Check historical price trends and seasonality for MarketAxess (MKTX).
MarketAxess (MKTX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.59%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -2.71%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
MarketAxess exhibits a strong upward trend throughout the majority of the year. The bullish phase typically begins in late January, following a slight dip, and continues strongly through July, reaching a peak around July 22 with an average gain of +10.1%. After peaking in July, the stock experiences a period of consolidation and slight pullback through September. The stock then rebounds in October and continues its bullish momentum through the end of the year, culminating in significant gains in December, particularly around December 13 (+11.7%) and December 31 (+10.5%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in mid-January, specifically around January 14, where the stock tends to experience a dip of -1.8%. Another pullback period occurs in early February, bottoming out around February 10 with a decline of -1.5%. Following the strong gains through July, there is a period of consolidation and potential pullback in September, offering another opportunity to buy before the year-end rally. These dips could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections, but historically, the stock has rebounded strongly following these periods.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a buy-and-hold strategy with tactical entries for MarketAxess. Consider initiating positions during the mid-January dip or the early February pullback. The strongest period for holding the stock appears to be from late January through the end of the year, capitalizing on the consistent upward trend. Be mindful of the consolidation period in September, but maintain a long-term bullish outlook based on historical performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 221.7000 | 2025-03-16 | 212.3800 | -9.3200 | -4.20 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 269.0000 | 2024-03-15 | 218.4500 | -50.5500 | -18.79 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 370.0100 | 2020-03-15 | 343.0700 | -26.9400 | -7.28 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 216.2500 | 2019-03-16 | 233.4400 | 17.1900 | 7.95 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 206.4600 | 2018-03-16 | 224.5900 | 18.1300 | 8.78 |
| Avg | 256.6840 | 246.3860 | -10.30 | -2.71 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.11% | Feb Total +0.45% | Mar Total +2.48% | Apr Total -1.33% | May Total +2.47% | Jun Total +0.06% | Jul Total +3.40% | Aug Total -1.17% | Sep Total -6.38% | Oct Total +3.87% | Nov Total +3.54% | Dec Total +2.66% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.69% | +0.93% | +0.65% | +0.52% | +0.24% | -0.27% | -0.15% | +0.04% | -0.58% | -0.31% | -0.32% |
| 2 Avg +0.23% | -0.23% | +0.29% | +0.64% | -0.10% | +0.15% | +0.75% | +0.16% | +0.70% | 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.13% | +0.45% |
| 3 Avg -0.17% | -0.33% | -0.99% | -0.94% | +1.33% | -1.12% | -0.86% | +0.58% | -0.87% | -0.41% | +1.69% | -0.27% | +0.17% |
| 4 Avg +0.36% | +0.31% | +0.39% | +0.63% | +0.35% | +0.68% | +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.24% | -0.01% | +1.18% | +0.68% | -0.31% |
| 5 Avg -0.20% | -0.02% | -1.61% | +0.40% | -3.00% | +0.40% | -0.08% | +0.60% | -0.72% | +1.05% | +1.34% | -1.02% | +0.24% |
| 6 Avg -0.10% | +0.04% | +0.28% | -0.20% | +0.26% | -0.61% | +0.56% | -0.03% | -0.61% | -1.86% | -0.06% | +0.40% | +0.69% |
| 7 Avg -0.04% | +0.07% | +0.46% | -0.92% | -0.97% | -0.36% | +0.47% | +0.21% | -0.29% | -0.22% | +0.27% | +0.25% | +0.57% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | -0.30% | -0.73% | +0.36% | +0.32% | -0.07% | +0.25% | +0.26% | -0.23% | +0.34% | +0.03% | +0.74% | +0.34% |
| 9 Avg +0.08% | -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.29% | +0.24% | -0.08% | +0.28% | +0.41% | -0.57% | +0.49% | -0.20% | +0.19% |
| 10 Avg -0.17% | -0.30% | -0.74% | +0.06% | -0.12% | +0.24% | +0.22% | +0.05% | -0.88% | -1.41% | -0.04% | +0.67% | +0.16% |
| 11 Avg +0.10% | -0.14% | +0.26% | -0.29% | +0.21% | +0.67% | -0.39% | +0.16% | -0.38% | +0.20% | -0.34% | +1.04% | +0.25% |
| 12 Avg -0.06% | -0.63% | +0.42% | -0.51% | -0.57% | -0.50% | +0.10% | +0.20% | +0.34% | -0.20% | +0.53% | -0.10% | +0.23% |
| 13 Avg +0.13% | +0.04% | +0.16% | +1.83% | -0.32% | +0.23% | -0.54% | -0.30% | +0.46% | -0.87% | -0.13% | +0.11% | +0.85% |
| 14 Avg 0.00% | -0.39% | +0.22% | -0.16% | -0.06% | -0.40% | +0.78% | -0.02% | -0.18% | +0.53% | -0.28% | +0.12% | -0.20% |
| 15 Avg +0.30% | +0.21% | +0.85% | +0.54% | +0.15% | +0.62% | +0.26% | +0.58% | +0.24% | -0.45% | +0.43% | -0.06% | +0.21% |
| 16 Avg +0.08% | +0.62% | -0.19% | -0.66% | +0.48% | -0.09% | -0.29% | +0.28% | +0.74% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.15% | -0.30% |
| 17 Avg +0.15% | -0.33% | +0.22% | +0.90% | +0.35% | -0.19% | -0.02% | +0.34% | +0.32% | -0.30% | +0.39% | -0.09% | +0.22% |
| 18 Avg -0.22% | +0.08% | -0.05% | -0.79% | -0.43% | -0.29% | -0.77% | +0.11% | -0.62% | -0.02% | +0.25% | -0.01% | -0.11% |
| 19 Avg +0.11% | +0.10% | +0.16% | +0.29% | +0.36% | +0.60% | +0.92% | +0.49% | -0.17% | -0.89% | -0.41% | +0.25% | -0.33% |
| 20 Avg +0.09% | +0.39% | -0.26% | -0.17% | +0.58% | +0.93% | -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.44% | -0.15% | -0.06% | +0.20% | -0.79% |
| 21 Avg -0.05% | -0.22% | +0.28% | -0.28% | -1.02% | +0.19% | -0.74% | +0.07% | +0.55% | -0.56% | +0.90% | -0.16% | +0.39% |
| 22 Avg +0.05% | -0.15% | -0.41% | +0.04% | -0.25% | +0.16% | +0.07% | +0.56% | +0.12% | +0.09% | -0.09% | +0.14% | +0.28% |
| 23 Avg -0.26% | -0.21% | +0.25% | -1.06% | -0.27% | -0.22% | +0.43% | -0.16% | -0.33% | -0.13% | -0.30% | -0.70% | -0.39% |
| 24 Avg +0.08% | -0.18% | +0.33% | +1.13% | -0.06% | +0.38% | -0.19% | -0.97% | -0.48% | +0.31% | +1.02% | -0.15% | -0.24% |
| 25 Avg -0.09% | +1.51% | +0.37% | +0.01% | -0.31% | +0.16% | -0.59% | -0.11% | -0.12% | -0.67% | -1.74% | +0.38% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.11% | +1.21% | +0.30% | +0.06% | -0.72% | +0.20% | +0.17% | -0.73% | -0.78% | +0.08% | +0.45% |
| 27 Avg +0.02% | +0.83% | -0.12% | -0.35% | +0.17% | +0.27% | -0.59% | +0.13% | +0.20% | -0.59% | -0.44% | +0.60% | +0.17% |
| 28 Avg +0.17% | +0.45% | -0.17% | +0.20% | +0.08% | -0.46% | +0.67% | +0.60% | -0.36% | +1.13% | -0.02% | +0.07% | -0.16% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | -0.24% | - | +0.35% | +0.61% | +0.23% | +0.10% | +0.05% | +0.17% | +0.24% | +0.05% | +0.01% | -0.10% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | -0.18% | - | -0.33% | -0.34% | +0.15% | -0.04% | -0.20% | -0.02% | -0.33% | +0.67% | +0.58% | -0.32% |
| 31 Avg -0.20% | -0.81% | - | -0.43% | - | -0.09% | - | -0.43% | +0.14% | - | -0.17% | - | +0.38% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
