Newmont (NEM) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Newmont (NEM).

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Newmont (NEM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +28.06%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 28 for 30 days) is +8.70%.

7 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 87.50%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Newmont (NEM) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Newmont (NEM) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the first half of the year, starting with consistent gains in January and culminating in a peak around July 11, averaging +24.8%. Following this peak, the stock tends to consolidate with some volatility through September. A second significant bullish phase appears in October, leading to a peak on October 20 with an average gain of +29.2%, followed by another rally towards the end of December, reaching +28.0% on December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential pullback periods occur after the strong gains in the first half of the year, specifically around July 20, which could present a buying opportunity before the October rally. Another potential dip appears between October 21 and October 29, offering another chance to enter before the year-end rally. These pullbacks are likely due to profit-taking after significant gains, creating temporary dips before the stock resumes its upward trajectory.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Newmont (NEM) would involve considering entry points during pullback periods in late July and late October. The strongest seasonal trends suggest holding the stock from these points through December 31, capitalizing on the year-end rally. However, it's crucial to consider other market factors and conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-02-28 42.8400 2025-03-29 48.0800 5.2400 12.23
2024 2024-02-28 29.8700 2024-03-28 35.8400 5.9700 19.99
2023 2023-02-28 43.6100 2023-03-29 48.3400 4.7300 10.85
2022 2022-02-28 66.2000 2022-03-29 78.5500 12.3500 18.66
2020 2020-02-28 44.6300 2020-03-28 46.3500 1.7200 3.85
2019 2019-02-28 34.1200 2019-03-29 35.7700 1.6500 4.84
2018 2018-02-28 38.2000 2018-03-29 39.0700 0.8700 2.28
2017 2017-02-28 34.2400 2017-03-29 33.1900 -1.0500 -3.07
Avg 41.7138 45.6488 3.94 8.70
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +3.60% Feb Total -1.79% Mar Total +8.83% Apr Total +6.35% May Total -0.16% Jun Total +2.24% Jul Total +2.83% Aug Total -1.71% Sep Total -0.86% Oct Total -1.54% Nov Total +1.29% Dec Total +4.41%
1 Avg +0.37% 0.00% +0.70% +1.24% +1.07% -0.68% +0.76% +0.32% -0.09% +0.20% +0.04% +0.27% +0.65%
2 Avg +0.19% +0.26% -0.93% +1.01% +0.68% +0.13% +0.08% +0.34% -0.38% +0.88% +0.01% +0.17% -0.03%
3 Avg +0.23% +0.01% +0.70% +0.91% +0.11% +0.06% +0.27% +0.43% -0.39% -0.19% -0.16% +0.33% +0.69%
4 Avg +0.17% +1.33% -0.04% +1.22% -0.37% +0.18% -0.19% 0.00% +0.79% -0.46% -0.55% +0.17% -0.08%
5 Avg +0.30% +0.51% +0.50% +0.83% +1.08% +0.78% -0.18% +0.18% -0.19% -0.26% +0.23% +0.75% -0.58%
6 Avg +0.08% +0.08% -0.12% -0.51% +0.76% +0.78% +0.70% -0.09% +0.04% -0.25% +0.45% -0.38% -0.53%
7 Avg +0.08% +0.25% +0.14% +0.04% +0.31% +0.62% -0.46% +0.26% -0.02% +0.19% -0.72% -0.55% +0.89%
8 Avg -0.14% -0.83% +0.43% -0.30% +0.63% -0.44% -0.29% -0.57% +0.05% -0.20% +0.31% -0.14% -0.33%
9 Avg -0.18% -0.57% -0.94% -1.01% +2.01% -0.78% -0.10% +0.34% -0.04% -0.10% -0.34% -0.52% -0.04%
10 Avg +0.40% +0.41% +0.19% +0.79% +0.34% +0.53% +0.74% +0.75% -0.01% +0.04% +0.38% +0.71% -0.07%
11 Avg -0.01% -0.91% +0.32% -0.17% +1.52% -0.16% -0.63% +0.45% -0.56% -0.12% +0.57% -1.02% +0.58%
12 Avg +0.12% +0.67% +0.81% -0.20% -0.31% -1.35% +0.85% +0.09% +0.17% +1.00% +0.13% -0.04% -0.39%
13 Avg +0.30% +0.43% -0.25% +0.25% +0.94% +0.73% +0.07% -0.17% -0.22% -0.38% +1.00% -0.20% +1.37%
14 Avg -0.16% -0.48% +0.02% -1.07% -0.59% +0.41% -0.53% +0.12% -0.47% +0.24% +0.39% +0.99% -0.94%
15 Avg +0.11% +0.24% +0.11% +0.84% +0.32% +0.60% +0.14% -0.70% -0.83% +0.31% +0.32% +0.56% -0.58%
16 Avg +0.08% -0.07% -0.43% +0.29% +0.13% -0.06% +0.14% -0.19% +0.08% -0.55% +0.48% -0.04% +1.18%
17 Avg +0.17% -0.72% +0.27% +2.30% -0.52% +0.82% -0.73% +0.40% +0.61% +0.15% -0.08% -0.81% +0.31%
18 Avg -0.23% -0.18% +0.70% -0.65% -0.30% -1.67% -0.05% +0.27% -0.61% -0.35% +0.36% -0.08% -0.18%
19 Avg +0.04% -0.05% +0.28% -0.12% +0.08% +0.96% +0.34% -0.42% -0.79% +1.04% -0.32% +0.08% -0.59%
20 Avg +0.13% +0.45% +0.55% +0.17% -0.15% +0.33% +0.20% -1.36% +0.51% -0.30% +0.42% -0.48% +1.21%
21 Avg +0.10% -0.01% -0.22% +0.57% +0.11% -0.30% -0.21% +0.88% +0.23% +0.45% -0.87% +0.73% -0.21%
22 Avg -0.08% +0.04% -1.01% -0.72% -1.05% -0.65% +0.44% +0.73% +0.05% +0.37% +0.08% +0.31% +0.40%
23 Avg 0.00% +0.64% +0.53% +0.13% -0.20% -0.09% -0.11% -0.25% +0.79% -1.09% +0.13% -1.36% +0.85%
24 Avg +0.06% +0.20% -0.33% +1.53% +0.73% +0.08% +0.68% +0.23% -0.78% +0.24% -2.38% +0.02% +0.52%
25 Avg -0.16% +0.75% -0.46% +0.34% +0.12% -0.32% -0.33% -0.73% -0.10% -0.08% -0.96% -0.12% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.05% -0.21% -0.86% +0.90% -0.20% -0.49% +0.62% +0.87% -0.14% -0.93% +0.15% +0.63% +0.29%
27 Avg -0.33% -0.23% -2.09% +0.06% -0.01% -0.42% -0.61% -0.02% +0.61% -1.51% -0.53% +0.20% +0.53%
28 Avg +0.06% -0.13% -0.38% -0.26% +0.56% +0.10% -0.47% +0.08% +0.66% +1.02% -0.83% +1.03% -0.65%
29 Avg +0.16% +0.41% - +0.87% -0.34% -0.44% +0.14% +0.51% +0.44% -0.33% +0.30% -0.01% +0.16%
30 Avg -0.02% +0.52% - -0.23% -1.12% +0.21% +0.99% -0.59% -0.99% +0.11% +0.75% +0.07% +0.12%
31 Avg +0.14% +0.78% - -0.21% - +0.36% - +0.67% -0.14% - -0.33% - -0.17%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Feb 28 - Mar 29] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses