Microchip Technology (MCHP) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Microchip Technology (MCHP).

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Microchip Technology (MCHP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.40%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +3.40%.

5 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Microchip Technology (MCHP) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Microchip Technology exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February through July. The stock tends to rise significantly from February 15, reaching +3.6%, and continues its upward trend, peaking around June 7 at +11.0%. A period of consolidation or slight pullback occurs from late June into early October, followed by another bullish phase from November, culminating in substantial gains by December 15, reaching +16.0%. A slight pullback occurs in late December, but the stock remains high, ending the year on December 31 at +14.3%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buying opportunity arises in early April, specifically around April 5, where the stock tends to experience a dip of -1.7%. This pullback is relatively short-lived, with the stock rebounding from late April into May. Another possible entry point could be in October, as the stock consolidates after the summer peak, presenting a chance to buy before the late-year rally.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy for Microchip Technology could involve capitalizing on the seasonal trends by purchasing shares during the dip in early April around April 5 and holding through the strong performance periods in late spring and summer. Another opportunity arises in October before the late-year rally. Consider exiting or reducing positions before the end of the year to capitalize on the gains before any potential consolidation.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 56.1900 2025-01-22 58.4800 2.2900 4.08
2024 2024-01-16 85.1600 2024-01-22 90.7400 5.5800 6.55
2020 2020-01-16 54.4100 2020-01-22 54.6750 0.2650 0.49
2019 2019-01-16 37.5400 2019-01-22 37.5900 0.0500 0.13
2018 2018-01-16 46.6650 2018-01-22 49.3450 2.6800 5.74
Avg 55.9930 58.1660 2.17 3.40
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.43% Feb Total +1.81% Mar Total -0.59% Apr Total +1.87% May Total +7.13% Jun Total +0.99% Jul Total +3.51% Aug Total -0.55% Sep Total -1.82% Oct Total -2.97% Nov Total +7.45% Dec Total +1.19%
1 Avg +0.18% 0.00% +1.25% +1.01% +0.01% -0.60% +0.25% 0.00% -0.91% +0.40% -0.22% +1.37% -0.42%
2 Avg +0.21% 0.00% +0.11% +0.71% -0.14% +1.19% +0.95% +0.32% -1.73% -0.05% +0.04% +0.24% +0.90%
3 Avg -0.17% -0.97% -1.27% -0.80% -1.56% +0.18% +1.16% -0.05% +1.14% -1.38% -0.06% +0.66% +0.84%
4 Avg +0.21% +0.28% +0.82% -0.14% -1.10% +0.23% +0.63% 0.00% 0.00% +0.37% 0.00% +1.41% 0.00%
5 Avg -0.07% -0.52% +0.65% +0.20% -0.34% -0.38% -0.11% -0.08% -1.33% +0.13% +0.28% +1.06% -0.39%
6 Avg +0.16% +0.80% +0.53% -0.03% +0.70% -0.18% +0.47% -0.05% +0.26% -0.59% +0.26% -0.16% -0.04%
7 Avg +0.07% +0.33% -1.18% +0.36% +0.27% +0.27% +0.64% +0.12% +0.54% -0.29% -0.81% -0.22% +0.77%
8 Avg +0.16% -0.16% +0.58% -0.48% +0.40% +0.56% -0.39% +0.55% +0.26% -0.74% -0.10% +1.07% +0.40%
9 Avg +0.27% +0.70% +0.27% +0.35% +2.72% +0.46% -0.72% +0.62% -0.34% +0.05% +0.32% -0.93% -0.26%
10 Avg -0.17% +0.19% -0.77% -1.26% -1.16% +0.94% +0.14% +0.82% -0.91% +0.17% -1.25% +0.68% +0.41%
11 Avg +0.02% +0.69% +0.11% -0.13% -0.14% -0.64% -0.72% -0.72% -0.01% +0.86% -0.03% +0.33% +0.62%
12 Avg +0.07% +0.35% +0.99% -1.40% -0.69% +0.33% +0.25% +1.27% +1.04% -0.02% -0.61% -0.88% +0.20%
13 Avg -0.03% -0.12% -0.38% +0.74% +0.37% -0.11% -0.85% -0.22% +0.74% -0.33% +0.20% 0.00% -0.36%
14 Avg +0.17% +0.12% +0.34% -0.13% -0.02% +0.51% +0.07% +0.41% -0.48% +0.85% +0.16% +0.27% -0.02%
15 Avg +0.10% -0.78% +1.14% +0.64% -0.26% +0.40% -0.17% -0.21% +0.12% -0.25% -0.17% +0.66% +0.08%
16 Avg -0.20% -0.06% +0.37% -1.35% -0.33% -0.10% -0.23% -0.19% -0.26% +0.27% +0.33% +0.17% -0.97%
17 Avg +0.07% +0.32% -0.44% +1.80% +1.14% +0.05% -0.49% +0.04% -0.54% -0.32% +0.21% -0.46% -0.52%
18 Avg +0.02% +0.24% -0.32% -1.23% +0.24% +0.54% +0.41% +0.52% +0.44% -0.10% -0.04% -0.24% -0.25%
19 Avg +0.14% +0.25% +1.68% +0.71% -0.80% +0.01% -0.06% -0.29% +0.07% +0.36% +0.29% -0.14% -0.35%
20 Avg -0.14% +0.31% +0.11% -0.53% -0.42% +0.81% -0.43% +0.51% -0.34% -1.21% -0.02% -0.17% -0.29%
21 Avg +0.07% +0.16% -1.01% +0.20% -0.32% -0.40% +0.33% -0.04% +0.96% -0.33% +0.56% +0.21% +0.52%
22 Avg -0.01% -0.29% -0.28% -0.43% +0.51% +0.53% -0.48% +0.29% -0.08% +0.45% -0.51% +0.40% -0.16%
23 Avg +0.04% +0.66% -0.26% +0.10% +0.94% -0.62% +0.13% -1.06% +0.17% -0.13% -0.36% +0.58% +0.32%
24 Avg +0.22% -0.48% -0.06% +2.03% +2.27% 0.00% -0.08% -0.62% -0.41% +0.06% -0.39% +0.45% -0.15%
25 Avg -0.05% -0.29% -0.77% -0.66% +0.05% +0.41% -0.29% +0.08% +0.81% -0.50% -0.04% +0.55% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.32% +0.50% +0.33% +0.78% +0.22% +1.69% +0.12% +0.75% -0.71% +0.06% -0.61% -0.14% +0.80%
27 Avg -0.26% -1.64% -0.77% -1.76% -0.10% +1.22% -0.59% +0.59% +0.25% +0.45% -0.28% -0.64% +0.20%
28 Avg +0.16% +0.45% +0.04% -0.58% +0.59% -0.37% +0.53% +0.39% +0.11% +0.55% +0.22% +0.48% -0.45%
29 Avg +0.11% -0.07% - +0.83% -0.22% -0.03% 0.00% +0.66% +0.31% -0.67% +0.30% -0.02% +0.14%
30 Avg -0.08% -0.67% - -0.09% -0.95% +0.32% +0.54% -0.47% +0.20% +0.07% -0.33% +0.86% -0.38%
31 Avg -0.10% +0.10% - -0.08% - -0.08% - -0.41% +0.09% - -0.32% - 0.00%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses