Check historical price trends and seasonality for Lululemon Athletica (LULU).
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +22.33%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -7.98%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
Lululemon exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with a particularly strong run from early June through December. From early June, the stock begins a steady climb, reaching impressive gains by the end of the year. However, a significant bearish phase occurs in March, with a notable dip of -7.2% around March 16. The year concludes with substantial gains, peaking with +23.5% around December 8 and +22.3% around December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip opportunity arises in March, particularly around March 16, where the stock tends to decline by -7.2%. This pullback is followed by a recovery period starting in April. Another potential, albeit smaller, dip occurs in early May. These pullbacks could be attributed to broader market corrections or company-specific news, but historically, they have presented buying opportunities before the stock resumes its upward trajectory into the summer and winter months.
3) Summary:
Seasonally, Lululemon presents a compelling investment case with a strong upward bias, particularly in the second half of the year. Investors might consider capitalizing on the weakness in March around March 16 to establish or increase positions, anticipating a rebound in April and sustained gains through the end of the year. The significant positive seasonality around December 8 and December 31 suggests holding through year-end to capture these gains.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 370.9900 | 2025-03-16 | 311.0300 | -59.9600 | -16.16 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 470.7300 | 2024-03-15 | 464.9400 | -5.7900 | -1.23 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 243.7100 | 2020-03-15 | 176.7500 | -66.9600 | -27.48 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 142.2400 | 2019-03-16 | 141.7900 | -0.4500 | -0.32 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 76.7000 | 2018-03-16 | 80.7600 | 4.0600 | 5.29 |
| Avg | 260.8740 | 235.0540 | -25.82 | -7.98 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.72% | Feb Total -2.39% | Mar Total -0.50% | Apr Total +3.52% | May Total -0.86% | Jun Total +5.70% | Jul Total +0.89% | Aug Total +3.08% | Sep Total -2.41% | Oct Total +2.33% | Nov Total +7.13% | Dec Total +3.67% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.28% | 0.00% | +0.54% | +0.11% | -0.46% | -0.46% | +1.84% | -0.03% | -0.84% | +1.45% | +0.03% | +0.79% | +0.41% |
| 2 Avg +0.32% | -0.02% | +0.86% | +1.46% | -0.18% | +0.69% | +3.25% | +0.12% | -0.99% | -0.48% | -0.68% | -0.47% | +0.23% |
| 3 Avg -0.21% | +0.20% | -0.64% | -1.58% | -1.18% | -0.05% | +0.31% | +0.24% | +0.80% | -0.93% | -0.07% | -0.03% | +0.38% |
| 4 Avg +0.18% | +1.48% | +0.54% | -0.81% | +0.19% | -0.67% | +0.74% | 0.00% | +0.31% | +0.06% | +0.25% | +0.31% | -0.30% |
| 5 Avg -0.26% | -0.34% | -0.93% | -0.19% | -0.25% | -0.76% | -0.32% | +0.37% | +0.13% | -1.87% | -0.09% | +0.45% | +0.64% |
| 6 Avg +0.02% | +0.57% | -0.19% | -0.28% | +0.82% | -1.13% | -1.59% | +0.22% | +0.36% | +0.90% | -0.30% | -0.17% | +1.09% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | +0.03% | +0.19% | -0.78% | +0.02% | +0.54% | -0.05% | -0.02% | -0.06% | +0.27% | -0.15% | +0.30% | +0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.16% | +0.02% | -0.51% | -0.35% | -0.71% | +0.65% | +0.26% | +0.38% | +0.67% | -0.40% | -0.06% | +0.24% | +1.76% |
