Marriott International (MAR) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Marriott International (MAR).

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Marriott International (MAR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.58%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Aug 15 for 30 days) is +1.55%.

5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Marriott International (MAR) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Marriott International exhibits a strong bullish trend throughout the year, particularly from February to December. The stock price tends to increase significantly starting in February, reaching a peak around December. From February 15, with an average gain of +5.2%, the stock steadily rises, culminating in substantial gains of +20.0% by December 27 and +19.5% by December 31, indicating a strong year-end rally.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential buying opportunities arise during pullback periods in early April. Specifically, between April 3 and April 7, the stock experiences a dip, with a decline of -1.1% to -1.3%, presenting a chance to buy at a lower price before the subsequent rebound. Another minor dip occurs around March 23, with a decrease of -0.9%, which could also be considered a buying opportunity. These pullbacks are relatively short-lived, with the stock typically recovering and continuing its upward trajectory shortly thereafter.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy based on this seasonality data would involve capitalizing on the bullish trend by entering positions during pullback periods and holding through the year-end rally. Consider buying opportunities in early April and around March 23 to take advantage of temporary dips. The data suggests that holding through December could yield significant gains, particularly leading up to December 27 and December 31.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-08-15 265.2000 2025-09-13 266.5000 1.3000 0.49
2024 2024-08-15 221.9000 2024-09-13 231.7400 9.8400 4.43
2023 2023-08-15 206.0000 2023-09-13 200.2300 -5.7700 -2.80
2022 2022-08-15 163.1800 2022-09-13 157.8800 -5.3000 -3.25
2019 2019-08-15 126.7000 2019-09-13 133.9900 7.2900 5.75
2018 2018-08-15 120.4300 2018-09-13 129.5400 9.1100 7.56
2017 2017-08-15 100.4000 2017-09-13 106.7700 6.3700 6.34
2016 2016-08-15 72.8800 2016-09-13 68.4100 -4.4700 -6.13
Avg 159.5863 161.8825 2.30 1.55
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.27% Feb Total +3.69% Mar Total -4.62% Apr Total +3.22% May Total +0.10% Jun Total -1.09% Jul Total +3.38% Aug Total +0.57% Sep Total -0.47% Oct Total +2.42% Nov Total +9.27% Dec Total +2.95%
1 Avg +0.15% 0.00% +0.52% -0.27% -1.28% -0.14% +1.48% +0.89% -0.64% +0.11% +0.31% +0.63% +0.18%
2 Avg -0.11% -0.57% -0.49% +0.26% -1.06% +0.59% +0.70% +0.27% -0.66% +0.04% -0.16% -0.76% +0.52%
3 Avg -0.20% -0.75% +0.34% -1.12% -1.22% -0.04% +0.20% -0.01% -0.21% -0.59% -0.36% +0.91% +0.48%
4 Avg +0.27% +0.17% +0.96% -0.47% -0.31% -0.02% +0.94% 0.00% +0.47% +0.38% +0.72% +0.72% -0.30%
5 Avg -0.01% -0.20% +0.01% -0.68% +0.14% -0.34% +0.06% +0.06% -0.15% -0.45% +0.37% +1.28% -0.28%
6 Avg +0.29% +0.15% +0.49% -0.06% +1.34% -0.62% +0.57% -0.02% +0.59% -0.21% +0.07% +0.30% +0.87%
7 Avg +0.06% -0.37% +0.24% -0.91% -0.03% +0.88% -0.15% +0.21% +0.04% +0.47% -0.14% +0.84% -0.33%
8 Avg +0.40% +0.91% -0.16% +0.46% +1.32% +0.42% +0.51% +0.27% -0.07% +0.53% -0.04% +0.48% +0.22%
9 Avg -0.05% -0.11% +0.36% -0.41% +0.67% +0.17% -1.23% -0.12% -0.45% -0.31% +0.05% +1.26% -0.55%
10 Avg +0.03% -0.36% +0.03% +0.30% -0.56% -0.18% -0.83% +1.09% +0.45% -0.16% -0.28% +0.51% +0.37%
11 Avg -0.14% +0.73% -0.67% -1.24% +0.58% -0.78% -1.01% -0.13% -0.06% +0.31% -0.09% +0.05% +0.59%
12 Avg +0.11% +0.01% +1.11% -0.63% -0.08% -0.64% +0.14% +0.40% -0.25% +0.43% +0.70% -0.23% +0.39%
13 Avg -0.13% -0.36% -0.15% -0.28% +0.45% -0.72% -0.55% -0.31% +0.49% +0.20% -0.35% +0.52% -0.49%
14 Avg +0.34% +0.22% +0.58% +0.39% +1.03% +0.97% -0.05% +0.06% -0.47% +1.25% +0.02% +0.55% -0.49%
15 Avg +0.24% -0.18% +0.87% +0.44% -0.42% +0.38% -0.10% +0.83% +0.13% +0.15% +0.12% +0.16% +0.45%
16 Avg +0.01% +0.02% -0.04% -0.52% -0.07% +0.18% -0.28% -0.06% +0.34% -0.45% +0.27% +0.50% +0.23%
17 Avg -0.17% +0.24% -0.15% -0.83% +0.67% -0.51% -0.17% -0.62% -0.67% -0.50% +0.38% +0.08% +0.12%
18 Avg -0.04% +0.01% -0.22% -1.35% +0.24% +1.12% +0.10% +0.30% -0.03% -0.36% -0.01% -0.09% -0.21%
19 Avg -0.01% -0.01% +0.68% +0.67% +0.18% -0.38% -0.29% -0.21% +0.25% +0.64% -1.07% -0.22% -0.32%
20 Avg +0.08% +0.74% +0.53% +1.42% -0.71% -0.26% +0.11% +0.13% -0.09% +0.11% -0.40% -0.37% -0.21%
21 Avg -0.01% -0.06% -0.69% 0.00% -0.26% -0.33% -0.04% +0.72% +0.02% -1.62% +0.89% +0.85% +0.44%
22 Avg +0.06% -0.11% +0.75% -0.41% +0.04% -0.40% -0.53% -0.07% +0.45% -0.34% +0.57% +0.63% +0.10%
23 Avg -0.07% +0.55% +0.32% -1.90% +0.81% -0.62% -0.12% +0.10% -0.21% -0.55% -0.03% +0.33% +0.51%
24 Avg +0.10% -0.38% 0.00% +1.52% +0.41% +0.21% -0.66% -0.75% +0.28% -0.08% +0.11% +0.62% -0.02%
25 Avg +0.21% +0.15% -0.75% +0.93% +0.21% +0.91% -0.81% +0.59% +0.27% +0.06% +0.50% +0.52% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.02% +0.71% -0.44% +0.12% -0.49% +1.15% -0.17% +0.17% -0.74% -0.05% -0.37% -0.24% +0.57%
27 Avg +0.12% -0.83% -0.58% -0.90% +1.00% +1.00% -0.13% +0.22% +0.85% +0.63% +0.02% -0.10% +0.32%
28 Avg +0.18% +0.73% +0.26% +0.37% +0.69% -1.07% -0.08% +0.29% +0.62% +1.04% -0.23% -0.23% -0.24%
29 Avg +0.28% +0.25% - +0.60% +0.89% -0.81% +1.07% +0.43% +0.41% -0.70% +0.34% +0.39% +0.16%
30 Avg -0.20% +0.10% - -0.04% -0.94% +0.01% +0.26% -0.66% +0.09% -0.43% +0.27% -0.62% -0.19%
31 Avg -0.16% -0.15% - -0.07% - -0.04% - -0.69% -0.50% - +0.25% - +0.06%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Aug 27 - Sep 25] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses