Mar Total +1.82% | Apr Total -3.79% | May Total +7.03% | Jun Total +2.91% | Jul Total +0.79% | Aug Total +3.68% | Sep Total -0.50% | Oct Total +6.59% | Nov Total +2.40% | Dec Total -0.22% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.57% | 0.00% | +1.18% | +0.47% | +0.71% | +0.21% | +0.17% | +1.47% | +0.27% | +1.16% | +0.59% | +0.35% | +0.23% |
| 2 Avg -0.02% | +0.24% | -0.65% | +0.14% | -0.25% | +1.14% | +0.81% | +0.04% | -0.64% | -0.08% | -0.80% | -0.52% | +0.37% |
| 3 Avg -0.25% | +0.40% | -0.35% | -1.09% | +0.03% | +0.12% | -1.11% | -0.08% | +0.21% | -0.88% | +0.46% | +0.11% | -0.77% |
| 4 Avg +0.23% | +0.91% | +1.04% | +0.18% | -0.52% | +0.74% | +0.62% | 0.00% | +0.70% | +0.10% | +0.18% | -0.27% | -0.94% |
| 5 Avg -0.07% | -0.25% | -1.03% | +0.28% | -0.05% | -1.32% | +0.76% | +0.95% | -0.55% | -0.42% | +1.18% | +0.20% | -0.61% |
| 6 Avg +0.23% | +0.74% | +0.14% | -0.39% | 0.00% | +0.24% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.82% | -0.07% | +0.32% | +0.15% | +0.88% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | +0.10% | -0.16% | -1.37% | -0.27% | +0.42% | -0.14% | +0.41% | -0.12% | +0.66% | -0.15% | +0.75% | +0.21% |
| 8 Avg -0.04% | +0.45% | -0.27% | -0.86% | -0.33% | +0.04% | +0.19% | -0.11% | +0.71% | -0.35% | +0.24% | +0.09% | -0.26% |
| 9 Avg -0.14% | -0.33% | +0.64% | +0.36% | +0.83% | -0.30% | -0.71% | +0.66% | -0.75% | +0.11% | +0.49% | -1.91% | -0.75% |
| 10 Avg -0.14% | -0.11% | +0.07% | -0.07% | +0.05% | +0.37% | -1.18% | +0.59% | -0.15% | -0.74% | -0.73% | +0.64% | -0.39% |
| 11 Avg -0.07% | +1.07% | -0.88% | +0.08% | +0.11% | -0.58% | +0.03% | -1.07% | -0.26% | +0.38% | -1.40% | +1.25% | +0.49% |
| 12 Avg +0.11% | +0.14% | +1.15% | -1.02% | -0.35% | -0.44% | -0.61% | +0.01% | +0.60% | +0.71% | +0.66% | +0.28% | +0.23% |
| 13 Avg +0.21% | -0.16% | +0.13% | +0.50% | +1.62% | +0.88% | +0.05% | -0.51% | +0.20% | -1.55% | +0.97% | -0.17% | +0.58% |
| 14 Avg +0.13% | -0.25% | +1.08% | +0.28% | -0.10% | +0.36% | +0.69% | +0.32% | +0.04% | -0.38% | -0.22% | 0.00% | -0.29% |
| 15 Avg +0.41% | +0.56% | +1.14% | +0.79% | +0.76% | +0.54% | +0.83% | +0.68% | -0.73% | +1.05% | -0.51% | +0.59% | -0.74% |
| 16 Avg 0.00% | -0.38% | -0.57% | -0.42% | +0.44% | +0.23% | -0.14% | -0.13% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.35% | +0.20% | +0.11% |
| 17 Avg +0.12% | -0.19% | +0.18% | +1.32% | +0.60% | -0.18% | +0.79% | -1.00% | -0.75% | -0.09% | +0.90% | -0.49% | +0.30% |
| 18 Avg +0.21% | -0.42% | -0.41% | -0.07% | -0.55% | +0.47% | +0.40% | +0.32% | +0.51% | -0.09% | +1.42% | +0.53% | +0.42% |
| 19 Avg +0.12% | +0.57% | -0.11% | +0.74% | -2.37% | +0.17% | +0.71% | -1.39% | +0.26% | +0.28% | +2.76% | -0.60% | +0.40% |
| 20 Avg +0.03% | +2.38% | -0.39% | +0.74% | -2.98% | +0.84% | +0.22% | +0.20% | +0.49% | -1.15% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.06% |
| 21 Avg -0.31% | -2.70% | -0.66% | -0.32% | -1.01% | +0.26% | -0.49% | -0.21% | +0.19% | -0.25% | +1.12% | +0.31% | +0.03% |
| 22 Avg -0.13% | +0.17% | +0.17% | -0.73% | +0.68% | -0.28% | +0.75% | -0.48% | -0.37% | +0.31% | -1.51% | -0.19% | -0.11% |
| 23 Avg +0.24% | +2.43% | -0.55% | +1.46% | +0.41% | +0.26% | +0.80% | -0.43% | +0.06% | -1.00% | +0.18% | -0.30% | -0.40% |
| 24 Avg +0.16% | +1.80% | +0.41% | -0.05% | -0.45% | +0.64% | +0.08% | +0.17% | +0.12% | -0.03% | -0.94% | +0.45% | -0.27% |
| 25 Avg +0.11% | +0.21% | -0.11% | -0.42% | -0.10% | +0.85% | -0.57% | +0.44% | +0.55% | +0.29% | +0.73% | -0.62% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.36% | -0.01% | +0.93% | +0.94% | -0.37% | +0.65% | +0.06% | +0.48% | +0.99% | -0.29% | -0.28% | +0.36% | +0.81% |
| 27 Avg -0.18% | -0.83% | -0.21% | -1.02% | -0.56% | +0.62% | -0.61% | +0.25% | -0.12% | +0.39% | -0.09% | +0.45% | -0.44% |
| 28 Avg +0.19% | +0.68% | -0.10% | -0.64% | +0.25% | -0.15% | +0.30% | +0.12% | +0.10% | +0.71% | +0.26% | +0.75% | -0.05% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | -0.22% | - | +1.50% | -0.21% | -0.17% | +0.02% | -0.48% | +0.51% | +0.05% | +0.21% | -0.29% | +0.55% |
| 30 Avg +0.12% | -0.29% | - | +0.23% | +0.16% | +0.69% | +0.29% | -0.62% | +0.53% | +0.48% | -0.10% | +0.30% | -0.38% |
| 31 Avg +0.28% | +0.74% | - | +0.28% | - | -0.30% | - | +0.11% | +0.18% | - | +0.40% | - | +0.51% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
