Morgan Stanley (MS) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Morgan Stanley (MS).

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Morgan Stanley (MS) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +21.11%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jun 2 for 60 days) is +6.40%.

6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Morgan Stanley (MS) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Morgan Stanley's stock typically experiences a strong bullish phase from late May through the end of the year. This uptrend begins with a recovery in late May, followed by a significant climb, peaking around December 27 with a gain of +22.1%. The most bearish period tends to occur in March and early April, with a notable dip of -6.3% around April 5. From January to late May, the stock generally consolidates with smaller positive and negative movements.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most significant dip, presenting a potential buying opportunity, occurs in early April, specifically around April 5, with an average drop of -6.3%. This pullback is likely due to profit-taking after the initial January gains and broader market corrections that often occur in the spring. Another potential buying opportunity arises in late March, with a dip of -5.7% around March 23. These pullbacks offer strategic entry points before the stock begins its strong upward trend in late May.

3) Summary:

Based on historical seasonality, a strategic investment approach for Morgan Stanley would involve accumulating shares during the weakness in late March and early April. Specifically, consider initiating or adding to positions around April 5, capitalizing on the -6.3% dip. Be prepared to hold through the summer months as the stock typically enters a strong bullish phase, culminating in substantial gains by the end of December.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-06-02 128.4000 2025-07-31 142.4600 14.0600 10.95
2023 2023-06-02 84.3500 2023-07-31 91.5600 7.2100 8.55
2022 2022-06-02 85.2000 2022-07-31 84.3000 -0.9000 -1.06
2021 2021-06-02 92.7600 2021-07-31 95.9800 3.2200 3.47
2020 2020-06-02 45.5800 2020-07-31 48.8800 3.3000 7.24
2017 2017-06-02 42.5200 2017-07-31 46.9000 4.3800 10.30
2016 2016-06-02 27.2800 2016-07-31 28.7300 1.4500 5.32
Avg 72.2986 76.9729 4.67 6.40
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.85% Feb Total -1.32% Mar Total -4.20% Apr Total +3.44% May Total +1.75% Jun Total +1.72% Jul Total +5.59% Aug Total +1.42% Sep Total -1.44% Oct Total +2.61% Nov Total +8.89% Dec Total +1.90%
1 Avg +0.10% 0.00% +0.30% +0.44% -0.30% -0.31% +0.61% +0.21% -0.92% +0.34% -0.45% +0.57% +0.66%
2 Avg +0.18% +0.31% -0.31% +0.54% +0.75% +0.42% +0.50% +0.26% -1.21% +0.09% -0.22% +0.79% +0.23%
3 Avg 0.00% +0.05% +0.26% -0.29% -0.80% -0.04% -0.05% +0.39% +0.47% -0.71% +0.18% +0.33% +0.20%
4 Avg +0.25% +1.10% +1.10% -0.37% -1.08% -0.11% +0.82% 0.00% +0.21% +0.32% +0.85% +0.19% +0.01%
5 Avg -0.17% -0.20% -0.49% -0.44% -0.58% +0.07% +0.23% -0.45% -0.23% -0.38% +0.43% +0.33% -0.28%
6 Avg +0.18% +1.04% +0.50% -0.84% +0.63% -0.01% +0.89% -0.23% +0.48% -0.76% -0.25% +0.88% -0.20%
7 Avg -0.04% -0.32% -0.07% -0.64% -0.24% +0.66% +0.05% +0.08% +0.01% -0.02% -0.33% +0.17% +0.16%
8 Avg +0.09% -0.04% -1.39% -0.24% +0.97% +0.63% -0.04% +0.02% +0.49% -0.09% 0.00% +0.15% +0.57%
9 Avg +0.27% -0.16% +0.56% -0.76% +1.63% -0.11% -0.20% +0.60% -0.02% +0.79% -0.01% +0.86% +0.09%
10 Avg -0.14% -0.04% -0.32% -0.26% -0.56% +0.10% -1.07% +0.49% -0.10% -0.16% -0.49% +1.12% -0.43%
11 Avg -0.08% +0.47% -0.84% -0.04% -0.36% -0.67% -0.84% +0.18% +0.57% +0.37% -0.61% +0.95% -0.10%
12 Avg +0.22% -0.11% +1.38% -1.11% +0.60% -0.21% +0.22% +0.77% +0.26% +0.62% +0.03% -0.29% +0.53%
13 Avg +0.08% -0.31% -0.17% +1.70% -0.12% -0.37% -0.33% +0.12% -0.01% +0.20% +0.47% -0.10% -0.11%
14 Avg +0.24% +0.10% +0.43% +0.31% +0.63% +0.69% -0.58% +0.24% +0.28% +0.32% +0.14% +0.23% +0.07%
15 Avg +0.22% -0.01% +0.78% -0.53% -0.44% +0.23% +0.47% +0.49% -0.23% +0.19% +0.79% +0.70% +0.24%
16 Avg +0.21% +0.93% +0.09% -0.85% +0.01% -0.11% +0.11% +0.24% +0.52% -0.07% +1.47% +0.10% +0.11%
17 Avg +0.06% +0.07% -0.36% +0.96% +1.15% +0.10% -0.53% +0.11% -0.50% -0.40% +0.73% -0.25% -0.42%
18 Avg +0.03% -0.07% -0.20% -0.49% +0.06% +0.80% -0.11% +1.00% -0.15% +0.29% -0.13% +0.15% -0.74%
19 Avg +0.11% +0.38% +0.35% +0.02% +1.33% -0.91% -0.07% +0.19% -0.16% +0.57% -0.43% +0.05% +0.03%
20 Avg -0.07% +0.27% -0.99% -0.06% +0.08% +0.35% +0.10% +0.59% -0.24% -0.30% +0.27% -0.73% -0.12%
21 Avg -0.06% -0.62% -0.63% -0.27% -0.71% +0.05% +0.27% +0.66% -0.13% -0.68% +0.16% +0.23% +0.91%
22 Avg -0.10% -0.11% +0.26% -1.14% +0.29% -0.18% -0.35% -0.30% +0.25% -0.13% +0.17% +0.32% -0.21%
23 Avg -0.03% 0.00% -0.07% -1.96% +0.47% +0.15% +0.19% +0.29% +0.07% -0.49% -0.13% +0.68% +0.45%
24 Avg +0.21% -0.11% -0.78% +1.90% +0.66% +0.20% -0.43% +0.03% +0.49% -0.60% +0.18% +0.79% +0.13%
25 Avg +0.15% +0.09% +0.24% +0.23% -0.41% +0.11% +0.46% +0.32% +0.14% +0.07% +0.19% +0.33% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.21% +0.39% +0.08% +0.84% +0.02% +1.31% -0.18% +0.10% -0.03% -0.58% -0.01% -0.17% +0.79%
27 Avg -0.01% -0.74% -0.60% -0.95% +0.33% +1.29% -0.33% +0.26% +0.60% +0.37% -0.48% -0.03% +0.09%
28 Avg +0.03% +0.35% -0.44% -0.10% +0.25% -0.80% +0.86% -0.50% +0.33% +0.21% +0.20% +0.26% -0.30%
29 Avg -0.05% -0.17% - +0.32% -0.05% -0.71% +0.69% 0.00% +0.30% -0.90% +0.08% +0.29% -0.37%
30 Avg -0.06% -0.18% - +0.48% -0.76% -0.09% +0.35% -0.29% +0.06% +0.07% -0.14% -0.03% -0.13%
31 Avg -0.33% -0.50% - -0.59% - -0.79% - -0.28% -0.18% - -0.05% - +0.05%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jun 2 - Jul 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses