Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP).

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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -5.68%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -0.49%.

1 wins 6 losses with a win rate of 14.29%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to rally from late January, peaking around April 25 with an average gain of 4.8%. Following this bullish phase, the stock enters a bearish period, experiencing significant weakness through October, bottoming out around October 5 with an average loss of -10.3%. The stock then experiences a slight recovery before declining into the end of the year, reaching -5.7% on December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Several potential buying opportunities emerge based on the historical data. The most significant pullback occurs between July and October, with the lowest point around October 5, presenting a major buy-the-dip opportunity after a -10.3% decline. Another potential, albeit smaller, dip occurs in December, bottoming out around December 31 with a -5.7% dip. Buying during these periods could position investors to capitalize on the subsequent rallies.

3) Summary:

Seasonality suggests a strategic approach to KDP investment. Consider accumulating shares during the weakness in October, particularly around October 5, to capitalize on the subsequent rally into the spring. Be mindful of the end-of-year weakness around December 31, which could offer another entry point, but the larger opportunity appears to be in October.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 34.1300 2025-05-01 34.0400 -0.0900 -0.26
2023 2023-03-03 34.5500 2023-05-01 32.5700 -1.9800 -5.73
2022 2022-03-03 38.6100 2022-05-01 37.4000 -1.2100 -3.13
2021 2021-03-03 30.6200 2021-05-01 35.8500 5.2300 17.08
2020 2020-03-03 27.5500 2020-05-01 25.9000 -1.6500 -5.99
2017 2017-03-03 94.9100 2017-05-01 90.8800 -4.0300 -4.25
2016 2016-03-03 91.9500 2016-05-01 90.9100 -1.0400 -1.13
Avg 50.3314 49.6500 -0.68 -0.49
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +2.52% Feb Total -1.52% Mar Total +2.21% Apr Total +1.69% May Total -0.56% Jun Total +0.47% Jul Total -4.59% Aug Total -2.03% Sep Total -3.76% Oct Total +1.07% Nov Total +3.08% Dec Total +1.02%
1 Avg +0.07% 0.00% +0.43% +0.03% +0.39% -0.80% +0.29% +0.37% +0.38% +0.12% -0.31% -0.04% 0.00%
2 Avg -0.06% -0.49% -0.02% +0.38% -0.11% +0.10% +0.06% +0.23% -0.33% +0.11% -0.33% -0.15% -0.13%
3 Avg -0.02% -0.42% 0.00% -0.10% +0.21% +0.45% -0.02% +0.18% -0.10% -0.41% +0.19% +0.01% -0.29%
4 Avg -0.07% +0.23% -0.74% +0.02% -0.72% -0.02% +0.09% 0.00% -0.30% +0.07% -0.33% +0.12% +0.69%
5 Avg -0.09% -0.22% -0.31% -0.21% -0.18% +0.39% +0.07% +0.12% -0.27% -0.23% -0.35% +0.40% -0.26%
6 Avg +0.14% +0.41% -0.10% +0.21% +0.58% +0.31% +0.33% -0.11% -0.08% -0.17% +0.14% +0.01% +0.16%
7 Avg +0.11% -0.43% +0.29% -0.49% +0.37% -0.11% +0.07% +0.08% +0.10% +0.01% +0.13% +0.85% +0.39%
8 Avg -0.03% -0.07% +0.04% +0.21% +0.58% -0.09% -0.71% -0.31% +0.30% -0.51% +0.09% +0.29% -0.17%
9 Avg +0.01% +0.19% +0.12% -0.36% +0.56% -0.29% -0.19% -0.13% +0.28% -0.12% +0.41% -0.73% +0.36%
10 Avg -0.60% -0.50% -0.09% +0.07% +0.05% +0.30% -0.07% -8.31% +0.18% -0.17% +0.92% +0.20% +0.18%
11 Avg +0.11% +0.30% +0.20% -0.14% -0.33% +0.07% -0.19% +0.72% +0.02% +0.67% -0.48% +0.29% +0.22%
12 Avg +0.01% -0.11% +0.35% -0.63% -0.22% -0.28% +0.12% +0.46% +0.17% +0.19% -0.07% +0.07% +0.13%
13 Avg +0.02% +0.10% -0.01% +0.19% -0.35% -0.10% -0.04% -0.21% +0.11% -0.31% +0.67% +0.27% -0.10%
14 Avg -0.02% -0.04% -0.27% +0.34% +0.32% +0.11% -0.01% +0.32% -0.45% +0.28% -0.35% +0.18% -0.67%
15 Avg +0.04% +0.11% +0.18% +0.40% -0.09% +0.06% +0.28% +0.02% +0.23% -0.32% +0.17% -0.52% -0.06%
16 Avg -0.08% -0.16% +0.01% -1.41% -0.07% -0.45% 0.00% +0.31% +0.39% -0.14% +0.79% 0.00% -0.27%
17 Avg +0.06% +0.30% -0.29% +0.56% +0.06% -0.35% +0.58% +0.34% -0.23% -0.24% +0.33% -0.06% -0.32%
18 Avg -0.04% -0.40% +0.49% -0.22% +0.16% -0.26% +0.20% -0.26% -0.41% +0.08% +0.05% +0.44% -0.39%
19 Avg +0.24% +0.20% -0.02% +2.13% +0.43% +0.07% +0.24% -0.03% +0.34% -0.08% -0.29% -0.29% +0.14%
20 Avg +0.07% +0.06% +0.43% +0.06% -0.11% +0.26% +0.25% +0.24% -0.18% -0.24% -0.24% +0.02% +0.26%
21 Avg -0.10% -0.41% +0.43% +0.06% -0.50% -0.34% +0.04% -0.11% -0.36% -0.47% -0.06% +0.62% -0.08%
22 Avg +0.10% +0.19% -0.40% -0.09% +0.38% +0.14% -0.03% +0.41% -0.16% -0.43% +0.06% +0.66% +0.46%
23 Avg -0.09% -0.13% +0.11% -0.53% -0.03% +0.13% -0.25% -0.14% -0.30% 0.00% -0.12% +0.13% +0.07%
24 Avg -0.01% +0.01% -0.58% +0.49% +0.03% +0.63% -0.12% +0.06% -0.03% -0.42% -0.04% -0.11% -0.06%
25 Avg +0.02% +0.25% +0.31% +0.86% +0.94% -0.30% -0.34% +0.23% -1.09% -0.30% -0.63% +0.29% 0.00%
26 Avg -0.10% +0.11% -0.97% +0.43% -0.58% 0.00% -0.49% +0.36% -0.68% -0.17% +0.14% +0.14% +0.53%
27 Avg -0.01% +0.22% -0.31% -0.15% -0.30% +0.23% +0.11% +0.18% +0.30% -0.79% +0.41% -0.01% +0.01%
28 Avg +0.00% -0.03% -0.76% +0.15% +0.05% -0.22% -0.35% +0.30% -0.05% +0.27% +0.30% +0.36% +0.01%
29 Avg +0.26% +2.48% - +0.25% +0.01% +0.07% +0.09% +0.50% +0.13% -0.16% -0.84% +0.21% +0.16%
30 Avg +0.06% +0.38% - -0.06% +0.15% -0.04% +0.48% -0.10% +0.14% +0.10% +0.32% -0.55% -0.20%
31 Avg +0.02% +0.37% - -0.24% - -0.21% - -0.31% -0.08% - +0.41% - +0.22%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses