Check historical price trends and seasonality for Microsoft (MSFT).
Microsoft (MSFT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +27.08%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 4 for 60 days) is +4.19%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
Microsoft's stock exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from late January through the end of the year. The stock price tends to increase steadily from January, reaching a peak around December. A notable period of strong positive performance occurs in December, culminating in gains of +28.3% by December 13 and +27.0% by December 31. However, there is a slight bearish tendency around January 7, with an average decrease of -1.9%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity appears around January 7, where the stock tends to experience a slight dip of -1.9%. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong performance in December. The stock typically rebounds quickly after this dip, initiating a strong upward trend that persists throughout the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Microsoft would involve considering entry points during periods of weakness, such as around January 7. The strong positive trend throughout the rest of the year suggests holding the stock for medium to long-term gains, particularly capitalizing on the significant upward movement observed in December. Investors should be aware of the potential for short-term pullbacks but focus on the overall bullish trend.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-04 | 388.6100 | 2025-05-02 | 435.2800 | 46.6700 | 12.01 |
| 2024 | 2024-03-04 | 414.9200 | 2024-05-02 | 397.8400 | -17.0800 | -4.12 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-04 | 289.8600 | 2022-05-02 | 284.4700 | -5.3900 | -1.86 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-04 | 226.7300 | 2021-05-02 | 252.1800 | 25.4500 | 11.22 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-04 | 170.5500 | 2020-05-02 | 174.5700 | 4.0200 | 2.36 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-04 | 112.2600 | 2019-05-02 | 126.2100 | 13.9500 | 12.43 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-04 | 52.0300 | 2016-05-02 | 50.6100 | -1.4200 | -2.73 |
| Avg | 236.4229 | 245.8800 | 9.46 | 4.19 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.08% | Feb Total -0.97% | Mar Total +3.42% | Apr Total +2.31% | May Total +3.79% | Jun Total +3.68% | Jul Total +4.04% | Aug Total +1.30% | Sep Total -1.94% | Oct Total +2.81% | Nov Total +3.85% | Dec Total -0.15% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.14% | +0.48% | +0.39% | +0.68% | +0.24% | +0.43% | -0.17% | -0.03% | +0.13% | +0.02% | -0.32% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | -0.02% | +0.16% | +0.86% | -0.15% | +0.40% | +0.48% | +0.54% | -0.59% | -0.01% | -0.46% | -0.12% | +0.09% |
| 3 Avg -0.22% | -0.33% | -0.41% | -1.01% | -0.24% | +0.16% | -0.67% | -0.03% | +0.99% | -0.93% | +0.14% | +0.05% | -0.40% |
| 4 Avg +0.16% | -0.51% | +0.74% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.50% | +0.52% | 0.00% | +0.27% | -0.04% | +0.25% | +0.76% | -0.59% |
| 5 Avg +0.03% | -0.51% | -0.74% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.15% | +0.86% | +0.46% | -0.65% | -0.28% | +0.61% | +0.36% | +0.30% |
| 6 Avg +0.17% | -0.18% | +0.46% | -0.36% | +0.48% | +0.27% | +0.24% | +0.54% | +0.41% | -0.38% | +0.33% | +0.17% | +0.10% |
| 7 Avg -0.02% | -0.26% | +0.04% | -0.63% | -0.15% | -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.04% | -0.14% | +0.16% | -0.56% | +1.20% | +0.09% |
| 8 Avg +0.07% | +0.57% | -0.54% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.22% | +0.31% | -0.41% | -0.04% | +0.22% | +0.60% |
| 9 Avg +0.18% | +0.36% | +0.77% | +0.42% | +1.16% | -0.30% | -0.30% | +0.12% | -0.09% | +0.34% | +0.70% | -0.83% | -0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.09% | +0.67% | +0.19% | +0.12% | -0.24% | -0.08% | -0.95% | +0.49% | +0.14% |
| 11 Avg -0.05% | +0.31% | -0.46% | -0.07% | -0.45% | -0.47% | -0.46% | -0.23% | -0.15% | +0.55% | -0.17% | +0.49% | +0.54% |
| 12 Avg +0.21% | +0.38% | +0.28% | -0.57% | +0.04% | -0.44% | +0.46% | +0.22% | +0.52% | +0.46% | +0.61% | +0.07% | +0.50% |
| 13 Avg +0.16% | -0.45% | +0.26% | +1.31% | +0.58% | -0.16% | -0.54% | +0.21% | +0.23% | -0.22% | +0.53% | -0.10% | +0.25% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | +0.13% | +0.24% | +0.56% | -0.03% | +0.55% | +0.23% | +0.42% | +0.15% | +0.18% | +0.02% | -0.22% | -0.93% |
| 15 Avg +0.17% | +0.19% | +0.33% | +0.60% | -0.14% | +0.36% | +0.41% | +0.09% | -0.17% | +0.15% | -0.05% | +0.05% | +0.16% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.37% | -0.52% | +0.10% | +0.57% | +0.01% | -0.49% | +0.05% | -0.36% | +0.31% | +0.55% | -0.07% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | +0.43% | -0.15% | +1.04% | +0.38% | -0.56% | +0.37% | +0.07% | -0.30% | -0.20% | +0.31% | -0.29% | -0.32% |
| 18 Avg -0.12% | -0.18% | -0.03% | -0.69% | +0.13% | -0.21% | +0.30% | +0.17% | -0.11% | -0.13% | -0.17% | -0.39% | -0.17% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.06% | +0.18% | -0.13% | -0.11% | +0.10% | -0.26% | +0.09% | +0.38% | -0.23% | -0.30% | +0.08% |
| 20 Avg -0.02% | +0.78% | -0.17% | -0.54% | -0.45% | +0.25% | -0.15% | +1.15% | +0.34% | -0.62% | -0.03% | -0.44% | -0.29% |
| 21 Avg +0.05% | -0.27% | -0.67% | +0.34% | -0.59% | -0.03% | +0.53% | -0.13% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.90% | +0.08% | +0.28% |
| 22 Avg +0.18% | +0.70% | +0.22% | -0.05% | -0.46% | +0.34% | +0.44% | +0.45% | -0.24% | +0.35% | +0.16% | +0.23% | 0.00% |
| 23 Avg -0.01% | +0.40% | -0.20% | -0.32% | +0.58% | -0.13% | +0.64% | -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.65% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.10% |
| 24 Avg +0.12% | -0.05% | -0.15% | +1.19% | +0.33% | +0.51% | -0.11% | -0.23% | -0.19% | -0.05% | +0.20% | +0.23% | -0.22% |
| 25 Avg +0.19% | -0.03% | -0.26% | -0.27% | +0.26% | +0.77% | -0.34% | +0.29% | +0.31% | +0.22% | +1.10% | +0.23% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.18% | +1.04% | +0.31% | +1.42% | +0.67% | +0.23% | -0.25% | -0.54% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -1.53% | +0.54% | +0.72% |
| 27 Avg +0.04% | -0.19% | -1.05% | -1.09% | +0.92% | +0.52% | -0.55% | +0.10% | +0.50% | -0.10% | +1.14% | +0.13% | +0.09% |
| 28 Avg +0.16% | +1.00% | +0.28% | -0.22% | -0.41% | -0.08% | +0.12% | +0.38% | +0.15% | -0.05% | +0.31% | +0.52% | -0.13% |
| 29 Avg +0.19% | +0.26% | - | +0.83% | -0.09% | -0.03% | +0.36% | +0.36% | +0.43% | -0.13% | +0.06% | -0.19% | +0.23% |
| 30 Avg 0.00% | -0.47% | - | +0.74% | -0.38% | -0.13% | +0.49% | -0.40% | +0.22% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.41% | -0.57% |
| 31 Avg -0.21% | -0.13% | - | -0.05% | - | -0.25% | - | 0.00% | -0.23% | - | -0.76% | - | -0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
