Check historical price trends and seasonality for Southwest Airlines (LUV).
Southwest Airlines (LUV) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +1.62%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -6.35%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
Southwest Airlines exhibits a strong bullish tendency from early January, climbing steadily to a peak around February 17, with an average gain of +5.8%. Following this high, the stock enters a bearish phase, declining consistently through the summer months, reaching its lowest point around August 2, with an average loss of -8.4%. A slight recovery occurs in December, ending the year around December 31 with an average gain of +1.6%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for Southwest Airlines is between March and August. The decline accelerates through May, bottoming out around August 2, presenting a potential buying opportunity after a substantial average drop of -8.4%. Another potential, albeit smaller, buying opportunity arises in late October as the stock experiences a dip before a slight recovery in December.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, consider initiating a long position in Southwest Airlines around August to capitalize on the stock's tendency to rebound after its summer lows. Another potential entry point is in late October. Be mindful of the strong negative seasonality during the summer months and consider reducing exposure before August.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 32.1600 | 2025-03-16 | 31.7300 | -0.4300 | -1.34 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 28.7200 | 2024-03-15 | 28.3500 | -0.3700 | -1.29 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 55.3000 | 2020-03-15 | 41.2800 | -14.0200 | -25.35 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 49.7800 | 2019-03-16 | 51.3700 | 1.5900 | 3.19 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 65.4700 | 2018-03-16 | 60.9000 | -4.5700 | -6.98 |
| Avg | 46.2860 | 42.7260 | -3.56 | -6.35 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.89% | Feb Total +3.64% | Mar Total -2.68% | Apr Total -3.74% | May Total +1.03% | Jun Total -0.20% | Jul Total -2.18% | Aug Total +2.39% | Sep Total -0.97% | Oct Total -2.48% | Nov Total +9.69% | Dec Total +0.85% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.59% | -0.57% | -1.49% | -0.46% | -0.15% | +0.58% | -1.09% | -0.10% | +0.64% | +0.90% | +0.23% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | +0.22% | -0.34% | -0.10% | -0.83% | +0.48% | +0.44% | +0.40% | -1.29% | +0.26% | -0.16% | +0.12% | +1.02% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | -0.98% | -0.04% | -0.35% | -1.23% | +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.43% | +0.74% | -0.19% | +1.16% | +0.68% | -0.27% |
| 4 Avg +0.09% | +0.82% | +1.19% | -0.71% | -1.19% | -1.31% | +0.87% | 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.02% | +1.07% | -0.20% | +0.61% |
| 5 Avg +0.16% | +0.29% | -0.61% | +0.07% | +0.25% | -0.45% | +0.47% | -0.44% | +0.33% | -0.23% | -0.31% | +2.17% | +0.39% |
| 6 Avg +0.08% | +0.69% | +0.73% | -0.42% | -0.35% | -0.35% | +0.16% | -0.10% | +0.56% | -0.31% | -0.40% | +0.04% | +0.70% |
| 7 Avg +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -1.37% | +0.52% | -0.02% | +0.50% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.75% | -0.27% | +0.79% | +0.28% |
| 8 Avg +0.32% | -0.13% | +0.38% | +1.18% | -0.22% | +0.94% | +0.27% | +0.34% | +0.72% | +0.45% | -0.09% | +0.27% | -0.20% |
| 9 Avg +0.04% | +0.35% | +0.36% | -0.24% | +2.21% | -0.30% | -0.78% | +0.15% | -0.38% | -0.30% | -0.50% | +0.51% | -0.62% |
| 10 Avg +0.15% | +0.57% | -0.30% | -0.08% | -1.21% | +0.32% | -0.04% | +1.42% | +0.85% | -0.31% | -0.15% | +0.69% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg -0.21% | +0.43% | -0.17% | +0.04% | +0.94% | -1.23% | -1.80% | -0.24% | +0.01% | +0.47% | -0.49% | -0.47% | -0.01% |
| 12 Avg -0.09% | -0.03% | +0.60% | -2.92% | -0.12% | -1.20% | +1.03% | +1.19% | +0.27% | +0.05% | -0.11% | -0.39% | +0.57% |
| 13 Avg -0.06% | -0.53% | +0.39% | +0.94% | +0.30% | -0.05% | -0.50% | -0.82% | -0.22% | -0.13% | +0.63% | +0.53% | -1.28% |
| 14 Avg +0.26% | +0.48% | +0.51% | -0.22% | +0.06% | +0.87% | -0.30% | +0.32% | -0.18% | +0.21% | +0.58% | +0.71% | +0.12% |
| 15 Avg +0.38% | -0.44% | +1.00% | +0.80% | -0.46% | -0.08% | +0.38% | +0.87% | +0.92% | +0.22% | -0.18% | +1.23% | +0.28% |
| 16 Avg -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.40% | -0.97% | +0.77% | -0.40% | -0.16% | -0.03% | -0.19% | +0.47% | -0.44% | -0.38% |
| 17 Avg -0.13% | -0.19% | +0.42% | -0.01% | +0.54% | +0.45% | -0.31% | -0.56% | -1.30% | -0.18% | -0.10% | -0.12% | -0.24% |
| 18 Avg 0.00% | +0.47% | -0.21% | -0.73% | +0.05% | +1.33% | -0.26% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.17% | -0.22% | -0.07% | -0.17% |
| 19 Avg -0.11% | -0.24% | +0.22% | -0.89% | +0.28% | -0.42% | -0.42% | -0.05% | -0.17% | +0.10% | -0.09% | +0.13% | +0.21% |
| 20 Avg -0.02% | +0.55% | -0.57% | +0.63% | -0.26% | +0.29% | +0.04% | -0.19% | +0.03% | -0.26% | +0.34% | -0.70% | -0.18% |
| 21 Avg -0.05% | -0.16% | -0.46% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +0.14% | +0.60% | -0.62% | +0.06% | -0.73% | -0.27% | +0.54% | +0.28% |
| 22 Avg -0.19% | -0.81% | +0.31% | -0.97% | -0.38% | -0.77% | -0.29% | -0.08% | +0.45% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.35% | -0.24% |
| 23 Avg +0.18% | +0.52% | -0.05% | -0.05% | +0.69% | -0.58% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.51% | +0.39% | -0.41% | +0.38% | +0.84% |
| 24 Avg +0.01% | +0.50% | +0.53% | +1.39% | +0.03% | -0.05% | -0.61% | -1.96% | +0.84% | -0.35% | -0.30% | +0.53% | -0.37% |
| 25 Avg -0.12% | -0.98% | -0.45% | +0.79% | -0.95% | +0.74% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.65% | -0.94% | -0.89% | +0.74% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.08% | +0.64% | +0.18% | +0.74% | -0.78% | +1.90% | -0.36% | +0.77% | -0.45% | +0.21% | -1.80% | -0.35% | +0.30% |
| 27 Avg -0.25% | -0.85% | -0.54% | -0.72% | -0.43% | +1.30% | -0.21% | -1.17% | +0.68% | +0.56% | -0.63% | -0.22% | -0.73% |
| 28 Avg +0.02% | -0.05% | -0.07% | +0.28% | +0.26% | -0.64% | +0.11% | -0.29% | +0.08% | +0.66% | +0.04% | +0.28% | -0.45% |
| 29 Avg +0.21% | +0.18% | - | +0.95% | +0.92% | -0.62% | +1.31% | -1.17% | +0.40% | -0.50% | +0.07% | +0.72% | +0.08% |
| 30 Avg -0.07% | -0.48% | - | +0.12% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.07% | -0.45% | -0.24% | -0.59% | +0.37% | +0.37% | +0.06% |
| 31 Avg -0.06% | +0.11% | - | +0.23% | - | +0.04% | - | -0.19% | -0.22% | - | -0.41% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
