Check historical price trends and seasonality for McDonald's (MCD).
McDonald's (MCD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.64%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 21 for 30 days) is +1.09%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
McDonald's (MCD) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline notably in March, bottoming out around March 18 with an average decrease of -2.9%. A strong bullish phase then begins in April and extends through the year, culminating in substantial gains in December, specifically around December 13 (+11.7%) and December 31 (+10.6%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced pullback period for MCD occurs in March, presenting a potential buying opportunity. The stock experiences consistent negative returns throughout the month, reaching a low around March 18. This dip is typically followed by a strong rebound starting in April, making March an attractive entry point for investors looking to capitalize on seasonal weakness.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in MCD would involve considering entry points during the March pullback. Specifically, targeting the period around March 18, when the stock tends to bottom out, could be advantageous. Investors should be aware of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could influence the stock's performance, but the historical seasonal pattern suggests a potential buying opportunity in March for a year-end rally.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-21 | 295.7400 | 2025-08-19 | 310.9300 | 15.1900 | 5.14 |
| 2023 | 2023-07-21 | 295.6100 | 2023-08-19 | 281.7400 | -13.8700 | -4.69 |
| 2022 | 2022-07-21 | 253.4700 | 2022-08-19 | 266.5400 | 13.0700 | 5.16 |
| 2021 | 2021-07-21 | 235.9300 | 2021-08-19 | 237.2300 | 1.3000 | 0.55 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-21 | 192.9800 | 2020-08-19 | 209.5100 | 16.5300 | 8.57 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-21 | 153.9200 | 2017-08-19 | 157.7600 | 3.8400 | 2.49 |
| 2016 | 2016-07-21 | 127.1800 | 2016-08-19 | 115.0100 | -12.1700 | -9.57 |
| Avg | 222.1186 | 225.5314 | 3.41 | 1.09 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.78% | Feb Total -1.58% | Mar Total +1.36% | Apr Total +4.46% | May Total -1.01% | Jun Total -0.47% | Jul Total +2.39% | Aug Total +2.01% | Sep Total -0.87% | Oct Total +1.15% | Nov Total +2.97% | Dec Total +0.39% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.30% | -0.66% | +0.05% | +0.24% | +0.13% | +0.12% | -0.38% | 0.00% | -0.19% |
| 2 Avg +0.05% | +0.25% | -0.07% | +0.12% | +0.14% | -0.19% | +0.13% | -0.02% | +0.21% | +0.27% | -0.27% | +0.24% | -0.25% |
| 3 Avg -0.03% | -0.28% | -0.09% | -0.72% | +0.32% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.04% | -0.12% | -0.28% | +0.18% | +0.28% | +0.08% |
| 4 Avg +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.03% | +0.15% | -0.68% | +0.67% | +0.23% | 0.00% | +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.27% | -0.22% | -0.07% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | +0.01% | -1.10% | +0.04% | +0.35% | -0.11% | -0.12% | +0.13% | -0.58% | -0.05% | +0.27% | +0.88% | +0.40% |
| 6 Avg +0.27% | +0.40% | +0.23% | +0.25% | +1.15% | +0.11% | +0.11% | +0.26% | +0.75% | +0.04% | -0.42% | +0.02% | +0.37% |
| 7 Avg +0.08% | -0.26% | 0.00% | -0.33% | +0.09% | +0.16% | +0.29% | +0.11% | +0.36% | +0.24% | -0.03% | +0.35% | -0.09% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | +0.36% | -0.42% | +0.19% | -0.14% | -0.09% | +0.27% | -0.18% | -0.01% | +0.16% | -0.05% | +0.28% | +0.04% |
| 9 Avg 0.00% | -0.07% | +0.22% | -0.50% | +0.62% | -0.17% | -0.33% | +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.13% | +0.31% | -0.30% | +0.22% |
| 10 Avg +0.14% | -0.09% | +0.59% | +0.81% | +0.15% | +0.52% | -0.72% | +0.52% | +0.06% | -0.39% | +0.26% | -0.16% | +0.15% |
| 11 Avg -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.01% | -0.48% | +0.16% | -0.46% | -0.31% | +0.11% | +0.15% | +0.21% | -0.33% | +0.21% | -0.13% |
| 12 Avg -0.09% | -0.09% | +0.26% | -1.11% | -0.04% | -0.36% | +0.10% | +0.09% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.35% | +0.55% |
| 13 Avg +0.07% | -0.11% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.48% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.34% | -0.28% | +0.73% | +0.22% | +0.35% |
| 14 Avg +0.14% | -0.28% | -0.11% | +0.28% | +0.38% | +0.08% | +0.09% | +0.51% | +0.20% | +0.22% | +0.11% | +0.44% | -0.19% |
| 15 Avg +0.11% | +0.08% | +0.48% | +0.99% | -0.41% | +0.26% | +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.22% | -0.27% | +0.07% | -0.34% | +0.10% |
| 16 Avg -0.02% | -0.21% | -0.06% | -1.15% | +0.02% | +0.18% | -0.22% | +0.06% | +0.31% | +0.12% | +0.10% | +0.87% | -0.20% |
| 17 Avg +0.03% | +0.57% | +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.72% | -0.51% | -0.31% | +0.27% | -0.22% | -0.22% | +0.30% | -0.14% | -0.25% |
| 18 Avg -0.15% | -0.18% | -0.21% | -0.72% | +0.40% | -0.16% | -0.43% | -0.38% | -0.04% | -0.32% | +0.37% | +0.01% | -0.10% |
| 19 Avg +0.07% | +0.28% | -0.36% | +0.88% | +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.16% | -0.06% | +0.16% | +0.34% | +0.11% | -0.24% | -0.16% |
| 20 Avg +0.05% | +0.19% | +0.06% | +0.26% | -0.20% | +0.12% | +0.06% | +0.27% | +0.09% | +0.18% | -0.20% | +0.01% | -0.27% |
| 21 Avg +0.08% | +0.25% | +0.33% | -0.26% | -0.53% | -0.09% | +0.38% | +0.07% | +0.27% | -0.23% | +0.60% | +0.08% | +0.06% |
| 22 Avg +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.38% | +0.09% | +0.73% | -0.43% | +0.35% | +0.77% | -0.08% | +0.07% | -0.56% | +0.29% | -0.02% |
| 23 Avg -0.14% | +0.33% | -0.12% | -0.93% | -0.06% | -0.13% | -0.06% | -0.10% | -0.36% | +0.09% | -0.31% | +0.16% | -0.20% |
| 24 Avg +0.19% | -0.08% | -0.11% | +2.00% | +0.15% | +0.49% | 0.00% | -0.36% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.06% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.03% | -0.17% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +0.67% | -0.01% | -0.64% | +0.36% | +0.22% | 0.00% | -0.58% | +0.41% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.08% | +0.22% | -0.60% | +0.82% | -0.29% | +0.27% | -0.20% | -0.42% | -0.27% | -0.24% | -0.42% | +0.01% | +0.22% |
| 27 Avg +0.07% | -0.22% | -0.62% | -0.03% | +0.34% | +0.38% | -0.15% | +0.34% | -0.04% | -0.22% | +0.76% | +0.04% | +0.30% |
| 28 Avg -0.01% | +0.37% | -0.67% | +0.09% | +0.12% | -0.29% | -0.12% | -0.35% | +0.25% | +0.13% | -0.02% | +0.32% | +0.07% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | +0.21% | - | +0.28% | -0.16% | -0.52% | +0.47% | +0.40% | +0.29% | -0.40% | -0.14% | -0.24% | -0.10% |
| 30 Avg +0.11% | -0.20% | - | +0.38% | +0.77% | +0.38% | +0.31% | +0.08% | -0.20% | -0.07% | +0.54% | -0.23% | -0.50% |
| 31 Avg -0.13% | -0.50% | - | -0.03% | - | +0.10% | - | -0.43% | -0.17% | - | -0.12% | - | +0.26% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