| 9 Avg -0.32% | -1.05% | +0.02% | -0.53% | +1.44% | -0.40% | -0.22% | -0.18% | -0.72% | -0.58% | +0.35% | -0.50% | -1.48% |
| 10 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.31% | +0.14% | -0.42% | +0.22% | -0.38% | +0.19% | +0.44% | -0.01% | -0.82% | +1.03% | +0.13% |
| 11 Avg -0.12% | +0.10% | -0.33% | -0.91% | -0.25% | -0.16% | -0.41% | -0.36% | -0.36% | +0.29% | -0.02% | +1.10% | -0.07% |
| 12 Avg +0.08% | +0.27% | +0.60% | -1.38% | +0.33% | -0.04% | -0.43% | +0.22% | +0.57% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.19% | +1.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.03% | -0.31% | -0.24% | -0.16% | +0.34% | -0.25% | -0.56% | -0.18% | +0.62% | -0.30% | +0.72% | +0.46% | -0.56% |
| 14 Avg +0.19% | +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.20% | +0.37% | +1.10% | +0.58% | +0.06% | -0.54% | -0.02% | +0.01% | +0.50% | -0.05% |
| 15 Avg +0.07% | -0.48% | -0.09% | -0.41% | +0.24% | +0.18% | +0.74% | -0.13% | +0.91% | -0.17% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.10% |
| 16 Avg -0.12% | -0.53% | -0.29% | -1.63% | -0.04% | -0.36% | +0.03% | +0.56% | +0.39% | -0.15% | +0.97% | -0.12% | -0.30% |
| 17 Avg +0.31% | +0.68% | -0.19% | +1.26% | +1.40% | -0.38% | +0.72% | +0.73% | -0.63% | +0.17% | -0.28% | -0.18% | +0.43% |
| 18 Avg +0.03% | +0.52% | +0.31% | -0.40% | +0.36% | -0.68% | +0.01% | -0.59% | +0.64% | +0.05% | +0.88% | -0.80% | +0.06% |
| 19 Avg -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.37% | +1.47% | +0.70% | -0.28% | -0.19% | +0.53% | -0.28% | -0.28% | -0.61% | -0.53% | -0.51% |
| 20 Avg +0.12% | +0.19% | -0.17% | +0.56% | -0.33% | +0.83% | -0.36% | +0.43% | +0.82% | -0.69% | +0.31% | -0.04% | -0.16% |
| 21 Avg +0.06% | -0.23% | -0.63% | -0.22% | -0.48% | -0.03% | -0.15% | -0.09% | +0.71% | -0.44% | +0.79% | +0.88% | +0.56% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | +0.16% | -0.08% | -1.37% | +0.78% | -0.52% | +0.30% | +0.41% | +0.04% | +0.71% | +0.01% | +0.56% | -0.48% |
| 23 Avg -0.01% | +0.13% | -0.34% | +0.26% | +0.53% | -0.91% | +0.29% | -0.17% | +0.28% | -0.19% | +0.23% | -0.13% | -0.11% |
| 24 Avg +0.18% | +0.26% | +0.03% | +1.99% | +0.46% | -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.60% | -0.03% | +0.42% | -0.47% | +0.17% | -0.16% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.40% | -0.31% | +0.07% | -0.38% | +0.20% | -0.36% | -0.65% | +0.28% | -0.75% | +1.04% | +1.14% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.17% | -0.34% | +0.50% | +0.47% | -0.22% | +1.22% | -0.16% | -0.80% | -0.44% | +0.67% | +0.02% | +0.25% | +0.90% |
| 27 Avg +0.16% | -0.03% | -0.88% | -0.19% | +0.76% | +0.75% | -0.16% | +0.02% | -0.17% | +0.74% | +0.30% | +0.41% | +0.41% |
| 28 Avg +0.15% | +0.59% | -0.20% | +1.25% | +0.01% | -0.43% | -0.15% | +0.25% | -0.23% | +0.01% | +0.48% | +0.56% | -0.31% |
| 29 Avg +0.54% | +0.73% | - | +2.39% | +0.38% | -0.03% | +1.02% | +0.78% | -0.12% | +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.45% | +0.40% |
| 30 Avg -0.10% | -0.10% | - | -0.10% | -0.72% | +0.10% | +0.92% | -0.71% | -0.23% | -0.88% | 0.00% | +0.63% | -0.04% |
| 31 Avg -0.14% | -0.33% | - | -0.83% | - | +0.31% | - | -0.08% | +0.75% | - | -0.39% | - | -0.38% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
