Match Group (MTCH) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Match Group (MTCH).

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Match Group (MTCH) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +21.72%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -0.51%.

4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Match Group (MTCH) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Match Group exhibits a strong bullish tendency from late May through September, culminating in a significant peak around September 18 with an average gain of 22.8%. A notable bearish phase occurs in March and early April, reaching a low on April 8 with an average decline of -4.2%. The stock then consolidates before resuming its upward trend into the end of the year, peaking again on December 31 with an average gain of 21.7%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buying opportunity arises in March and early April, as the stock tends to experience a pullback, bottoming out around April 8. This decline could be attributed to seasonal factors. Another possible entry point could be in early May, before the stock begins its strong climb in late May.

3) Summary:

Based on historical seasonality, consider initiating a long position in Match Group around mid-April to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend that typically lasts through September. Another opportunity to enter may be in early May. Be mindful of the potential for short-term declines in March and early April, and consider setting stop-loss orders to manage risk.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 30.1900 2025-05-01 30.4100 0.2200 0.73
2023 2023-03-03 41.6400 2023-05-01 35.9700 -5.6700 -13.62
2022 2022-03-03 102.9900 2022-05-01 79.1500 -23.8400 -23.15
2021 2021-03-03 147.3400 2021-05-01 155.6300 8.2900 5.63
2020 2020-03-03 65.8000 2020-05-01 74.6400 8.8400 13.43
2017 2017-03-03 16.2200 2017-05-01 19.1700 2.9500 18.19
2016 2016-03-03 11.9700 2016-05-01 11.4000 -0.5700 -4.76
Avg 59.4500 58.0529 -1.40 -0.51
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +4.34% Feb Total -5.30% Mar Total +1.05% Apr Total +0.70% May Total +3.72% Jun Total +3.50% Jul Total +6.43% Aug Total +5.23% Sep Total -0.69% Oct Total -2.11% Nov Total -0.04% Dec Total +2.77%
1 Avg -0.02% 0.00% -0.13% +0.95% +0.11% -2.10% +1.27% +0.75% +0.02% +0.05% +0.31% -1.04% -0.48%
2 Avg +0.07% +0.45% +0.49% +0.61% -0.38% -0.76% +1.09% -0.20% +0.52% +0.93% -0.45% -0.91% -0.57%
3 Avg -0.55% -0.37% -2.82% -1.46% +0.12% -0.48% -0.94% +0.18% -1.07% -0.55% +1.21% -0.47% +0.07%
4 Avg +0.03% +0.60% +0.94% -1.17% -1.46% +1.77% +0.36% 0.00% -0.62% +0.08% -0.27% +0.67% -0.55%
5 Avg -0.12% +0.14% -2.04% +0.42% -0.92% -0.22% +0.46% -0.03% +0.45% -0.21% -0.05% +0.92% -0.32%
6 Avg +0.17% +0.35% +0.14% -0.77% +0.42% +0.11% +0.98% -0.13% +0.94% -0.61% +0.10% -0.35% +0.81%
7 Avg +0.13% -0.36% +0.58% +0.29% -0.65% -0.36% +0.15% -0.33% +2.15% +1.40% -0.20% -1.66% +0.62%
8 Avg -0.02% +0.72% -0.71% -0.86% -0.58% -0.68% +0.07% +0.46% +1.76% -0.64% -0.60% +0.79% +0.05%
9 Avg +0.35% +0.91% +0.94% +1.21% +1.30% +0.12% +0.30% +1.03% +0.07% -0.05% -0.44% -0.68% -0.50%
10 Avg +0.06% +0.10% -0.14% -1.08% -0.34% +1.18% -0.93% +0.96% +0.20% +0.35% -0.99% +1.29% +0.08%
11 Avg +0.05% -0.06% +0.36% -0.45% -0.12% +1.12% -0.32% -0.50% -0.08% -0.01% +0.32% +0.94% -0.63%
12 Avg -0.04% -0.28% +1.18% -1.11% -0.77% -0.23% -0.35% +1.55% -0.43% +0.87% +0.18% -1.12% 0.00%
13 Avg +0.14% +0.32% +0.11% -0.12% +1.02% +0.35% -0.21% -0.55% +0.39% -0.66% -0.63% -0.03% +1.68%
14 Avg +0.12% -0.62% +1.06% +0.60% +0.29% +0.37% +1.59% -0.55% -0.11% +0.26% -0.73% -0.18% -0.53%
15 Avg +0.59% +0.79% +0.65% +0.53% +1.24% +1.25% -0.27% +0.22% +0.63% +0.50% +0.79% +1.01% -0.24%
16 Avg -0.13% -0.15% -0.45% -0.42% +0.19% 0.00% -0.46% +0.59% -0.94% -0.26% +0.69% -0.83% +0.48%
17 Avg -0.09% -0.05% -0.78% +0.73% +1.27% -0.54% -0.34% +0.23% -1.39% +0.22% +0.87% -0.26% -0.99%
18 Avg +0.10% +0.12% +0.21% -0.57% -0.21% -0.02% +0.73% +0.75% +0.12% +0.36% -0.80% -0.36% +0.83%
19 Avg +0.14% -0.11% -0.38% +0.54% +0.47% +0.80% -0.06% +0.45% +0.40% -0.27% -0.14% -0.92% +0.95%
20 Avg -0.32% +0.19% -0.63% -0.20% -1.32% +0.21% -0.41% -0.08% -0.19% -1.38% -0.38% -0.31% +0.71%
21 Avg +0.03% -0.61% -0.87% -0.12% -0.93% -0.26% +0.30% -0.15% +0.18% -0.46% +1.54% +1.23% +0.54%
22 Avg +0.12% +0.34% -0.13% +0.30% +0.99% +0.63% +0.04% -0.03% -0.19% +0.07% -0.32% +0.02% -0.23%
23 Avg +0.30% +1.06% +0.15% -0.63% +0.39% -0.02% +1.56% +0.17% +0.49% -0.34% +0.15% +0.78% -0.12%
24 Avg +0.30% -0.19% -0.13% +2.64% +0.01% -0.27% +0.98% -0.07% +0.12% -0.23% -0.03% +0.60% +0.16%
25 Avg -0.11% -0.01% -1.18% +0.58% +0.34% +0.08% -1.56% +0.31% +0.10% -0.01% -0.08% +0.09% 0.00%
26 Avg -0.01% +0.11% -0.42% +0.68% +0.33% +0.49% +0.04% -0.44% -0.64% -0.06% -1.14% +0.06% +0.93%
27 Avg -0.13% -0.64% -0.55% -0.74% +0.07% +0.79% -0.53% -0.57% +0.13% +0.88% +0.02% -0.54% +0.09%
28 Avg +0.06% +1.54% -0.77% -0.88% +0.63% +0.54% -0.73% +0.69% +0.24% -0.52% -0.75% +1.02% -0.29%
29 Avg +0.14% -0.31% - +0.65% -0.25% -0.39% +0.48% +0.86% +0.82% -0.32% -0.59% +0.38% +0.21%
30 Avg -0.01% -0.46% - +0.28% -0.57% +0.79% +0.19% -0.80% +0.53% -0.09% +0.20% -0.17% +0.04%
31 Avg +0.46% +0.81% - +0.61% - -0.54% - +1.66% +0.61% - +0.10% - -0.05%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses