Check historical price trends and seasonality for Illinois Tool Works (ITW).
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.28%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.57%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) typically experiences a strong bullish phase from February through the end of September, culminating in substantial gains. The stock tends to rise steadily from early February, reaching a peak around September 2nd with an average gain of +6.2%. Following this high, the stock consolidates through October before entering another significant bullish phase in November, reaching +13.5% by December 12 and maintaining high levels through the end of the year, closing at +12.2% on December 31. A notable bearish period occurs around March 23, with an average dip of -1.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises around March 23, when the stock experiences a dip of -1.2%. This pullback could be a strategic entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend. Another opportunity may arise during the consolidation period in October, before the significant rally in November. These pullbacks offer chances to establish or increase positions before the historically strong performance in late fall and early winter.
3) Summary:
An effective investment strategy for ITW involves considering entry points during periods of weakness, such as around March 23, to capitalize on the stock's overall bullish tendency throughout the year. Given the strong performance in November and December, holding through year-end could be advantageous. Investors should be aware of the consolidation period in October and consider it as a potential accumulation phase before the year-end rally.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 255.9300 | 2025-03-16 | 254.4600 | -1.4700 | -0.57 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 253.7000 | 2024-03-15 | 266.9200 | 13.2200 | 5.21 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 179.7900 | 2020-03-15 | 156.4500 | -23.3400 | -12.98 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 129.9700 | 2019-03-16 | 143.1800 | 13.2100 | 10.16 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 169.2200 | 2018-03-16 | 170.9600 | 1.7400 | 1.03 |
| Avg | 197.7220 | 198.3940 | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.04% | Feb Total +0.15% | Mar Total +0.10% | Apr Total +0.57% | May Total -0.05% | Jun Total +0.21% | Jul Total +4.89% | Aug Total -0.16% | Sep Total -1.13% | Oct Total +1.82% | Nov Total +6.27% | Dec Total -1.16% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.35% | +0.09% | +0.03% | -0.11% | +0.48% | +0.23% | -1.33% | +0.31% | -0.26% | +0.31% | -0.30% |
| 2 Avg +0.20% | -0.18% | +0.48% | +0.62% | +0.20% | -0.23% | +0.52% | +0.19% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.11% | +0.85% | -0.08% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | -0.47% | +0.15% | -0.13% | -0.36% | +0.60% | +0.36% | +0.26% | +0.48% | -0.97% | +0.22% | +0.39% | -0.12% |
| 4 Avg +0.08% | +0.37% | +0.21% | -0.01% | -0.92% | +0.26% | +0.46% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.45% | +0.38% | -0.19% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | -0.41% | -0.32% | -0.05% | -0.31% | -0.02% | +0.22% | -0.34% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.48% | +0.53% | -0.24% |
| 6 Avg +0.19% | +0.37% | +0.10% | +0.06% | +0.41% | +0.03% | +0.35% | -0.17% | +0.25% | +0.18% | -0.04% | +0.43% | +0.28% |
| 7 Avg -0.10% | -0.44% | -0.73% | -0.01% | -0.25% | -0.25% | +0.76% | +0.26% | +0.07% | -0.23% | -0.42% | +0.29% | -0.29% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | +0.20% | -0.36% | +0.15% | +0.28% | +0.25% | -0.29% | -0.03% | +0.18% | +0.02% | -0.29% | -0.12% | +0.19% |
| 9 Avg +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.26% | -0.44% | +0.81% | +0.18% | -0.31% | +0.48% | -0.34% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.22% | -0.02% |
| 10 Avg +0.07% | -0.31% | -0.04% | +0.38% | -0.10% | -0.09% | -0.47% | +0.42% | +0.03% | +0.20% | -0.47% | +1.11% | +0.21% |
| 11 Avg -0.02% | +0.07% | -0.12% | -0.66% | +0.21% | -0.21% | -0.57% | +0.15% | +0.12% | +0.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.29% |
| 12 Avg +0.10% | +0.32% | +0.57% | -1.15% | +0.10% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.74% | +0.18% | +0.26% | +0.10% | -0.22% | +0.42% |
| 13 Avg +0.05% | +0.16% | +0.33% | +1.26% | -0.67% | -0.40% | -0.46% | -0.26% | +0.55% | -0.25% | +0.10% | +0.22% | -0.01% |
| 14 Avg -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.06% | +0.38% | +0.18% | +0.05% | -0.54% | +0.25% | -0.39% | +0.35% | +0.21% | +0.05% | -0.46% |
| 15 Avg +0.17% | -0.29% | +0.68% | +0.21% | -0.36% | +0.38% | +0.14% | +0.43% | -0.17% | +0.08% | +0.27% | +0.37% | +0.28% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | +0.08% | -0.13% | -0.36% | +0.21% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.22% | +0.55% | -0.33% | +0.36% | +0.33% | -0.43% |
| 17 Avg +0.13% | +0.14% | +0.10% | +1.18% | +0.48% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.07% | -0.30% | +0.13% | +0.41% | -0.28% | -0.39% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | +0.25% | +0.14% | -0.90% | +0.45% | -0.05% | -0.27% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.05% | -0.58% | -0.20% | -0.38% |
| 19 Avg 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.56% | +0.30% | -0.25% | -0.03% | +0.33% | +0.31% | +0.39% | -0.31% | -0.29% | -0.08% |
| 20 Avg -0.05% | +0.05% | +0.20% | -0.65% | +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.38% | -0.27% | -0.23% | -0.13% | -0.19% | +0.01% |
| 21 Avg +0.04% | +0.03% | -0.29% | +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.02% | -0.19% | +0.31% | +0.14% | -0.69% | +0.49% | +0.50% | +0.18% |
| 22 Avg -0.01% | -0.25% | +0.25% | -0.76% | +0.27% | -0.24% | -0.05% | +0.43% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.11% | +0.38% | -0.08% |
| 23 Avg -0.12% | +0.32% | -0.08% | -1.27% | +0.07% | -0.68% | +0.14% | -0.35% | -0.32% | -0.18% | +0.32% | +0.37% | +0.20% |
| 24 Avg +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.33% | +1.96% | +0.38% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.31% | -0.05% | -0.30% | -0.63% | -0.07% | -0.37% |
| 25 Avg +0.16% | +0.09% | +0.07% | +0.48% | -0.60% | +0.05% | -0.18% | +0.23% | +0.20% | -0.06% | +1.17% | +0.44% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.11% | +0.46% | -0.21% | +1.01% | -0.89% | +0.73% | -0.06% | +0.30% | -0.36% | +0.06% | -0.15% | -0.12% | +0.52% |
| 27 Avg +0.07% | +0.05% | -0.32% | -0.89% | +0.88% | +0.54% | -0.43% | +0.38% | +0.23% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.34% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | +0.21% | -0.25% | -0.03% | +0.35% | -0.60% | -0.01% | +0.14% | +0.12% | +0.28% | +0.21% | +0.09% | -0.46% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | +0.15% | - | +0.55% | +0.01% | -0.35% | -0.03% | +0.46% | +0.34% | -0.48% | +0.37% | +0.13% | +0.02% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | +0.24% | - | -0.15% | -0.59% | +0.15% | +0.75% | -0.37% | +0.38% | -0.43% | +0.43% | +0.29% | -0.25% |
| 31 Avg -0.13% | -0.11% | - | -0.22% | - | -0.09% | - | +0.24% | -0.30% | - | -0.45% | - | +0.05% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
