JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for JPMorgan Chase (JPM).

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JPMorgan Chase (JPM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.13%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 4 for 60 days) is -1.41%.

5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

JPMorgan Chase exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February through December. The stock price tends to increase significantly from February 1st, reaching +4.6% by February 19th. A notable bearish phase occurs in March, with a decline starting around March 6th and bottoming out on April 5th at -3.5%. Following this pullback, the stock recovers gradually through the spring and summer, entering a strong upward trend in the fall, culminating in substantial gains by the end of the year, with December 28th showing +19.2% and December 31st showing +19.1%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A significant buying opportunity presents itself in early April, specifically around April 5th, when the stock typically experiences a dip of -3.5%. This pullback is preceded by a bearish phase in March, likely influenced by broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns. After April 5th, the stock tends to recover gradually, presenting a favorable entry point for investors anticipating a rebound. Another potential buying opportunity may arise in late June, although the pullbacks are less pronounced.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality data, a strategic approach to investing in JPMorgan Chase involves capitalizing on the dip in early April for potential long-term gains. The data suggests that accumulating shares around April 5th could position investors favorably for the subsequent recovery and the strong bullish trend observed towards the end of the year. However, investors should always consider broader market conditions and company-specific fundamentals before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-04 250.2500 2025-05-02 252.5100 2.2600 0.90
2024 2024-03-04 186.6800 2024-05-02 191.6600 4.9800 2.67
2022 2022-03-04 134.4000 2022-05-02 120.4500 -13.9500 -10.38
2021 2021-03-04 150.5600 2021-05-02 153.8100 3.2500 2.16
2020 2020-03-04 119.8500 2020-05-02 93.2500 -26.6000 -22.19
2019 2019-03-04 104.1900 2019-05-02 115.4100 11.2200 10.77
2016 2016-03-04 60.0500 2016-05-02 63.7900 3.7400 6.23
Avg 143.7114 141.5543 -2.16 -1.41
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.08% Feb Total +0.94% Mar Total -3.32% Apr Total +1.84% May Total +1.92% Jun Total +0.26% Jul Total +3.69% Aug Total +0.73% Sep Total -0.23% Oct Total +3.76% Nov Total +7.42% Dec Total +1.54%
1 Avg +0.07% 0.00% +0.25% +0.29% -0.29% -0.02% +0.51% +0.34% -0.70% +0.13% -0.17% +0.43% +0.10%
2 Avg +0.12% +0.52% -0.34% +0.47% +0.31% +0.12% +0.40% +0.18% -0.71% +0.11% -0.10% +0.32% +0.11%
3 Avg +0.01% +0.08% +0.62% -0.12% -1.01% -0.22% +0.30% +0.13% +0.40% -0.42% +0.26% +0.33% -0.20%
4 Avg +0.13% +0.44% +0.88% -0.52% -0.99% +0.18% +0.33% 0.00% -0.02% +0.49% +0.94% -0.32% +0.19%
5 Avg -0.11% -0.42% -0.40% -0.17% -0.38% 0.00% +0.17% -0.56% +0.26% -0.56% +0.16% +0.64% -0.09%
6 Avg +0.20% +0.52% +0.59% -0.85% +0.29% -0.09% +0.49% +0.03% +0.65% -0.21% -0.15% +1.15% +0.04%
7 Avg -0.07% -0.04% +0.03% -1.12% +0.17% +0.05% +0.24% +0.04% -0.02% -0.11% -0.01% -0.02% -0.03%
8 Avg +0.08% -0.16% -0.60% -0.19% +0.87% +0.66% +0.18% -0.24% +0.19% -0.20% -0.08% +0.16% +0.37%
9 Avg +0.19% -0.04% +0.14% -1.18% +1.76% -0.01% -0.37% +0.59% -0.11% +0.72% +0.05% +1.48% -0.76%
10 Avg +0.03% +0.02% -0.27% +0.60% -0.16% +0.12% -1.00% +0.63% +0.16% -0.57% -0.19% +1.06% 0.00%
11 Avg -0.09% +0.26% -0.48% -0.62% +0.39% -0.66% -1.12% +0.07% +0.61% +0.66% -0.23% -0.11% +0.09%
12 Avg +0.13% +0.22% +1.36% -0.74% +0.09% -0.31% -0.05% +0.34% +0.04% +0.39% -0.04% -0.27% +0.58%
13 Avg +0.02% +0.29% +0.29% +1.51% -0.81% -0.25% -0.29% -0.04% -0.17% -0.11% +0.44% -0.21% -0.36%
14 Avg +0.10% -0.05% +0.36% +0.46% +0.27% +0.89% -0.73% -0.14% +0.03% +0.09% +0.03% +0.03% -0.06%
15 Avg +0.16% -0.26% +0.87% -0.04% -0.72% -0.07% +0.13% +0.70% -0.25% +0.05% +0.75% +0.54% +0.26%
16 Avg +0.00% +0.10% +0.15% -1.01% -0.47% +0.15% +0.19% +0.45% +0.36% -0.06% +0.19% +0.11% -0.12%
17 Avg +0.05% -0.20% -0.13% +0.39% +1.50% +0.33% -0.59% +0.15% -0.70% -0.01% +0.49% -0.17% -0.45%
18 Avg -0.05% -0.47% -0.09% -0.37% +0.19% +0.48% +0.12% -0.27% -0.23% +0.25% +0.16% -0.06% -0.37%
19 Avg +0.05% -0.26% +0.24% +0.13% +0.71% -0.55% -0.03% -0.30% -0.19% +0.70% -0.19% +0.02% +0.28%
20 Avg -0.16% -0.43% -0.36% -0.25% -0.33% -0.15% +0.05% +0.36% -0.22% -0.35% +0.29% -0.51% -0.05%
21 Avg +0.01% -0.25% -0.23% +0.04% -0.65% +0.14% +0.26% +0.34% +0.08% -0.64% +0.35% +0.06% +0.63%
22 Avg -0.07% +0.16% +0.19% -1.18% +0.09% -0.25% -0.58% -0.09% +0.05% -0.14% +0.39% +0.64% -0.07%
23 Avg +0.11% +0.17% -0.21% -1.19% +0.53% +0.32% +0.34% +0.56% -0.09% -0.01% -0.16% +0.58% +0.50%
24 Avg +0.24% +0.13% -0.48% +1.36% +0.66% +0.45% -0.47% +0.19% +0.36% -0.09% +0.32% +0.36% +0.03%
25 Avg +0.13% +0.17% -0.24% +0.54% -0.25% +0.05% +0.33% +0.17% +0.49% +0.03% +0.04% +0.20% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.15% +0.47% -0.07% +1.31% -0.29% +0.90% -0.27% +0.10% -0.15% -0.72% -0.10% +0.10% +0.54%
27 Avg +0.02% -0.47% -0.43% -0.58% +0.35% +1.11% -0.41% -0.01% +0.55% +0.51% -0.58% -0.06% +0.22%
28 Avg +0.19% +0.59% -0.71% +0.02% +0.22% -0.39% +1.05% 0.00% +0.21% +0.49% +0.19% +0.42% +0.16%
29 Avg +0.06% +0.28% - +0.02% +0.27% -0.75% +0.70% +0.22% +0.36% -0.59% +0.06% +0.38% -0.26%
30 Avg +0.11% +0.13% - +0.50% -0.45% +0.04% +0.39% -0.02% +0.03% -0.05% +0.50% +0.15% +0.01%
31 Avg -0.29% -0.41% - -0.81% - -0.35% - -0.26% -0.56% - +0.14% - +0.24%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 4 - Apr 2] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses