M&T Bank (MTB) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for M&T Bank (MTB).

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M&T Bank (MTB) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.96%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 30 days) is -10.78%.

1 wins 6 losses with a win rate of 14.29%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

M&T Bank (MTB) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

M&T Bank (MTB) exhibits a strong bullish tendency from early January, starting around +0.7% and peaking around February 16 with a gain of +8.4%. Following this high, the stock experiences a bearish phase, declining steadily until April 5, reaching a low of -4.3%. After April, the stock gradually recovers, consolidating through the summer months before entering another strong bullish phase that culminates around November 25 with a significant gain of +9.5%, followed by a slight decline to end the year at +6.9% on December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears around April 5, where the stock typically bottoms out with a -4.3% average decline. This pullback, likely influenced by broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns, presents a strategic entry point for investors anticipating a rebound. Another potential buying opportunity arises in June, where the stock experiences a smaller pullback. These pullbacks are typically followed by a recovery phase, making them attractive entry points.

3) Summary:

An effective investment strategy for M&T Bank (MTB) involves capitalizing on its seasonal patterns. Consider initiating positions during the pullback around April 5 to benefit from the subsequent recovery. Given the strong performance leading up to November 25, it may be prudent to take profits or reduce exposure before the end of the year, considering the slight decline into December.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 188.8100 2025-04-01 176.3700 -12.4400 -6.59
2023 2023-03-03 152.5400 2023-04-01 119.5700 -32.9700 -21.61
2022 2022-03-03 180.6500 2022-04-01 164.6600 -15.9900 -8.85
2021 2021-03-03 155.8300 2021-04-01 153.1700 -2.6600 -1.71
2020 2020-03-03 139.2300 2020-04-01 95.8600 -43.3700 -31.15
2017 2017-03-03 168.0100 2017-04-01 154.7300 -13.2800 -7.90
2016 2016-03-03 109.8500 2016-04-01 112.4200 2.5700 2.34
Avg 156.4171 139.5400 -16.88 -10.78
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +5.07% Feb Total +0.33% Mar Total -7.10% Apr Total +2.95% May Total +0.46% Jun Total -0.24% Jul Total +2.56% Aug Total -1.41% Sep Total +0.39% Oct Total +0.89% Nov Total +7.25% Dec Total -0.67%
1 Avg -0.19% 0.00% -0.42% -0.49% -0.77% -0.58% +0.69% -0.08% -1.23% -0.03% -0.44% +0.41% +0.71%
2 Avg +0.15% +0.39% +0.18% +1.04% -0.24% -0.03% +0.15% +0.05% -0.33% -0.08% -0.37% +0.64% +0.46%
3 Avg +0.06% +0.09% +0.19% -0.31% -1.35% -0.07% +0.58% +0.42% +0.47% -0.35% +0.18% +1.00% -0.12%
4 Avg +0.14% +0.65% +0.88% -0.28% -0.32% -0.05% +0.31% 0.00% -0.21% +0.46% +1.31% -1.15% +0.12%
5 Avg -0.04% +0.20% -0.51% -0.34% -0.33% +0.10% +0.03% -0.60% +0.24% -0.30% +0.58% +1.01% -0.59%
6 Avg +0.20% +1.43% +0.14% -0.88% +1.02% -0.21% +0.92% -0.29% +0.15% -0.65% -0.17% +0.64% +0.25%
7 Avg -0.04% +0.50% +0.16% -0.83% -0.18% +0.09% +0.21% +0.10% +0.14% -0.19% +0.19% -0.13% -0.58%
8 Avg +0.11% -0.41% -0.19% -0.46% +0.63% +0.59% +0.29% -0.01% +0.55% +0.17% -0.20% +0.18% +0.23%
9 Avg +0.22% +0.02% +0.50% -1.77% +1.40% -0.03% -0.73% +0.34% -0.39% +0.69% +0.12% +2.26% +0.21%
10 Avg -0.08% -0.21% -0.25% +0.57% -0.88% +0.09% -1.22% +0.71% +0.06% -0.50% -0.21% +0.65% +0.21%
11 Avg -0.16% +0.21% -0.27% -0.39% +0.21% -0.89% -1.16% +0.38% +0.42% +0.72% -0.40% -0.22% -0.52%
12 Avg +0.04% +0.18% +0.91% -0.61% +0.14% -0.38% +0.07% +0.07% -0.14% +0.59% -0.11% -0.38% +0.10%
13 Avg -0.20% -0.06% +0.09% +0.55% -0.46% -0.54% -0.41% -0.19% -0.17% -0.33% -0.44% +0.19% -0.64%
14 Avg +0.12% +0.54% +0.46% +0.28% +0.03% +0.47% -0.55% -0.69% -0.22% -0.04% +0.16% +0.86% +0.08%
15 Avg +0.10% -0.47% +0.48% -0.54% -0.70% +0.10% +0.55% +0.69% -0.49% +0.33% +0.42% +0.68% +0.10%
16 Avg -0.01% -0.13% +0.79% -0.78% -0.57% -0.02% +0.01% -0.25% +0.51% -0.04% +0.01% +0.29% +0.03%
17 Avg +0.18% +0.44% -0.21% +0.40% +2.11% +0.64% -0.64% -0.02% -0.63% -0.05% +0.66% +0.07% -0.68%
18 Avg -0.06% +0.33% -0.42% +0.26% -0.13% +0.79% +0.08% +0.40% -0.31% 0.00% -0.42% -0.10% -1.27%
19 Avg +0.02% +1.15% +0.39% -0.70% +1.13% -0.97% +0.07% -0.12% -0.13% +0.74% -1.28% -0.30% +0.22%
20 Avg -0.09% -0.76% +0.01% -0.94% +0.64% +0.37% +0.12% -0.21% -0.41% -0.11% +0.51% -0.13% -0.22%
21 Avg -0.03% -0.61% -0.60% +0.28% -0.25% -0.01% +0.48% +0.27% +0.23% -0.63% -0.15% +0.16% +0.51%
22 Avg -0.05% +0.31% +0.37% -1.80% -0.05% +0.43% -0.90% +0.12% +0.18% -0.54% +0.49% +0.74% +0.04%
23 Avg -0.02% +0.64% +0.21% -2.32% +0.57% -0.13% -0.10% +0.37% +0.08% -0.06% 0.00% +0.16% +0.37%
24 Avg +0.22% +0.97% -0.57% +1.73% +0.67% +0.07% -0.46% +0.14% +0.34% -0.43% 0.00% +0.32% -0.09%
25 Avg +0.11% -0.53% -0.40% +1.18% -0.32% +0.08% +0.31% +0.07% +0.33% +0.17% +0.19% +0.23% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.16% +0.46% -0.68% +1.12% +0.10% +1.37% -0.06% +0.36% -0.37% -0.36% -0.06% -0.44% +0.54%
27 Avg +0.13% -0.15% -0.51% -0.22% +1.05% +1.14% -0.13% +0.21% +0.42% +0.93% -0.99% -0.25% +0.08%
28 Avg +0.11% +0.65% -0.40% -0.03% +0.13% -0.74% +0.37% +0.33% +0.31% +0.61% +0.04% +0.04% -0.02%
29 Avg +0.06% -0.11% - +0.18% +0.62% -0.70% +0.50% +0.40% +0.12% -0.53% +0.29% +0.31% -0.38%
30 Avg -0.09% +0.03% - -0.36% -0.95% +0.12% +0.38% -0.21% -0.50% +0.19% +0.84% -0.52% +0.01%
31 Avg -0.32% -0.68% - -0.64% - -0.64% - -0.21% -0.40% - +0.15% - +0.18%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses