Check historical price trends and seasonality for Lithia Motors (LAD).
Lithia Motors (LAD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.97%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +1.41%.
4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.
1) Overview:
Lithia Motors (LAD) exhibits a strong seasonal pattern. The stock tends to rally significantly from early February, reaching a peak in early September. From March 01 to April 05, the stock experiences a bearish phase, with an average decline of -8.1%. The stock then consolidates through May before resuming its upward trend, culminating in substantial gains through the end of the year, particularly around November 25 (+21.4%) and December 31 (+19.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on historical data, a significant pullback typically occurs from March to early April. The most pronounced dip tends to occur around April 05, with an average decline of -8.1%. Another, smaller dip occurs in May, bottoming out around May 12 (-4.1%). These periods of weakness could represent potential buying opportunities, with rebounds generally expected to begin in late April and June, respectively.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Lithia Motors (LAD) could involve capitalizing on seasonal dips. Consider establishing a position during the pullback in March and early April, particularly around April 05. Given the strong upward tendency into the end of the year, especially around November 25 and December 31, this strategy aims to capture significant gains during the bullish phase.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 358.0900 | 2025-01-22 | 345.4800 | -12.6100 | -3.52 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 287.5700 | 2024-01-22 | 303.5200 | 15.9500 | 5.55 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 141.3000 | 2020-01-22 | 141.7700 | 0.4700 | 0.33 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 84.8700 | 2019-01-22 | 86.0900 | 1.2200 | 1.44 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 121.3800 | 2018-01-22 | 125.3300 | 3.9500 | 3.25 |
| Avg | 198.6420 | 200.4380 | 1.80 | 1.41 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.17% | Feb Total +0.72% | Mar Total -7.55% | Apr Total +3.42% | May Total +2.30% | Jun Total +3.89% | Jul Total +8.49% | Aug Total +1.99% | Sep Total -1.44% | Oct Total -0.43% | Nov Total +6.96% | Dec Total -0.55% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.48% | 0.00% | +1.28% | +0.56% | -1.08% | +0.08% | +0.47% | +1.13% | +0.06% | +0.61% | +0.75% | +1.31% | +0.54% |
| 2 Avg -0.29% | +0.07% | -0.65% | -0.01% | -0.97% | -0.33% | +0.69% | +0.28% | -1.16% | -0.41% | -0.27% | +0.11% | -0.79% |
| 3 Avg -0.14% | -0.61% | -0.25% | -0.43% | -1.50% | +0.28% | +0.68% | +0.42% | +0.38% | -1.01% | -0.22% | +0.58% | +0.03% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | +0.44% | +0.95% | -1.23% | -0.60% | -0.23% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.14% | +0.33% | -0.06% | +0.09% |
| 5 Avg -0.08% | -0.21% | +0.15% | +0.57% | -0.60% | -0.18% | +0.65% | -0.53% | +0.61% | -0.22% | -0.49% | +0.28% | -1.01% |
| 6 Avg -0.12% | -0.54% | -0.51% | -0.70% | +0.87% | +0.41% | +0.58% | -0.41% | +0.23% | -0.80% | -1.08% | -0.31% | +0.76% |
| 7 Avg -0.04% | +0.39% | -0.93% | -1.12% | -0.15% | +0.15% | +0.33% | +1.10% | -0.39% | -0.06% | +0.10% | +0.23% | -0.12% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | +0.13% | +0.34% | -0.13% | +0.77% | +0.81% | -0.52% | +0.14% | +0.28% | +0.14% | -0.28% | +0.27% | -0.23% |
| 9 Avg +0.21% | +0.20% | +1.53% | -0.75% | +1.95% | -0.11% | -0.20% | +0.33% | -0.27% | +0.76% | +0.38% | -0.63% | -0.71% |
| 10 Avg -0.02% | +0.12% | -0.32% | -0.51% | -0.08% | -0.53% | -0.59% | +0.35% | -0.05% | -0.79% | +0.22% | +1.53% | +0.42% |
| 11 Avg +0.20% | +0.91% | +0.51% | +0.02% | +0.45% | -1.11% | -0.77% | +0.70% | +1.13% | -0.28% | -0.32% | +1.02% | +0.18% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | -0.10% | +0.66% | -0.83% | -0.24% | -0.79% | +0.75% | +1.41% | +0.38% | +0.31% | -0.25% | -0.14% | -0.74% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | -0.42% | -0.56% | -0.17% | +0.31% | +0.54% | -0.52% | -0.36% | +0.89% | -0.09% | -0.02% | +0.31% | +0.06% |
| 14 Avg +0.17% | +0.32% | -0.33% | -0.89% | +0.63% | +1.06% | -0.51% | +0.16% | -0.56% | +1.02% | +0.05% | +0.83% | +0.26% |
| 15 Avg +0.04% | -0.62% | +0.28% | -0.46% | -0.47% | +0.05% | +1.25% | -0.11% | -0.19% | -0.41% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.91% |
| 16 Avg -0.24% | -0.29% | -0.46% | -1.39% | +0.15% | +0.10% | -1.53% | +0.01% | +0.43% | +0.31% | +0.67% | -0.57% | -0.34% |
| 17 Avg +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.69% | +0.12% | +1.33% | +0.54% | +0.67% | -0.86% | -1.33% | -0.12% | +0.11% | -1.11% | +0.34% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | +0.40% | -0.19% | -1.78% | +0.47% | +0.59% | -0.13% | -0.23% | +0.64% | -0.11% | -0.29% | +0.49% | -0.35% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.54% | +0.13% | +0.74% | +1.25% | -1.17% | +0.27% | +0.11% | -0.51% | +0.73% | -0.98% | -0.17% | -0.08% |
| 20 Avg -0.35% | +0.97% | -0.41% | -0.53% | -0.98% | +0.38% | +0.28% | -0.26% | -0.32% | -0.71% | -1.76% | -0.37% | -0.51% |
| 21 Avg -0.08% | +0.02% | -0.91% | +0.13% | -2.08% | +0.62% | -0.65% | +0.12% | +0.40% | -0.12% | +0.46% | +0.76% | +0.23% |
| 22 Avg +0.22% | +0.30% | -0.10% | -1.53% | +1.11% | -0.13% | +0.66% | +2.11% | +0.31% | +0.74% | -0.93% | +0.70% | -0.59% |
| 23 Avg +0.50% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.30% | -0.19% | +0.52% | +0.80% | +0.46% | +0.34% | +3.22% | +0.61% | +0.08% |
| 24 Avg +0.73% | +0.15% | +1.10% | +2.16% | +1.43% | +0.06% | +0.02% | +0.88% | -0.09% | -0.03% | +2.14% | +0.63% | +0.35% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.32% | +0.78% | +0.23% | +0.81% | -0.05% | -0.84% | +0.56% | -1.24% | -0.75% | +0.70% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.30% | +0.03% | -0.11% | +0.42% | +0.92% | +1.19% | +0.38% | +1.02% | -0.49% | -0.27% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.50% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.34% | -0.37% | -0.80% | +0.67% | +1.03% | +0.28% | -0.77% | +0.06% | +0.95% | -0.65% | -0.22% | +0.08% |
| 28 Avg +0.06% | +0.37% | -0.47% | -0.22% | +0.26% | -0.95% | +0.03% | +0.79% | +0.31% | +0.50% | -0.13% | +0.23% | +0.05% |
| 29 Avg +0.32% | +0.96% | - | +1.27% | +0.19% | -0.55% | +0.97% | +0.86% | +0.38% | -0.48% | +0.23% | -0.05% | -0.26% |
| 30 Avg -0.12% | +0.31% | - | +0.18% | -1.10% | +0.54% | -0.21% | -0.16% | -0.37% | -0.56% | -0.15% | -0.10% | +0.32% |
| 31 Avg -0.27% | -0.22% | - | -0.94% | - | -0.66% | - | +0.28% | +0.29% | - | -0.63% | - | -0.01% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
