M&T Bank (MTB) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for M&T Bank (MTB).

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M&T Bank (MTB) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.96%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 60 days) is -1.11%.

4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

M&T Bank (MTB) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

M&T Bank (MTB) exhibits a strong bullish tendency from early January, starting around +0.7% and peaking around February 16 with a gain of +8.4%. Following this high, the stock experiences a bearish phase, declining steadily until April 5, reaching a low of -4.3%. After April, the stock gradually recovers, consolidating through the summer months before entering another strong bullish phase that culminates around November 25 with a significant gain of +9.5%, followed by a slight decline to end the year at +6.9% on December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears around April 5, where the stock typically bottoms out with a -4.3% average decline. This pullback, likely influenced by broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns, presents a strategic entry point for investors anticipating a rebound. Another potential buying opportunity arises in June, where the stock experiences a smaller pullback. These pullbacks are typically followed by a recovery phase, making them attractive entry points.

3) Summary:

An effective investment strategy for M&T Bank (MTB) involves capitalizing on its seasonal patterns. Consider initiating positions during the pullback around April 5 to benefit from the subsequent recovery. Given the strong performance leading up to November 25, it may be prudent to take profits or reduce exposure before the end of the year, considering the slight decline into December.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-07-17 195.6000 2025-09-14 198.8000 3.2000 1.64
2024 2024-07-17 164.6500 2024-09-14 168.8800 4.2300 2.57
2023 2023-07-17 131.3500 2023-09-14 128.9400 -2.4100 -1.83
2020 2020-07-17 99.3200 2020-09-14 104.2400 4.9200 4.95
2019 2019-07-17 170.4400 2019-09-14 158.4400 -12.0000 -7.04
2018 2018-07-17 168.5000 2018-09-14 171.2200 2.7200 1.61
2017 2017-07-17 165.9900 2017-09-14 149.9200 -16.0700 -9.68
Avg 156.5500 154.3486 -2.20 -1.11
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +5.07% Feb Total +0.33% Mar Total -7.10% Apr Total +2.95% May Total +0.46% Jun Total -0.24% Jul Total +2.56% Aug Total -1.41% Sep Total +0.39% Oct Total +0.89% Nov Total +7.25% Dec Total -0.67%
1 Avg -0.19% 0.00% -0.42% -0.49% -0.77% -0.58% +0.69% -0.08% -1.23% -0.03% -0.44% +0.41% +0.71%
2 Avg +0.15% +0.39% +0.18% +1.04% -0.24% -0.03% +0.15% +0.05% -0.33% -0.08% -0.37% +0.64% +0.46%
3 Avg +0.06% +0.09% +0.19% -0.31% -1.35% -0.07% +0.58% +0.42% +0.47% -0.35% +0.18% +1.00% -0.12%
4 Avg +0.14% +0.65% +0.88% -0.28% -0.32% -0.05% +0.31% 0.00% -0.21% +0.46% +1.31% -1.15% +0.12%
5 Avg -0.04% +0.20% -0.51% -0.34% -0.33% +0.10% +0.03% -0.60% +0.24% -0.30% +0.58% +1.01% -0.59%
6 Avg +0.20% +1.43% +0.14% -0.88% +1.02% -0.21% +0.92% -0.29% +0.15% -0.65% -0.17% +0.64% +0.25%
7 Avg -0.04% +0.50% +0.16% -0.83% -0.18% +0.09% +0.21% +0.10% +0.14% -0.19% +0.19% -0.13% -0.58%
8 Avg +0.11% -0.41% -0.19% -0.46% +0.63% +0.59% +0.29% -0.01% +0.55% +0.17% -0.20% +0.18% +0.23%
9 Avg +0.22% +0.02% +0.50% -1.77% +1.40% -0.03% -0.73% +0.34% -0.39% +0.69% +0.12% +2.26% +0.21%
10 Avg -0.08% -0.21% -0.25% +0.57% -0.88% +0.09% -1.22% +0.71% +0.06% -0.50% -0.21% +0.65% +0.21%
11 Avg -0.16% +0.21% -0.27% -0.39% +0.21% -0.89% -1.16% +0.38% +0.42% +0.72% -0.40% -0.22% -0.52%
12 Avg +0.04% +0.18% +0.91% -0.61% +0.14% -0.38% +0.07% +0.07% -0.14% +0.59% -0.11% -0.38% +0.10%
13 Avg -0.20% -0.06% +0.09% +0.55% -0.46% -0.54% -0.41% -0.19% -0.17% -0.33% -0.44% +0.19% -0.64%
14 Avg +0.12% +0.54% +0.46% +0.28% +0.03% +0.47% -0.55% -0.69% -0.22% -0.04% +0.16% +0.86% +0.08%
15 Avg +0.10% -0.47% +0.48% -0.54% -0.70% +0.10% +0.55% +0.69% -0.49% +0.33% +0.42% +0.68% +0.10%
16 Avg -0.01% -0.13% +0.79% -0.78% -0.57% -0.02% +0.01% -0.25% +0.51% -0.04% +0.01% +0.29% +0.03%
17 Avg +0.18% +0.44% -0.21% +0.40% +2.11% +0.64% -0.64% -0.02% -0.63% -0.05% +0.66% +0.07% -0.68%
18 Avg -0.06% +0.33% -0.42% +0.26% -0.13% +0.79% +0.08% +0.40% -0.31% 0.00% -0.42% -0.10% -1.27%
19 Avg +0.02% +1.15% +0.39% -0.70% +1.13% -0.97% +0.07% -0.12% -0.13% +0.74% -1.28% -0.30% +0.22%
20 Avg -0.09% -0.76% +0.01% -0.94% +0.64% +0.37% +0.12% -0.21% -0.41% -0.11% +0.51% -0.13% -0.22%
21 Avg -0.03% -0.61% -0.60% +0.28% -0.25% -0.01% +0.48% +0.27% +0.23% -0.63% -0.15% +0.16% +0.51%
22 Avg -0.05% +0.31% +0.37% -1.80% -0.05% +0.43% -0.90% +0.12% +0.18% -0.54% +0.49% +0.74% +0.04%
23 Avg -0.02% +0.64% +0.21% -2.32% +0.57% -0.13% -0.10% +0.37% +0.08% -0.06% 0.00% +0.16% +0.37%
24 Avg +0.22% +0.97% -0.57% +1.73% +0.67% +0.07% -0.46% +0.14% +0.34% -0.43% 0.00% +0.32% -0.09%
25 Avg +0.11% -0.53% -0.40% +1.18% -0.32% +0.08% +0.31% +0.07% +0.33% +0.17% +0.19% +0.23% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.16% +0.46% -0.68% +1.12% +0.10% +1.37% -0.06% +0.36% -0.37% -0.36% -0.06% -0.44% +0.54%
27 Avg +0.13% -0.15% -0.51% -0.22% +1.05% +1.14% -0.13% +0.21% +0.42% +0.93% -0.99% -0.25% +0.08%
28 Avg +0.11% +0.65% -0.40% -0.03% +0.13% -0.74% +0.37% +0.33% +0.31% +0.61% +0.04% +0.04% -0.02%
29 Avg +0.06% -0.11% - +0.18% +0.62% -0.70% +0.50% +0.40% +0.12% -0.53% +0.29% +0.31% -0.38%
30 Avg -0.09% +0.03% - -0.36% -0.95% +0.12% +0.38% -0.21% -0.50% +0.19% +0.84% -0.52% +0.01%
31 Avg -0.32% -0.68% - -0.64% - -0.64% - -0.21% -0.40% - +0.15% - +0.18%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jul 17 - Aug 15] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses