Check historical price trends and seasonality for Lumentum Holdings (LITE).
Lumentum Holdings (LITE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +55.68%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 18 for 60 days) is +3.92%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
Lumentum Holdings exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February through December. The stock tends to rise significantly from February 01, showing an average gain of +2.4%, and continues to climb, reaching a peak around December, with gains of +60.1% by December 27. There is a slight bearish phase at the end of January, with a dip of -1.2% on January 29.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity appears around January 29, where the stock shows an average decline of -1.2%. This dip is relatively short-lived, as the stock quickly recovers and begins its upward trend in February. Another minor pullback occurs around April 19, with the stock showing a slight decline, which could represent a secondary buying opportunity before the continued climb through the summer and fall.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Lumentum Holdings would involve considering an entry point near the end of January to capitalize on the minor dip. Given the strong bullish trend throughout the rest of the year, holding the position through December could yield substantial gains, especially considering the +60.1% increase by December 27. Investors should be aware of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could influence these seasonal patterns.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-04-18 | 42.4400 | 2024-06-16 | 47.2800 | 4.8400 | 11.40 |
| 2023 | 2023-04-18 | 46.4900 | 2023-06-16 | 57.8000 | 11.3100 | 24.33 |
| 2022 | 2022-04-18 | 85.5000 | 2022-06-16 | 75.2100 | -10.2900 | -12.04 |
| 2019 | 2019-04-18 | 60.7500 | 2019-06-16 | 46.1300 | -14.6200 | -24.07 |
| 2018 | 2018-04-18 | 63.0500 | 2018-06-16 | 57.0000 | -6.0500 | -9.60 |
| 2017 | 2017-04-18 | 45.3000 | 2017-06-16 | 63.1000 | 17.8000 | 39.29 |
| 2016 | 2016-04-18 | 25.9400 | 2016-06-16 | 25.4500 | -0.4900 | -1.89 |
| Avg | 52.7814 | 53.1386 | 0.36 | 3.92 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.75% | Feb Total +3.37% | Mar Total +4.32% | Apr Total -7.01% | May Total +3.47% | Jun Total +8.29% | Jul Total +7.03% | Aug Total +5.98% | Sep Total -2.14% | Oct Total +3.43% | Nov Total +8.76% | Dec Total +5.20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.24% | 0.00% | +1.36% | +1.22% | -0.36% | +0.59% | +0.63% | -0.42% | -0.86% | -0.43% | +0.31% | +1.84% | -0.97% |
| 2 Avg +0.12% | +0.95% | -0.78% | +1.01% | +0.29% | +1.48% | +0.50% | +0.72% | -1.91% | +0.35% | +0.65% | -1.18% | -0.58% |
| 3 Avg -0.40% | -0.86% | -0.78% | -1.35% | -3.00% | +0.52% | +0.65% | -0.17% | +1.14% | -1.90% | -0.40% | +0.45% | +0.88% |
| 4 Avg +0.50% | +1.11% | +2.16% | +0.20% | -0.99% | +1.46% | +0.54% | 0.00% | +0.03% | +1.09% | +0.82% | -0.68% | +0.21% |
| 5 Avg +0.19% | -0.02% | -0.10% | +0.17% | -1.39% | +0.59% | +0.59% | -0.34% | -1.50% | +0.70% | -0.50% | +4.16% | -0.10% |
| 6 Avg +0.32% | +0.41% | +2.95% | -1.55% | -0.17% | -0.53% | +1.51% | +0.38% | +0.82% | -0.94% | +0.48% | +0.92% | -0.43% |
| 7 Avg +0.04% | -0.41% | -0.64% | -0.77% | +0.29% | -0.01% | +0.32% | +0.58% | +0.08% | -0.15% | -0.06% | +0.56% | +0.72% |
| 8 Avg +0.45% | +0.22% | -0.52% | -0.99% | +0.23% | +0.72% | -0.17% | +0.32% | +2.24% | -0.36% | +0.54% | +0.53% | +2.61% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | +0.18% | +1.26% | +0.36% | +2.46% | -0.43% | -1.10% | -0.01% | -0.67% | -0.20% | +0.16% | -2.04% | -0.60% |
| 10 Avg -0.09% | +0.49% | +0.28% | -0.56% | -0.88% | -0.25% | +0.47% | +0.26% | -1.04% | -0.05% | -0.99% | +0.54% | +0.60% |
| 11 Avg +0.19% | +0.36% | +0.18% | +0.81% | -1.07% | -0.34% | -0.96% | +0.10% | -0.17% | +0.77% | +0.24% | +0.93% | +1.44% |
| 12 Avg -0.18% | -0.08% | +0.35% | +0.40% | -0.84% | -1.13% | +1.40% | +0.62% | +1.19% | -0.14% | +0.02% | -3.35% | -0.64% |
| 13 Avg -0.03% | -0.21% | -0.19% | +0.10% | +0.39% | -0.65% | -0.54% | +0.35% | +0.70% | -0.18% | +0.24% | -0.17% | -0.20% |
| 14 Avg +0.21% | -0.19% | +0.08% | -0.35% | +0.21% | +1.56% | +0.60% | 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.50% | -0.66% | +0.26% | +0.68% |
| 15 Avg +0.53% | +0.09% | +0.65% | +0.86% | -0.79% | +0.09% | +0.30% | +1.16% | +1.51% | +0.18% | -0.19% | +1.12% | +1.34% |
| 16 Avg -0.07% | +0.40% | +1.24% | -0.14% | -0.38% | -1.12% | +0.27% | +0.06% | -1.16% | +0.12% | +0.84% | +0.03% | -1.02% |
| 17 Avg +0.25% | +0.01% | -0.14% | +2.40% | +0.10% | -0.99% | +0.81% | +0.35% | -0.84% | -0.39% | +1.09% | +0.89% | -0.34% |
| 18 Avg +0.06% | +0.27% | -0.29% | -1.70% | +0.13% | +1.15% | +0.23% | -0.57% | +1.72% | +0.81% | -0.67% | -0.06% | -0.36% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | -1.98% | -0.19% | -0.09% | -1.50% | -0.12% | -0.19% | +0.24% | +0.77% | +0.42% | -0.10% | +0.95% | +1.64% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | +0.05% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.46% | +0.45% | -0.11% | +0.08% | -0.19% | -0.21% | -1.07% | -0.05% |
| 21 Avg +0.03% | +0.46% | -1.05% | +0.67% | -0.09% | -0.34% | -0.11% | +0.60% | +0.58% | -0.29% | +0.06% | +0.54% | -0.66% |
| 22 Avg +0.41% | -0.05% | +0.18% | +0.85% | +0.17% | +1.15% | -0.09% | +0.01% | +0.99% | -0.19% | -0.61% | +0.91% | +1.61% |
| 23 Avg +0.19% | -0.12% | -0.25% | +0.12% | +0.84% | -0.51% | +0.37% | +0.74% | +1.31% | -0.74% | +0.56% | +0.04% | -0.08% |
| 24 Avg +0.45% | +0.91% | -0.55% | +2.39% | +1.65% | -0.94% | +0.33% | +0.05% | -0.18% | -0.98% | +0.85% | +1.63% | +0.26% |
| 25 Avg +0.15% | +0.40% | -0.60% | +0.81% | -0.71% | +1.20% | -0.26% | +0.98% | -0.06% | +0.31% | -0.33% | +0.01% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.26% | +0.10% | +0.38% | -0.62% | -0.90% | +2.38% | +1.12% | +0.34% | -0.50% | -0.29% | -0.55% | +1.29% | +0.31% |
| 27 Avg -0.32% | -2.59% | -1.60% | -0.39% | +0.32% | +0.79% | -0.81% | -0.36% | +0.06% | +0.36% | +0.61% | -0.60% | +0.41% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.11% | -1.30% | -0.15% | -0.88% | +1.02% | +0.29% | +1.00% | +0.18% | +0.24% | +0.33% | -0.71% |
| 29 Avg +0.09% | -0.42% | - | +0.70% | +0.11% | -0.76% | +0.29% | +0.70% | +0.49% | -0.46% | +0.91% | -0.07% | -0.53% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | +0.94% | - | +0.90% | -1.11% | -0.67% | +0.14% | -0.41% | +0.05% | -0.04% | +0.80% | +0.06% | -0.16% |
| 31 Avg +0.06% | +1.37% | - | +0.01% | - | -1.00% | - | +0.55% | +0.27% | - | -0.70% | - | -0.08% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
