Check historical price trends and seasonality for Lowe's (LOW).
Lowe's (LOW) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.57%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 15 for 60 days) is +0.97%.
6 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 75.00%.
1) Overview:
Lowe's exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with a few notable exceptions. The stock generally trends upwards from January through September, culminating in a significant rally. However, there is a pronounced bearish period in March, specifically around March 18, with an average decline of -2.7%. The year concludes with a substantial bullish surge in December, peaking around December 15 with +15.6% and remaining high through December 31 with +14.5%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant dip opportunity appears in March, particularly around March 18, presenting a potential entry point after a -2.7% pullback. This bearish phase in March could be attributed to seasonal factors or broader market corrections. Another minor pullback occurs in late October, before the stock resumes its upward trajectory into the end-of-year rally. These pullbacks offer strategic opportunities to accumulate shares before the historically strong performance in the later months.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Lowe's should consider capitalizing on the seasonal trends. A potential approach involves accumulating shares during the March dip, aiming to benefit from the subsequent upward trend through the summer and into the significant December rally. Given the strong performance in December, particularly around December 15, it's crucial to monitor the stock closely and potentially take profits before the year concludes.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-03-15 | 244.7300 | 2024-05-13 | 232.9800 | -11.7500 | -4.80 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-15 | 198.5900 | 2023-05-13 | 203.2600 | 4.6700 | 2.35 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-15 | 231.0700 | 2022-05-13 | 194.0000 | -37.0700 | -16.04 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-15 | 174.2000 | 2021-05-13 | 200.3400 | 26.1400 | 15.01 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-15 | 100.1400 | 2019-05-13 | 104.6600 | 4.5200 | 4.51 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-15 | 85.5400 | 2018-05-13 | 87.4500 | 1.9100 | 2.23 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-15 | 83.2700 | 2017-05-13 | 84.8200 | 1.5500 | 1.86 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-15 | 73.1000 | 2016-05-13 | 75.0100 | 1.9100 | 2.61 |
| Avg | 148.8300 | 147.8150 | -1.02 | 0.97 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.27% | Feb Total -1.98% | Mar Total +1.71% | Apr Total +1.30% | May Total +1.14% | Jun Total +0.92% | Jul Total +4.32% | Aug Total +4.22% | Sep Total -0.01% | Oct Total -2.75% | Nov Total +3.96% | Dec Total +1.68% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.11% | 0.00% | +0.49% | +0.50% | -0.71% | -0.29% | +0.04% | +0.46% | -0.26% | +0.41% | -0.05% | +0.08% | +0.60% |
| 2 Avg +0.04% | -0.26% | +0.18% | +0.43% | -0.11% | +0.85% | +0.69% | -0.09% | -0.68% | +0.39% | -0.51% | -0.39% | 0.00% |
| 3 Avg -0.14% | -0.53% | -0.76% | -0.20% | -0.31% | 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.56% | -0.67% | -0.05% | +0.11% | +0.05% |
| 4 Avg +0.21% | +0.62% | +0.34% | -0.32% | +0.29% | +0.65% | +0.14% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.62% | +0.05% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.35% | -0.02% | +0.23% | -0.26% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.07% | +0.26% | +0.15% | -0.03% | -0.61% |
| 6 Avg -0.06% | +0.16% | -0.02% | -0.13% | +0.59% | -0.09% | -0.25% | -0.22% | +0.33% | +0.07% | -0.45% | -0.46% | -0.20% |
| 7 Avg +0.14% | -0.47% | -0.29% | -0.54% | -0.04% | -0.08% | +0.23% | +0.14% | -0.11% | +0.54% | +0.18% | +1.00% | +1.11% |
| 8 Avg +0.12% | +0.40% | -0.49% | +0.48% | +0.52% | +0.20% | -0.16% | +0.27% | +0.41% | -0.11% | -0.01% | +0.26% | -0.30% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | +0.01% | +0.37% | -0.76% | +0.37% | +0.42% | -0.08% | +0.27% | -0.49% | -0.03% | +0.12% | -1.35% | +0.56% |
| 10 Avg +0.22% | -0.06% | -0.09% | +1.01% | -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.43% | +0.78% | +0.15% | +0.30% | -0.48% | +1.41% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg +0.09% | +1.07% | -0.11% | -0.55% | -0.05% | -0.75% | -0.47% | +0.27% | +0.48% | +0.34% | +0.27% | +0.67% | -0.13% |
| 12 Avg +0.24% | +0.89% | +0.88% | -0.88% | +0.02% | +0.06% | +0.81% | +0.59% | +0.03% | +0.44% | -0.10% | -0.16% | +0.33% |
| 13 Avg +0.05% | -0.21% | +0.15% | +0.55% | +0.03% | -0.12% | -0.17% | -0.15% | +0.48% | -0.95% | +0.33% | -0.14% | +0.77% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | -0.28% | +0.41% | +0.25% | +0.48% | -0.23% | -0.51% | +0.08% | -0.17% | +0.32% | +0.36% | +0.33% | +0.22% |
| 15 Avg +0.13% | -0.11% | +0.60% | +0.50% | -0.39% | +0.71% | +0.40% | -0.05% | -0.60% | -0.26% | +0.44% | -0.05% | +0.42% |
| 16 Avg -0.08% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -2.09% | -0.40% | +0.19% | -0.25% | +0.45% | +0.70% | -0.08% | +0.34% | +0.56% | -0.41% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.26% | +1.01% | -0.20% | +0.42% | +0.22% | -1.13% | -0.25% | -0.28% | -0.22% | -0.59% |
| 18 Avg -0.19% | -0.10% | -0.31% | -0.99% | -0.22% | +0.23% | -0.22% | -0.06% | +0.86% | -0.24% | -0.41% | -0.68% | -0.21% |
| 19 Avg +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.07% | +1.33% | -0.19% | +0.22% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.54% | +0.27% | -0.77% | -0.12% | -0.48% |
| 20 Avg -0.10% | -0.42% | +0.17% | -0.47% | +0.06% | -0.23% | +0.25% | -0.49% | +0.61% | -0.55% | -0.31% | +0.18% | -0.07% |
| 21 Avg +0.12% | +0.24% | -0.78% | +0.48% | -0.65% | +0.20% | -0.10% | +0.49% | +1.29% | -0.17% | +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.15% |
| 22 Avg 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.18% | -0.44% | +0.08% | -1.78% | +0.13% | +0.84% | +1.33% | +0.08% | -0.44% | +0.60% | -0.10% |
| 23 Avg -0.06% | +0.12% | -0.42% | -0.57% | +0.11% | +0.37% | +0.12% | +0.12% | -0.13% | -0.17% | -0.19% | +0.03% | -0.10% |
| 24 Avg +0.03% | +0.19% | -0.62% | +1.55% | +0.41% | -0.39% | -0.09% | -0.40% | -0.16% | -0.16% | +0.09% | -0.13% | -0.01% |
| 25 Avg +0.14% | +0.03% | -0.20% | +0.63% | -0.29% | +0.46% | -0.64% | +0.20% | +0.27% | +0.28% | +0.16% | +0.76% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | -0.19% | -0.16% | +1.48% | -0.15% | +0.76% | +0.26% | -0.15% | -0.31% | -0.47% | -0.87% | +0.16% | +0.69% |
| 27 Avg +0.11% | -0.27% | -0.14% | -0.31% | +0.68% | +0.81% | +0.27% | +0.08% | -0.31% | +0.16% | -0.31% | +0.37% | +0.24% |
| 28 Avg +0.06% | +0.53% | -0.82% | +0.13% | +0.21% | -0.35% | -0.07% | +0.16% | +0.29% | +0.44% | +0.05% | +0.27% | -0.12% |
| 29 Avg +0.10% | -0.16% | - | +0.60% | +0.22% | +0.20% | +0.33% | +0.25% | +0.54% | -0.20% | -0.65% | -0.09% | +0.09% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | +0.26% | - | -0.09% | -0.46% | +0.11% | +0.38% | +0.05% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.22% | -0.33% |
| 31 Avg -0.17% | -0.17% | - | -0.10% | - | -0.59% | - | -0.16% | -0.17% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
