Check historical price trends and seasonality for MXNJPY (MXNJPY=X).
MXNJPY (MXNJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.21%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is -0.31%.
4 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
MXNJPY exhibits a generally bullish trend throughout the year, with a notable bearish period in early March. The strongest bullish phase begins in late February and extends through July, peaking around July 17 at +4.2%. A period of consolidation and slight pullback occurs in August before another bullish phase begins in September, culminating in a peak around November 8 at +4.3%. The year typically concludes with gains through December, ending on December 31 at +3.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A significant pullback tends to occur in early March, with the lowest point around March 9, showing an average decrease of -1.2%. This dip presents a potential buying opportunity, as the price tends to rebound strongly throughout March and into April. Another, albeit smaller, dip occurs in early August, offering a secondary buying opportunity before the September rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after previous rallies, creating temporary discounts for re-entry.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to MXNJPY would involve capitalizing on dips in early March for a mid-year rally and again in early August for a late-year rally. Consider entering long positions around March 9 and early August, holding through July and November, respectively. However, be mindful of broader market conditions and economic factors that could influence these seasonal trends.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 8.6059 | 2024-01-24 | 8.5633 | -0.0426 | -0.50 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 6.8749 | 2023-01-24 | 6.9391 | 0.0642 | 0.93 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 5.6448 | 2022-01-24 | 5.5619 | -0.0829 | -1.47 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 5.2352 | 2021-01-24 | 5.2434 | 0.0082 | 0.16 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 5.7407 | 2019-01-24 | 5.7471 | 0.0064 | 0.11 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 5.9486 | 2018-01-24 | 5.8906 | -0.0580 | -0.98 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 5.2443 | 2017-01-24 | 5.2830 | 0.0387 | 0.74 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 6.3894 | 2016-01-24 | 6.2980 | -0.0914 | -1.43 |
| Avg | 6.2105 | 6.1908 | -0.02 | -0.31 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.35% | Feb Total +0.52% | Mar Total +0.80% | Apr Total +0.25% | May Total +0.77% | Jun Total +0.58% | Jul Total +0.32% | Aug Total -1.37% | Sep Total +0.31% | Oct Total +1.23% | Nov Total +0.02% | Dec Total +0.49% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.20% | -0.12% | +0.13% | +0.25% | -0.09% | +0.28% | -0.31% | -0.22% | +0.15% | +0.07% | +0.17% |
| 2 Avg -0.01% | -0.11% | +0.32% | +0.17% | -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.58% | +0.37% | +0.04% | -0.13% | -0.37% |
| 3 Avg -0.03% | +0.05% | -0.37% | +0.36% | -0.13% | -0.51% | +0.12% | +0.04% | -0.30% | +0.06% | +0.16% | +0.03% | +0.12% |
| 4 Avg -0.05% | +0.18% | +0.54% | -0.44% | -0.03% | -0.56% | -0.47% | +0.27% | -0.46% | -0.10% | +0.01% | +0.52% | -0.11% |
| 5 Avg -0.09% | -0.08% | -0.13% | +0.12% | -0.10% | +0.12% | -0.16% | +0.13% | -0.80% | +0.16% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.27% |
| 6 Avg -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.81% | -0.16% | +0.12% | -0.38% | +0.20% | -0.14% | +0.11% | +0.03% | +0.18% |
| 7 Avg +0.09% | +0.46% | -0.17% | -0.31% | +0.03% | -0.12% | +0.10% | -0.23% | +0.10% | +0.20% | +0.22% | +0.59% | +0.26% |
| 8 Avg +0.12% | -0.24% | +0.01% | -0.10% | +0.11% | +0.32% | +0.44% | -0.05% | +0.48% | +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.26% | -0.19% |
| 9 Avg +0.01% | +0.35% | -0.27% | -0.96% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.24% | +0.22% | +0.59% | -0.33% | -0.11% | +0.05% | +0.23% |
| 10 Avg +0.03% | -0.26% | +0.05% | +0.24% | +0.55% | -0.02% | -0.29% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.32% | +0.05% | -0.42% | +0.13% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | -0.26% | -0.14% | +0.13% | -0.08% | +0.72% | -0.16% | +0.30% | -0.10% | -0.13% | +0.24% | -0.55% | +0.16% |
| 12 Avg +0.12% | +0.05% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.11% | -0.08% | -0.16% | +0.20% | +0.25% | +0.51% | +0.26% | -0.09% | +0.27% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.14% | +0.34% | -0.15% | +0.42% | -0.03% | -0.67% | +0.35% | -0.37% | +0.29% | -0.10% | -0.28% | +0.16% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.17% | -0.06% | +0.42% | +0.28% | +0.32% | -0.41% | -0.30% |
| 15 Avg +0.20% | +0.44% | +0.50% | +0.30% | +0.01% | +0.19% | +0.19% | +0.35% | +0.17% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +0.52% | -0.19% |
| 16 Avg +0.11% | +0.05% | +0.09% | -0.07% | -0.25% | 0.00% | +0.65% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.03% | -0.24% | +0.41% | +0.55% |
| 17 Avg +0.00% | -0.21% | -0.15% | +0.14% | +0.17% | +0.06% | -0.70% | +0.13% | +0.18% | -0.02% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.21% |
| 18 Avg 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.25% | +0.24% | -0.11% | -0.24% | -0.11% | -0.11% | -0.42% | +0.35% | +0.38% | -0.01% | -0.05% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.25% | +0.21% | -0.01% | +0.15% | +0.13% | -0.12% | -0.05% | -0.09% | -0.04% | -0.17% |
| 20 Avg +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.04% | -0.24% | +0.22% | +0.44% | -0.33% | -0.23% | -0.06% | +0.10% | -0.07% | +0.27% |
| 21 Avg -0.10% | -0.12% | -0.12% | +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.19% | -0.28% | -0.01% | -0.25% | -0.27% | +0.07% | -0.19% | -0.41% |
| 22 Avg -0.04% | -0.28% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.33% | -0.01% | +0.34% | -0.17% | +0.17% | -0.35% | -0.15% | +0.12% | +0.01% |
| 23 Avg +0.07% | +0.23% | +0.09% | -0.33% | +0.09% | +0.17% | +0.45% | -0.15% | +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.08% | +0.01% |
| 24 Avg -0.10% | +0.10% | -0.14% | -0.40% | -0.03% | -0.24% | +0.18% | -0.28% | -0.15% | -0.31% | +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.02% |
| 25 Avg +0.11% | +0.11% | +0.05% | +0.34% | 0.00% | +0.37% | +0.19% | -0.02% | +0.29% | +0.26% | -0.21% | +0.01% | -0.11% |
| 26 Avg -0.03% | -0.13% | -0.12% | +0.54% | -0.12% | +0.03% | +0.12% | -0.07% | -0.17% | -0.41% | +0.07% | -0.27% | +0.15% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.25% | +0.41% | -0.26% | +0.18% | -0.22% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.07% | 0.00% | -0.11% | +0.09% |
| 28 Avg 0.00% | -0.26% | -0.06% | +0.06% | +0.44% | +0.18% | -0.22% | -0.07% | -0.21% | +0.17% | -0.03% | -0.09% | +0.08% |
| 29 Avg +0.06% | +0.38% | - | +0.42% | +0.16% | +0.06% | +0.39% | -0.18% | -0.34% | +0.13% | -0.27% | -0.10% | +0.03% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | +0.05% | - | +0.11% | +0.19% | -0.22% | +0.13% | -0.16% | +0.32% | -0.29% | -0.35% | +0.07% | -0.17% |
| 31 Avg -0.15% | -0.33% | - | -0.05% | - | -0.35% | - | +0.02% | +0.06% | - | -0.11% | - | -0.27% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
