JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for JPMorgan Chase (JPM).

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JPMorgan Chase (JPM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.13%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 30 days) is +3.22%.

4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

JPMorgan Chase exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February through December. The stock price tends to increase significantly from February 1st, reaching +4.6% by February 19th. A notable bearish phase occurs in March, with a decline starting around March 6th and bottoming out on April 5th at -3.5%. Following this pullback, the stock recovers gradually through the spring and summer, entering a strong upward trend in the fall, culminating in substantial gains by the end of the year, with December 28th showing +19.2% and December 31st showing +19.1%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A significant buying opportunity presents itself in early April, specifically around April 5th, when the stock typically experiences a dip of -3.5%. This pullback is preceded by a bearish phase in March, likely influenced by broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns. After April 5th, the stock tends to recover gradually, presenting a favorable entry point for investors anticipating a rebound. Another potential buying opportunity may arise in late June, although the pullbacks are less pronounced.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality data, a strategic approach to investing in JPMorgan Chase involves capitalizing on the dip in early April for potential long-term gains. The data suggests that accumulating shares around April 5th could position investors favorably for the subsequent recovery and the strong bullish trend observed towards the end of the year. However, investors should always consider broader market conditions and company-specific fundamentals before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 254.2700 2025-02-14 276.5900 22.3200 8.78
2024 2024-01-16 167.9900 2024-02-14 176.0300 8.0400 4.79
2020 2020-01-16 137.2500 2020-02-14 137.4600 0.2100 0.15
2019 2019-01-16 102.5000 2019-02-14 102.4200 -0.0800 -0.08
2018 2018-01-16 112.2700 2018-02-14 115.0300 2.7600 2.46
Avg 154.8560 161.5060 6.65 3.22
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.08% Feb Total +0.94% Mar Total -3.32% Apr Total +1.84% May Total +1.92% Jun Total +0.26% Jul Total +3.69% Aug Total +0.73% Sep Total -0.23% Oct Total +3.76% Nov Total +7.42% Dec Total +1.54%
1 Avg +0.07% 0.00% +0.25% +0.29% -0.29% -0.02% +0.51% +0.34% -0.70% +0.13% -0.17% +0.43% +0.10%
2 Avg +0.12% +0.52% -0.34% +0.47% +0.31% +0.12% +0.40% +0.18% -0.71% +0.11% -0.10% +0.32% +0.11%
3 Avg +0.01% +0.08% +0.62% -0.12% -1.01% -0.22% +0.30% +0.13% +0.40% -0.42% +0.26% +0.33% -0.20%
4 Avg +0.13% +0.44% +0.88% -0.52% -0.99% +0.18% +0.33% 0.00% -0.02% +0.49% +0.94% -0.32% +0.19%
5 Avg -0.11% -0.42% -0.40% -0.17% -0.38% 0.00% +0.17% -0.56% +0.26% -0.56% +0.16% +0.64% -0.09%
6 Avg +0.20% +0.52% +0.59% -0.85% +0.29% -0.09% +0.49% +0.03% +0.65% -0.21% -0.15% +1.15% +0.04%
7 Avg -0.07% -0.04% +0.03% -1.12% +0.17% +0.05% +0.24% +0.04% -0.02% -0.11% -0.01% -0.02% -0.03%
8 Avg +0.08% -0.16% -0.60% -0.19% +0.87% +0.66% +0.18% -0.24% +0.19% -0.20% -0.08% +0.16% +0.37%
9 Avg +0.19% -0.04% +0.14% -1.18% +1.76% -0.01% -0.37% +0.59% -0.11% +0.72% +0.05% +1.48% -0.76%
10 Avg +0.03% +0.02% -0.27% +0.60% -0.16% +0.12% -1.00% +0.63% +0.16% -0.57% -0.19% +1.06% 0.00%
11 Avg -0.09% +0.26% -0.48% -0.62% +0.39% -0.66% -1.12% +0.07% +0.61% +0.66% -0.23% -0.11% +0.09%
12 Avg +0.13% +0.22% +1.36% -0.74% +0.09% -0.31% -0.05% +0.34% +0.04% +0.39% -0.04% -0.27% +0.58%
13 Avg +0.02% +0.29% +0.29% +1.51% -0.81% -0.25% -0.29% -0.04% -0.17% -0.11% +0.44% -0.21% -0.36%
14 Avg +0.10% -0.05% +0.36% +0.46% +0.27% +0.89% -0.73% -0.14% +0.03% +0.09% +0.03% +0.03% -0.06%
15 Avg +0.16% -0.26% +0.87% -0.04% -0.72% -0.07% +0.13% +0.70% -0.25% +0.05% +0.75% +0.54% +0.26%
16 Avg +0.00% +0.10% +0.15% -1.01% -0.47% +0.15% +0.19% +0.45% +0.36% -0.06% +0.19% +0.11% -0.12%
17 Avg +0.05% -0.20% -0.13% +0.39% +1.50% +0.33% -0.59% +0.15% -0.70% -0.01% +0.49% -0.17% -0.45%
18 Avg -0.05% -0.47% -0.09% -0.37% +0.19% +0.48% +0.12% -0.27% -0.23% +0.25% +0.16% -0.06% -0.37%
19 Avg +0.05% -0.26% +0.24% +0.13% +0.71% -0.55% -0.03% -0.30% -0.19% +0.70% -0.19% +0.02% +0.28%
20 Avg -0.16% -0.43% -0.36% -0.25% -0.33% -0.15% +0.05% +0.36% -0.22% -0.35% +0.29% -0.51% -0.05%
21 Avg +0.01% -0.25% -0.23% +0.04% -0.65% +0.14% +0.26% +0.34% +0.08% -0.64% +0.35% +0.06% +0.63%
22 Avg -0.07% +0.16% +0.19% -1.18% +0.09% -0.25% -0.58% -0.09% +0.05% -0.14% +0.39% +0.64% -0.07%
23 Avg +0.11% +0.17% -0.21% -1.19% +0.53% +0.32% +0.34% +0.56% -0.09% -0.01% -0.16% +0.58% +0.50%
24 Avg +0.24% +0.13% -0.48% +1.36% +0.66% +0.45% -0.47% +0.19% +0.36% -0.09% +0.32% +0.36% +0.03%
25 Avg +0.13% +0.17% -0.24% +0.54% -0.25% +0.05% +0.33% +0.17% +0.49% +0.03% +0.04% +0.20% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.15% +0.47% -0.07% +1.31% -0.29% +0.90% -0.27% +0.10% -0.15% -0.72% -0.10% +0.10% +0.54%
27 Avg +0.02% -0.47% -0.43% -0.58% +0.35% +1.11% -0.41% -0.01% +0.55% +0.51% -0.58% -0.06% +0.22%
28 Avg +0.19% +0.59% -0.71% +0.02% +0.22% -0.39% +1.05% 0.00% +0.21% +0.49% +0.19% +0.42% +0.16%
29 Avg +0.06% +0.28% - +0.02% +0.27% -0.75% +0.70% +0.22% +0.36% -0.59% +0.06% +0.38% -0.26%
30 Avg +0.11% +0.13% - +0.50% -0.45% +0.04% +0.39% -0.02% +0.03% -0.05% +0.50% +0.15% +0.01%
31 Avg -0.29% -0.41% - -0.81% - -0.35% - -0.26% -0.56% - +0.14% - +0.24%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses