Marriott International (MAR) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Marriott International (MAR).

View:

Marriott International (MAR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.58%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -5.32%.

3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Marriott International (MAR) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Marriott International exhibits a strong bullish trend throughout the year, particularly from February to December. The stock price tends to increase significantly starting in February, reaching a peak around December. From February 15, with an average gain of +5.2%, the stock steadily rises, culminating in substantial gains of +20.0% by December 27 and +19.5% by December 31, indicating a strong year-end rally.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential buying opportunities arise during pullback periods in early April. Specifically, between April 3 and April 7, the stock experiences a dip, with a decline of -1.1% to -1.3%, presenting a chance to buy at a lower price before the subsequent rebound. Another minor dip occurs around March 23, with a decrease of -0.9%, which could also be considered a buying opportunity. These pullbacks are relatively short-lived, with the stock typically recovering and continuing its upward trajectory shortly thereafter.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy based on this seasonality data would involve capitalizing on the bullish trend by entering positions during pullback periods and holding through the year-end rally. Consider buying opportunities in early April and around March 23 to take advantage of temporary dips. The data suggests that holding through December could yield significant gains, particularly leading up to December 27 and December 31.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 276.0000 2025-03-16 243.1100 -32.8900 -11.92
2024 2024-01-16 226.3400 2024-03-15 244.0700 17.7300 7.83
2020 2020-01-16 149.0200 2020-03-15 95.6100 -53.4100 -35.84
2019 2019-01-16 109.2800 2019-03-16 122.3200 13.0400 11.93
2018 2018-01-16 139.1200 2018-03-16 141.0600 1.9400 1.39
Avg 179.9520 169.2340 -10.72 -5.32
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.27% Feb Total +3.69% Mar Total -4.62% Apr Total +3.22% May Total +0.10% Jun Total -1.09% Jul Total +3.38% Aug Total +0.57% Sep Total -0.47% Oct Total +2.42% Nov Total +9.27% Dec Total +2.95%
1 Avg +0.15% 0.00% +0.52% -0.27% -1.28% -0.14% +1.48% +0.89% -0.64% +0.11% +0.31% +0.63% +0.18%
2 Avg -0.11% -0.57% -0.49% +0.26% -1.06% +0.59% +0.70% +0.27% -0.66% +0.04% -0.16% -0.76% +0.52%
3 Avg -0.20% -0.75% +0.34% -1.12% -1.22% -0.04% +0.20% -0.01% -0.21% -0.59% -0.36% +0.91% +0.48%
4 Avg +0.27% +0.17% +0.96% -0.47% -0.31% -0.02% +0.94% 0.00% +0.47% +0.38% +0.72% +0.72% -0.30%
5 Avg -0.01% -0.20% +0.01% -0.68% +0.14% -0.34% +0.06% +0.06% -0.15% -0.45% +0.37% +1.28% -0.28%
6 Avg +0.29% +0.15% +0.49% -0.06% +1.34% -0.62% +0.57% -0.02% +0.59% -0.21% +0.07% +0.30% +0.87%
7 Avg +0.06% -0.37% +0.24% -0.91% -0.03% +0.88% -0.15% +0.21% +0.04% +0.47% -0.14% +0.84% -0.33%
8 Avg +0.40% +0.91% -0.16% +0.46% +1.32% +0.42% +0.51% +0.27% -0.07% +0.53% -0.04% +0.48% +0.22%
9 Avg -0.05% -0.11% +0.36% -0.41% +0.67% +0.17% -1.23% -0.12% -0.45% -0.31% +0.05% +1.26% -0.55%
10 Avg +0.03% -0.36% +0.03% +0.30% -0.56% -0.18% -0.83% +1.09% +0.45% -0.16% -0.28% +0.51% +0.37%
11 Avg -0.14% +0.73% -0.67% -1.24% +0.58% -0.78% -1.01% -0.13% -0.06% +0.31% -0.09% +0.05% +0.59%
12 Avg +0.11% +0.01% +1.11% -0.63% -0.08% -0.64% +0.14% +0.40% -0.25% +0.43% +0.70% -0.23% +0.39%
13 Avg -0.13% -0.36% -0.15% -0.28% +0.45% -0.72% -0.55% -0.31% +0.49% +0.20% -0.35% +0.52% -0.49%
14 Avg +0.34% +0.22% +0.58% +0.39% +1.03% +0.97% -0.05% +0.06% -0.47% +1.25% +0.02% +0.55% -0.49%
15 Avg +0.24% -0.18% +0.87% +0.44% -0.42% +0.38% -0.10% +0.83% +0.13% +0.15% +0.12% +0.16% +0.45%
16 Avg +0.01% +0.02% -0.04% -0.52% -0.07% +0.18% -0.28% -0.06% +0.34% -0.45% +0.27% +0.50% +0.23%
17 Avg -0.17% +0.24% -0.15% -0.83% +0.67% -0.51% -0.17% -0.62% -0.67% -0.50% +0.38% +0.08% +0.12%
18 Avg -0.04% +0.01% -0.22% -1.35% +0.24% +1.12% +0.10% +0.30% -0.03% -0.36% -0.01% -0.09% -0.21%
19 Avg -0.01% -0.01% +0.68% +0.67% +0.18% -0.38% -0.29% -0.21% +0.25% +0.64% -1.07% -0.22% -0.32%
20 Avg +0.08% +0.74% +0.53% +1.42% -0.71% -0.26% +0.11% +0.13% -0.09% +0.11% -0.40% -0.37% -0.21%
21 Avg -0.01% -0.06% -0.69% 0.00% -0.26% -0.33% -0.04% +0.72% +0.02% -1.62% +0.89% +0.85% +0.44%
22 Avg +0.06% -0.11% +0.75% -0.41% +0.04% -0.40% -0.53% -0.07% +0.45% -0.34% +0.57% +0.63% +0.10%
23 Avg -0.07% +0.55% +0.32% -1.90% +0.81% -0.62% -0.12% +0.10% -0.21% -0.55% -0.03% +0.33% +0.51%
24 Avg +0.10% -0.38% 0.00% +1.52% +0.41% +0.21% -0.66% -0.75% +0.28% -0.08% +0.11% +0.62% -0.02%
25 Avg +0.21% +0.15% -0.75% +0.93% +0.21% +0.91% -0.81% +0.59% +0.27% +0.06% +0.50% +0.52% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.02% +0.71% -0.44% +0.12% -0.49% +1.15% -0.17% +0.17% -0.74% -0.05% -0.37% -0.24% +0.57%
27 Avg +0.12% -0.83% -0.58% -0.90% +1.00% +1.00% -0.13% +0.22% +0.85% +0.63% +0.02% -0.10% +0.32%
28 Avg +0.18% +0.73% +0.26% +0.37% +0.69% -1.07% -0.08% +0.29% +0.62% +1.04% -0.23% -0.23% -0.24%
29 Avg +0.28% +0.25% - +0.60% +0.89% -0.81% +1.07% +0.43% +0.41% -0.70% +0.34% +0.39% +0.16%
30 Avg -0.20% +0.10% - -0.04% -0.94% +0.01% +0.26% -0.66% +0.09% -0.43% +0.27% -0.62% -0.19%
31 Avg -0.16% -0.15% - -0.07% - -0.04% - -0.69% -0.50% - +0.25% - +0.06%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses