Check historical price trends and seasonality for Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX).
Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.75%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +4.37%.
4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.
1) Overview:
Neurocrine Biosciences exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early February, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -6.2%. A strong bullish phase then emerges, extending from May through November, culminating in a significant peak around November 9 with an average increase of +21.3%. The stock maintains a positive trend through December, reaching +14.7% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity arises in March, particularly around March 23, following a period of consistent decline from February. This pullback, averaging -6.2%, could be attributed to general market corrections or sector-specific concerns. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buying opportunity occurs in early April as the stock bottoms out. Investors might consider accumulating shares during these periods in anticipation of the subsequent bullish trend that typically begins in May.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategic approach to investing in Neurocrine Biosciences. Consider establishing a position or adding to existing holdings in late March to capitalize on the historically weak period. Given the significant gains observed into November, investors may look to realize profits or adjust their positions as the year concludes, bearing in mind the +14.7% average increase by December 31.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 141.9200 | 2025-01-22 | 146.7600 | 4.8400 | 3.41 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 132.6200 | 2024-01-22 | 139.8000 | 7.1800 | 5.41 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 106.3300 | 2020-01-22 | 103.4700 | -2.8600 | -2.69 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 87.9800 | 2019-01-22 | 91.2800 | 3.3000 | 3.75 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 76.0900 | 2018-01-22 | 85.1900 | 9.1000 | 11.96 |
| Avg | 108.9880 | 113.3000 | 4.31 | 4.37 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.12% | Feb Total -4.39% | Mar Total -0.05% | Apr Total +2.41% | May Total +5.75% | Jun Total +1.47% | Jul Total +3.67% | Aug Total +5.65% | Sep Total -1.69% | Oct Total +1.23% | Nov Total +2.80% | Dec Total -2.53% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.60% | 0.00% | -0.13% | -0.01% | +0.62% | +1.30% | +0.45% | +0.93% | +2.25% | +0.65% | +0.40% | +1.58% | -0.86% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.21% | -0.86% | -0.26% | -0.41% | +0.09% | +0.85% | -0.05% | +0.38% | -0.13% | -0.89% | +0.90% | +0.32% |
| 3 Avg -0.30% | +1.01% | +0.47% | -2.39% | -0.62% | -0.91% | -0.42% | +0.44% | +0.54% | -1.20% | -0.06% | -0.71% | +0.25% |
| 4 Avg +0.12% | +0.32% | +0.21% | +0.18% | -0.22% | -0.29% | +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.24% | +0.10% | +1.17% | -0.51% |
| 5 Avg -0.06% | +0.04% | -0.60% | 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.03% | -0.79% | +0.26% | +0.23% | -0.06% | +0.96% | -0.33% | -0.30% |
| 6 Avg +0.08% | +0.15% | -0.65% | -0.70% | +1.30% | +0.28% | +0.50% | +0.28% | -0.52% | +0.44% | -0.32% | -0.08% | +0.31% |
| 7 Avg -0.18% | +0.15% | -2.62% | +0.51% | -0.07% | +0.95% | -0.10% | +0.13% | -0.31% | -0.63% | -0.40% | +0.82% | -0.62% |
| 8 Avg +0.07% | +0.76% | -1.08% | -0.45% | -0.39% | -0.68% | +0.77% | +0.45% | +0.20% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +1.31% | -0.16% |
| 9 Avg +0.15% | -0.45% | +0.16% | -0.15% | +1.08% | +0.23% | -0.36% | +0.91% | +0.53% | -0.33% | -0.35% | +1.30% | -0.73% |
| 10 Avg -0.32% | -0.37% | +0.13% | +0.51% | -0.82% | +0.84% | -0.57% | +0.15% | -0.74% | -0.86% | -0.24% | -1.73% | -0.11% |
| 11 Avg -0.19% | -1.01% | +0.90% | +0.13% | -1.08% | +0.07% | -0.77% | -0.14% | -0.07% | +0.42% | +0.22% | -0.37% | -0.59% |
| 12 Avg +0.37% | +1.08% | +0.38% | -0.28% | +2.39% | +0.75% | +0.68% | -0.05% | +0.59% | +0.81% | -0.37% | -0.23% | -1.32% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | -1.38% | -0.25% | +1.20% | +0.67% | -0.23% | -0.32% | -0.58% | +0.55% | -0.55% | +0.59% | -0.34% | +0.72% |
| 14 Avg +0.05% | +1.42% | -0.33% | 0.00% | +0.78% | +0.82% | -0.22% | +0.13% | -0.32% | +0.42% | -0.71% | -1.33% | -0.11% |
| 15 Avg +0.23% | +0.31% | +0.46% | 0.00% | -0.43% | +1.06% | +0.29% | +0.38% | +0.38% | +0.24% | +0.34% | -0.58% | +0.37% |
| 16 Avg -0.11% | -0.71% | -0.04% | -1.95% | +0.66% | +0.64% | +0.33% | -0.04% | -0.20% | -0.01% | +0.66% | -0.65% | +0.04% |
| 17 Avg +0.21% | -0.24% | +0.70% | +0.18% | +0.63% | -0.89% | +0.30% | -0.11% | +0.01% | +0.56% | +0.84% | +0.34% | +0.24% |
| 18 Avg -0.03% | +0.67% | -0.59% | -0.69% | -0.62% | +1.36% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +0.18% | +0.15% | +0.07% | -0.75% | -0.30% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.12% | +0.96% | -0.37% | -0.27% | +0.96% | +0.18% | +0.09% | +0.18% | -1.01% | -0.48% | -0.13% |
| 20 Avg +0.42% | +1.03% | -0.18% | 0.00% | +0.62% | +0.54% | +0.50% | +0.86% | +0.14% | -0.04% | +0.31% | +0.73% | +0.57% |
| 21 Avg +0.15% | +0.87% | -0.06% | +0.76% | -0.31% | -0.27% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.54% | -0.22% | -0.11% | +0.77% | -0.33% |
| 22 Avg +0.15% | +0.95% | +0.32% | -0.21% | -0.21% | +0.55% | -0.28% | -0.02% | +0.72% | -0.13% | -0.20% | -0.25% | +0.55% |
| 23 Avg -0.13% | -0.75% | -0.93% | -1.85% | +1.03% | +0.17% | +0.44% | -0.15% | +0.15% | -0.14% | -0.16% | +0.77% | -0.10% |
| 24 Avg -0.01% | +0.25% | -0.17% | +1.51% | +0.03% | -0.94% | -0.30% | +0.36% | -0.06% | -0.38% | -0.51% | +0.30% | -0.27% |
| 25 Avg +0.12% | -0.11% | -0.37% | +1.50% | +0.07% | -0.07% | -0.35% | +0.31% | -0.28% | -0.63% | +0.74% | +0.68% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.49% | +0.51% | +0.77% | -0.28% | -1.10% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.30% | -1.04% | +0.11% | +0.73% | +0.56% |
| 27 Avg -0.07% | -1.38% | +0.53% | -1.08% | +0.20% | +0.75% | -0.92% | +0.21% | +0.61% | +0.21% | +0.51% | -0.41% | -0.09% |
| 28 Avg -0.18% | +0.55% | -0.17% | -0.03% | -0.28% | +0.05% | +0.88% | -0.27% | -1.98% | +0.08% | -0.14% | -0.42% | -0.44% |
| 29 Avg -0.04% | -0.20% | - | +1.35% | -0.27% | -0.11% | -0.05% | -0.26% | +0.55% | -0.32% | -0.51% | -0.67% | +0.04% |
| 30 Avg +0.05% | -0.21% | - | -0.44% | -1.08% | +0.15% | -0.38% | +0.28% | +0.29% | +0.41% | +0.88% | +0.73% | -0.13% |
| 31 Avg +0.50% | +0.77% | - | +0.89% | - | +0.88% | - | -0.88% | +0.73% | - | +0.50% | - | +0.59% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
