Check historical price trends and seasonality for Johnson Controls (JCI).
Johnson Controls (JCI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +17.74%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.81%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Johnson Controls exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year. The stock tends to rise steadily from January, reaching a peak around July, with gains around +11% to +15%. After a slight consolidation in late summer, the stock experiences a significant surge starting in November, culminating in substantial gains by December 31 (+17.7%), and November 29 (+19.9%). There is a notable dip around April 5 (-1.1%) before resuming its upward trajectory.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises around April 5, where the stock shows a slight dip of -1.1%. This pullback could be viewed as a temporary pause before the stock resumes its climb through spring and summer. Another possible entry point could be considered in late summer, around August, as the stock consolidates before its significant rally in November and December.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Johnson Controls would involve considering entry points during pullback periods, such as around April 5. The most significant gains are typically realized towards the end of the year, making late November and December particularly strong months. Investors should be aware of the potential for consolidation in late summer before the year-end rally.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 80.4600 | 2025-03-16 | 79.6500 | -0.8100 | -1.01 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 52.4000 | 2024-03-15 | 63.1900 | 10.7900 | 20.59 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 41.0400 | 2020-03-15 | 32.8100 | -8.2300 | -20.05 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 31.6700 | 2019-03-16 | 35.8300 | 4.1600 | 13.14 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 40.1700 | 2018-03-16 | 36.7000 | -3.4700 | -8.64 |
| Avg | 49.1480 | 49.6360 | 0.49 | 0.81 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.36% | Feb Total +0.33% | Mar Total -1.39% | Apr Total +1.22% | May Total +4.95% | Jun Total +2.07% | Jul Total +4.92% | Aug Total -0.11% | Sep Total -1.90% | Oct Total +0.08% | Nov Total +5.63% | Dec Total -1.52% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.44% | +0.15% | -0.34% | +0.30% | +0.43% | +0.08% | +0.01% | +0.83% | -0.27% | +0.93% | +0.34% |
| 2 Avg +0.09% | +0.39% | -0.44% | +0.81% | +0.10% | +0.25% | +0.75% | +0.22% | -1.49% | +0.25% | -0.09% | +0.20% | +0.11% |
| 3 Avg -0.05% | -0.03% | -0.24% | -0.16% | -1.08% | +0.50% | +0.33% | +0.28% | +0.24% | -0.91% | +0.32% | +0.29% | -0.14% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.93% | +0.23% | +0.02% | -1.23% | -0.66% | +0.55% | 0.00% | -0.24% | +0.35% | +0.59% | +0.01% | +0.02% |
| 5 Avg +0.16% | -0.52% | +0.68% | +0.52% | -0.53% | +0.51% | +0.56% | -0.20% | -0.22% | -0.15% | +0.19% | +1.53% | -0.51% |
| 6 Avg +0.22% | +1.12% | +0.22% | -0.20% | +0.49% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.12% | +0.22% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +1.23% | -0.03% |
| 7 Avg -0.10% | -0.06% | -0.49% | -0.47% | +0.07% | +0.50% | +0.28% | -0.04% | +0.17% | -0.55% | -0.32% | -0.19% | -0.04% |
| 8 Avg +0.35% | +0.41% | +0.09% | +0.18% | +0.25% | +0.84% | +0.30% | +0.07% | +0.18% | +0.41% | -0.06% | +1.32% | +0.15% |
| 9 Avg -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.26% | -0.41% | +1.60% | -0.10% | -0.33% | +0.11% | -0.57% | -0.05% | -0.34% | -0.48% | -0.09% |
| 10 Avg +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.29% | -0.15% | -0.14% | +0.18% | -0.75% | +0.35% | +0.18% | +0.35% | -0.34% | +0.54% | -0.18% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | +0.52% | -0.33% | -0.53% | +0.29% | -0.93% | -0.23% | +0.01% | +0.30% | +0.27% | +0.22% | -0.26% | +0.59% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | +0.18% | +0.91% | -0.84% | +0.06% | +0.05% | +0.44% | +0.51% | +0.03% | +0.47% | -0.45% | +0.15% | -0.96% |
| 13 Avg -0.11% | -0.25% | -0.14% | +0.59% | -0.30% | +0.11% | -0.20% | +0.13% | +0.16% | -0.55% | +0.06% | -0.28% | -0.63% |
| 14 Avg +0.13% | +0.11% | +0.61% | +0.22% | +0.48% | +0.94% | -0.56% | +0.22% | -0.14% | +0.11% | +0.17% | -0.32% | -0.32% |
| 15 Avg +0.09% | -0.41% | +0.58% | -0.26% | -0.48% | +0.25% | +0.67% | +0.61% | +0.14% | -0.04% | +0.22% | +0.05% | -0.24% |
| 16 Avg 0.00% | -0.46% | -0.07% | -0.42% | -0.17% | +0.26% | -0.24% | +0.53% | +0.19% | -0.42% | +0.35% | +0.35% | +0.07% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | +0.17% | +0.48% | -0.31% | +0.36% | +0.23% | -0.61% | +0.03% | -0.16% | -0.15% | +0.35% | -0.18% | -0.84% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | -0.50% | -0.01% | -0.67% | +0.25% | +0.05% | -0.46% | -0.05% | +0.34% | +0.08% | -0.59% | +0.33% | +0.19% |
| 19 Avg -0.06% | -0.35% | -0.28% | -0.18% | +0.14% | +0.05% | -0.11% | +0.30% | -0.09% | +0.04% | -0.35% | +0.09% | +0.05% |
| 20 Avg -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.15% | -0.22% | -0.18% | +0.35% | +0.08% | +0.10% | +0.19% | -0.43% | +0.15% | -0.49% | +0.36% |
| 21 Avg +0.25% | +0.19% | -0.24% | +0.36% | +0.17% | +0.59% | +0.15% | +0.72% | +0.75% | -0.75% | +0.71% | +0.09% | +0.29% |
| 22 Avg +0.05% | +0.43% | +0.24% | -0.78% | +0.29% | -0.09% | +0.13% | +0.41% | -0.44% | +0.04% | -0.15% | +0.38% | +0.08% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | +0.57% | -0.19% | -1.51% | +0.48% | -0.56% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.11% | -0.16% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.14% |
| 24 Avg +0.05% | +0.35% | -0.16% | +1.09% | +0.16% | +0.06% | -0.42% | -0.37% | -0.14% | -0.42% | +0.46% | +0.21% | -0.24% |
| 25 Avg +0.21% | +1.25% | -0.22% | +0.51% | +0.10% | +0.42% | +0.08% | -0.18% | +0.40% | -0.17% | +0.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.20% | +0.12% | +0.20% | +0.61% | -0.10% | +1.12% | +0.05% | +0.20% | -0.30% | -0.02% | -0.29% | +0.20% | +0.57% |
| 27 Avg -0.11% | -1.56% | -0.37% | -0.46% | +0.84% | +0.83% | -0.26% | -0.17% | +0.25% | -0.13% | -0.32% | -0.09% | +0.07% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | +0.24% | -0.68% | +0.04% | +0.16% | -0.19% | +0.39% | -0.22% | -0.10% | +0.21% | +0.19% | +0.13% | -0.13% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | +0.13% | - | +0.77% | +0.06% | -0.41% | +0.54% | +0.08% | -0.10% | -0.36% | +0.44% | +0.19% | +0.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.02% | -0.27% | - | +0.32% | -0.62% | +0.23% | +0.55% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.11% | -0.34% | -0.32% |
| 31 Avg -0.14% | -0.28% | - | -0.01% | - | -0.73% | - | +1.24% | -0.15% | - | -1.04% | - | -0.02% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
