Check historical price trends and seasonality for Merck & Co. (MRK).
Merck & Co. (MRK) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +9.01%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 30 days) is -5.30%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Merck & Co. exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year. The stock price tends to decline from early February, bottoming out around March 23 with an average decrease of -1.8%. A strong upward trend begins in late November, culminating in significant gains by December, with peaks around December 13 (+9.1%) and December 31 (+9.0%). This suggests a pattern of end-of-year strength.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in late February and March, as the stock price typically experiences a pullback. The most significant dip tends to occur around March 23, with an average decline of -1.8%. This period could represent a strategic entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent rebound. The stock tends to recover starting in April, with consistent gains through the summer and a strong rally in late November and December.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Merck & Co. could involve accumulating shares during the late February to March weakness. Specifically, look for entry points around March 23. The data suggests holding through the end of the year to capture the significant gains typically observed in December, particularly around December 13 and December 31.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 100.7000 | 2025-02-14 | 83.0100 | -17.6900 | -17.57 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 118.4900 | 2024-02-14 | 125.8200 | 7.3300 | 6.19 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 87.0038 | 2020-02-14 | 78.8645 | -8.1393 | -9.36 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 71.1927 | 2019-02-14 | 75.3244 | 4.1317 | 5.80 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 59.2271 | 2018-02-14 | 52.3855 | -6.8416 | -11.55 |
| Avg | 87.3227 | 83.0809 | -4.24 | -5.30 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.56% | Feb Total -1.71% | Mar Total +2.07% | Apr Total +1.49% | May Total -0.01% | Jun Total +1.82% | Jul Total -0.71% | Aug Total +3.14% | Sep Total -1.18% | Oct Total +0.23% | Nov Total +3.31% | Dec Total +0.89% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.20% | 0.00% | +0.92% | +0.10% | -0.43% | -0.54% | -0.08% | +1.10% | +0.02% | +0.19% | +1.54% | -0.32% | -0.10% |
| 2 Avg +0.14% | +0.36% | -0.21% | +0.97% | +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.31% | +0.27% | -0.11% | +0.49% | -0.57% | +0.11% | -0.15% |
| 3 Avg +0.05% | +0.09% | -0.21% | -0.02% | +0.23% | +0.31% | +0.80% | -0.18% | +0.33% | -0.44% | -0.04% | -0.38% | +0.15% |
| 4 Avg +0.01% | +0.59% | -1.25% | +0.09% | -0.66% | -0.06% | +0.48% | 0.00% | -0.35% | -0.27% | +0.59% | +0.85% | +0.12% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.53% | -0.62% | -0.02% | +0.19% | +0.26% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.83% | +0.18% | +0.04% | -0.96% | -0.01% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | +0.25% | -0.07% | +0.48% | +0.55% | -0.67% | +0.06% | +0.05% | -0.17% | +0.13% | -0.47% | +0.19% | -0.41% |
| 7 Avg -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.19% | +0.11% | -0.05% | -0.15% | -0.21% | -0.37% | +0.34% | +0.06% | -0.07% | +0.51% | -0.31% |
| 8 Avg -0.05% | -0.44% | -0.37% | -0.35% | -0.01% | -0.15% | +0.14% | -0.26% | +0.15% | -0.16% | -0.32% | +0.88% | +0.34% |
| 9 Avg +0.09% | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.29% | +1.11% | -0.12% | +0.18% | +0.20% | +0.08% | -0.65% | +0.53% | +0.30% | -0.17% |
| 10 Avg +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.16% | +0.64% | -0.53% | +0.23% | +0.39% | +0.22% | -0.13% | -0.51% | -0.12% | +0.21% | -0.15% |
| 11 Avg -0.08% | +0.57% | -0.28% | -0.25% | -0.19% | +0.52% | -0.60% | -0.49% | +0.26% | +0.36% | -0.65% | -0.31% | +0.16% |
| 12 Avg +0.09% | +0.18% | +0.07% | -0.68% | +0.12% | +0.54% | -0.04% | -0.26% | +0.40% | +0.23% | +0.08% | -0.23% | +0.69% |
| 13 Avg +0.04% | -0.05% | -0.14% | +0.06% | +0.13% | -0.57% | -0.69% | +0.05% | +0.80% | -0.47% | +0.27% | +0.42% | +0.69% |
| 14 Avg -0.14% | -0.08% | -0.02% | -0.23% | +0.44% | -0.20% | -0.42% | +0.31% | -0.24% | -0.16% | -0.27% | +0.01% | -0.81% |
| 15 Avg +0.10% | +0.40% | +0.37% | +0.52% | -0.29% | +0.25% | -0.16% | +0.23% | +0.19% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.27% | +0.12% |
| 16 Avg +0.15% | +0.61% | +0.04% | -1.00% | +0.02% | +0.77% | +0.67% | -0.06% | +0.59% | +0.26% | +0.16% | +0.10% | -0.40% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | -0.50% | +0.53% | +0.42% | -0.08% | -0.16% | -0.74% | -0.22% | +0.27% | +0.12% | +0.14% | +0.21% | -0.13% |
| 18 Avg -0.10% | -0.26% | -0.06% | -0.27% | -0.30% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.54% | -0.09% | +0.16% | -0.11% | +0.28% | -0.02% |
| 19 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.22% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.44% | -0.25% | +0.46% | -0.39% | -0.12% | -0.31% | -0.02% |
| 20 Avg +0.16% | +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.52% | +0.12% | +0.31% | +0.32% | -0.15% | +0.16% | +0.28% | +0.55% | -0.15% | -0.12% |
| 21 Avg +0.04% | -0.46% | +0.19% | -0.04% | -0.51% | -0.27% | +0.73% | +0.07% | +0.36% | -0.39% | +0.08% | +0.75% | -0.09% |
| 22 Avg +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.35% | -0.26% | +0.13% | +0.23% | +0.41% | +0.27% | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.18% | +0.04% | +0.58% |
| 23 Avg +0.07% | -0.09% | +0.17% | -0.97% | +0.46% | +0.06% | +0.64% | +0.35% | -0.01% | -0.27% | +0.12% | +0.09% | +0.22% |
| 24 Avg -0.09% | -1.23% | -0.24% | +0.43% | +0.30% | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.25% | -0.09% | -0.24% | +0.20% | -0.08% |
| 25 Avg +0.08% | +0.10% | +0.31% | -0.38% | +0.88% | -0.22% | +0.02% | +0.09% | -0.22% | -0.42% | -0.05% | +0.90% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.39% | +1.18% | -0.35% | -0.23% | -0.82% | -0.28% | -0.06% | -0.28% | +0.02% | -0.14% | +0.45% |
| 27 Avg -0.02% | -0.21% | -0.43% | +0.27% | +0.47% | -0.03% | -0.20% | +0.40% | -0.14% | -0.18% | -0.80% | +0.27% | +0.39% |
| 28 Avg -0.07% | -0.12% | -0.33% | +0.32% | +0.07% | -0.37% | -0.79% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.22% | -0.01% | +0.10% | +0.01% |
| 29 Avg +0.05% | +0.40% | - | +0.20% | -0.52% | 0.00% | +0.54% | -0.09% | +0.07% | -0.27% | +0.54% | -0.37% | +0.03% |
| 30 Avg +0.07% | -0.11% | - | +0.71% | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.32% | -0.84% | -0.07% | +0.97% | -0.31% | +0.33% | -0.33% |
| 31 Avg -0.05% | -0.01% | - | +0.03% | - | -0.01% | - | -0.35% | -0.22% | - | -0.03% | - | +0.25% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
