Check historical price trends and seasonality for Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP).
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -5.68%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +2.47%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to rally from late January, peaking around April 25 with an average gain of 4.8%. Following this bullish phase, the stock enters a bearish period, experiencing significant weakness through October, bottoming out around October 5 with an average loss of -10.3%. The stock then experiences a slight recovery before declining into the end of the year, reaching -5.7% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several potential buying opportunities emerge based on the historical data. The most significant pullback occurs between July and October, with the lowest point around October 5, presenting a major buy-the-dip opportunity after a -10.3% decline. Another potential, albeit smaller, dip occurs in December, bottoming out around December 31 with a -5.7% dip. Buying during these periods could position investors to capitalize on the subsequent rallies.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategic approach to KDP investment. Consider accumulating shares during the weakness in October, particularly around October 5, to capitalize on the subsequent rally into the spring. Be mindful of the end-of-year weakness around December 31, which could offer another entry point, but the larger opportunity appears to be in October.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 31.2800 | 2025-03-16 | 33.5900 | 2.3100 | 7.38 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 31.8300 | 2024-03-15 | 28.8800 | -2.9500 | -9.27 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 27.6200 | 2020-03-15 | 23.4700 | -4.1500 | -15.03 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 26.2700 | 2019-03-16 | 27.6800 | 1.4100 | 5.37 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 94.9100 | 2018-03-16 | 117.6000 | 22.6900 | 23.91 |
| Avg | 42.3820 | 46.2440 | 3.86 | 2.47 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.52% | Feb Total -1.52% | Mar Total +2.21% | Apr Total +1.69% | May Total -0.56% | Jun Total +0.47% | Jul Total -4.59% | Aug Total -2.03% | Sep Total -3.76% | Oct Total +1.07% | Nov Total +3.08% | Dec Total +1.02% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.43% | +0.03% | +0.39% | -0.80% | +0.29% | +0.37% | +0.38% | +0.12% | -0.31% | -0.04% | 0.00% |
| 2 Avg -0.06% | -0.49% | -0.02% | +0.38% | -0.11% | +0.10% | +0.06% | +0.23% | -0.33% | +0.11% | -0.33% | -0.15% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg -0.02% | -0.42% | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.21% | +0.45% | -0.02% | +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.41% | +0.19% | +0.01% | -0.29% |
| 4 Avg -0.07% | +0.23% | -0.74% | +0.02% | -0.72% | -0.02% | +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.30% | +0.07% | -0.33% | +0.12% | +0.69% |
| 5 Avg -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.31% | -0.21% | -0.18% | +0.39% | +0.07% | +0.12% | -0.27% | -0.23% | -0.35% | +0.40% | -0.26% |
| 6 Avg +0.14% | +0.41% | -0.10% | +0.21% | +0.58% | +0.31% | +0.33% | -0.11% | -0.08% | -0.17% | +0.14% | +0.01% | +0.16% |
| 7 Avg +0.11% | -0.43% | +0.29% | -0.49% | +0.37% | -0.11% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.10% | +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.85% | +0.39% |
| 8 Avg -0.03% | -0.07% | +0.04% | +0.21% | +0.58% | -0.09% | -0.71% | -0.31% | +0.30% | -0.51% | +0.09% | +0.29% | -0.17% |
| 9 Avg +0.01% | +0.19% | +0.12% | -0.36% | +0.56% | -0.29% | -0.19% | -0.13% | +0.28% | -0.12% | +0.41% | -0.73% | +0.36% |
| 10 Avg -0.60% | -0.50% | -0.09% | +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.30% | -0.07% | -8.31% | +0.18% | -0.17% | +0.92% | +0.20% | +0.18% |
| 11 Avg +0.11% | +0.30% | +0.20% | -0.14% | -0.33% | +0.07% | -0.19% | +0.72% | +0.02% | +0.67% | -0.48% | +0.29% | +0.22% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.35% | -0.63% | -0.22% | -0.28% | +0.12% | +0.46% | +0.17% | +0.19% | -0.07% | +0.07% | +0.13% |
| 13 Avg +0.02% | +0.10% | -0.01% | +0.19% | -0.35% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.21% | +0.11% | -0.31% | +0.67% | +0.27% | -0.10% |
| 14 Avg -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.27% | +0.34% | +0.32% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.32% | -0.45% | +0.28% | -0.35% | +0.18% | -0.67% |
| 15 Avg +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.18% | +0.40% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.28% | +0.02% | +0.23% | -0.32% | +0.17% | -0.52% | -0.06% |
| 16 Avg -0.08% | -0.16% | +0.01% | -1.41% | -0.07% | -0.45% | 0.00% | +0.31% | +0.39% | -0.14% | +0.79% | 0.00% | -0.27% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | +0.30% | -0.29% | +0.56% | +0.06% | -0.35% | +0.58% | +0.34% | -0.23% | -0.24% | +0.33% | -0.06% | -0.32% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | -0.40% | +0.49% | -0.22% | +0.16% | -0.26% | +0.20% | -0.26% | -0.41% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.44% | -0.39% |
| 19 Avg +0.24% | +0.20% | -0.02% | +2.13% | +0.43% | +0.07% | +0.24% | -0.03% | +0.34% | -0.08% | -0.29% | -0.29% | +0.14% |
| 20 Avg +0.07% | +0.06% | +0.43% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.26% | +0.25% | +0.24% | -0.18% | -0.24% | -0.24% | +0.02% | +0.26% |
| 21 Avg -0.10% | -0.41% | +0.43% | +0.06% | -0.50% | -0.34% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -0.36% | -0.47% | -0.06% | +0.62% | -0.08% |
| 22 Avg +0.10% | +0.19% | -0.40% | -0.09% | +0.38% | +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.41% | -0.16% | -0.43% | +0.06% | +0.66% | +0.46% |
| 23 Avg -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.11% | -0.53% | -0.03% | +0.13% | -0.25% | -0.14% | -0.30% | 0.00% | -0.12% | +0.13% | +0.07% |
| 24 Avg -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.58% | +0.49% | +0.03% | +0.63% | -0.12% | +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.42% | -0.04% | -0.11% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.02% | +0.25% | +0.31% | +0.86% | +0.94% | -0.30% | -0.34% | +0.23% | -1.09% | -0.30% | -0.63% | +0.29% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.10% | +0.11% | -0.97% | +0.43% | -0.58% | 0.00% | -0.49% | +0.36% | -0.68% | -0.17% | +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.53% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | +0.22% | -0.31% | -0.15% | -0.30% | +0.23% | +0.11% | +0.18% | +0.30% | -0.79% | +0.41% | -0.01% | +0.01% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | -0.03% | -0.76% | +0.15% | +0.05% | -0.22% | -0.35% | +0.30% | -0.05% | +0.27% | +0.30% | +0.36% | +0.01% |
| 29 Avg +0.26% | +2.48% | - | +0.25% | +0.01% | +0.07% | +0.09% | +0.50% | +0.13% | -0.16% | -0.84% | +0.21% | +0.16% |
| 30 Avg +0.06% | +0.38% | - | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.48% | -0.10% | +0.14% | +0.10% | +0.32% | -0.55% | -0.20% |
| 31 Avg +0.02% | +0.37% | - | -0.24% | - | -0.21% | - | -0.31% | -0.08% | - | +0.41% | - | +0.22% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
