Check historical price trends and seasonality for International Paper (IP).
International Paper (IP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +4.16%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -9.18%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
International Paper exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from late February, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -4.0%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending from May through early December, culminating in a peak around December 8 with an average increase of +6.1%. The stock continues to perform well through the end of the year, with a gain of +4.1% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for International Paper occurs in March, presenting a potential buying opportunity. The stock tends to bottom out around March 23, having declined by an average of -4.0%. Another, less pronounced, dip occurs in April. Investors could consider accumulating shares during these periods of weakness, anticipating a rebound in May and a stronger rally through the summer and into the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a buying opportunity in International Paper around late March, capitalizing on the historically weak period. Consider initiating a position near March 23, anticipating a rally leading into the end of the year. Be mindful of broader market conditions and company-specific news, as these seasonal trends represent average tendencies and may not hold true every year.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 56.2600 | 2025-03-16 | 51.4100 | -4.8500 | -8.62 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 37.3100 | 2024-03-15 | 36.3500 | -0.9600 | -2.57 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 42.9451 | 2020-03-15 | 31.6667 | -11.2784 | -26.26 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 42.0739 | 2019-03-16 | 43.0966 | 1.0227 | 2.43 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 57.9830 | 2018-03-16 | 51.6761 | -6.3069 | -10.88 |
| Avg | 47.3144 | 42.8399 | -4.47 | -9.18 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.76% | Feb Total -4.68% | Mar Total +1.44% | Apr Total -0.41% | May Total +2.13% | Jun Total -0.05% | Jul Total +2.75% | Aug Total +0.19% | Sep Total -1.74% | Oct Total -0.71% | Nov Total +4.77% | Dec Total -1.59% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.02% | 0.00% | -1.26% | +0.58% | +0.10% | -0.65% | +0.52% | +0.73% | -0.58% | +0.54% | -0.29% | -0.01% | +0.09% |
| 2 Avg +0.09% | +0.35% | -0.60% | +0.91% | -0.36% | +0.29% | +0.63% | +0.28% | -0.50% | +0.32% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.19% |
| 3 Avg +0.05% | -0.07% | +0.18% | +0.28% | -0.99% | +0.34% | +0.80% | +0.22% | +0.48% | -0.80% | -0.23% | +0.03% | +0.41% |
| 4 Avg +0.08% | +1.30% | -0.87% | -0.43% | -0.40% | +0.36% | +0.85% | 0.00% | -0.49% | +0.23% | +0.52% | +0.03% | -0.11% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | +0.37% | +0.07% | +0.36% | -0.21% | -0.28% | +0.30% | -0.68% | -0.73% | +0.13% | -0.02% | +0.82% | -0.28% |
| 6 Avg +0.04% | +0.49% | +0.07% | -1.25% | +0.81% | +0.14% | +0.68% | +0.04% | +0.19% | -0.20% | -0.75% | +0.03% | +0.17% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | -0.30% | -0.09% | -0.83% | -0.81% | +0.37% | +0.82% | +0.34% | +0.49% | -0.14% | -0.15% | +0.37% | +0.09% |
| 8 Avg +0.10% | +0.41% | -0.23% | +0.38% | +0.55% | +0.65% | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.17% | -0.37% | -0.20% | -0.04% | -0.01% |
| 9 Avg -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.15% | -1.06% | +1.25% | -0.02% | -0.47% | -0.04% | -0.38% | +0.22% | -0.30% | -0.03% | -0.33% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | +0.48% | -0.13% | +0.05% | -0.47% | +0.04% | -1.30% | +0.71% | +0.30% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.90% | -0.36% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | +0.58% | -0.32% | -0.28% | +0.16% | -0.39% | -0.61% | -0.13% | +0.34% | +0.60% | +0.42% | +0.59% | -0.03% |
| 12 Avg +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.87% | -0.95% | +0.20% | +0.16% | +0.05% | +0.76% | -0.07% | +0.49% | +0.39% | -0.72% | -0.16% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | -0.26% | +1.59% | +0.26% | -0.30% | -0.81% | -0.09% | +0.33% | -0.30% | +0.14% | -0.37% | +0.07% |
| 14 Avg +0.14% | +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.28% | -0.15% | +1.06% | -0.45% | -0.08% | -0.08% | +0.45% | +0.49% | +0.36% | -0.24% |
| 15 Avg -0.01% | +0.19% | +0.45% | -0.55% | -0.56% | -0.24% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.44% | +0.19% | -0.19% | +0.51% | +0.51% |
| 16 Avg +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.46% | -0.63% | -1.01% | +0.60% | +0.09% | +0.57% | +0.59% | -0.57% | +0.49% | +0.22% | -0.01% |
| 17 Avg 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.43% | +1.72% | +0.24% | +0.20% | -0.65% | -0.23% | -0.21% | 0.00% | +0.16% | -0.20% | -0.63% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | +0.08% | +0.14% | -1.01% | +0.58% | -0.14% | +0.17% | -0.12% | +0.03% | -0.15% | -0.25% | -0.03% | -0.33% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.22% | +0.62% | +0.57% | -0.33% | -0.11% | +0.17% | +0.07% | +0.32% | -0.46% | -0.34% | -0.40% |
| 20 Avg -0.25% | +0.22% | -0.24% | +0.02% | -0.31% | -0.10% | +0.02% | -0.16% | -0.30% | -1.04% | -0.09% | -0.52% | -0.43% |
| 21 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.88% | +0.12% | -0.51% | +0.34% | -0.40% | +0.38% | +0.06% | -0.48% | +0.27% | +0.66% | -0.14% |
| 22 Avg -0.12% | +0.12% | +0.05% | -1.12% | -0.35% | -0.06% | -0.35% | +0.25% | -0.46% | -0.44% | +0.01% | +0.64% | +0.25% |
| 23 Avg +0.06% | +0.25% | +0.11% | -1.78% | +0.48% | +0.49% | +0.35% | +0.34% | -0.14% | -0.22% | +0.48% | -0.02% | +0.37% |
| 24 Avg +0.10% | +0.36% | -0.36% | +1.12% | +0.30% | -0.02% | -0.31% | +0.51% | +0.67% | -0.45% | -0.58% | +0.23% | -0.31% |
| 25 Avg +0.39% | -0.35% | -0.11% | +1.94% | -0.45% | -0.17% | -0.07% | +1.14% | +0.79% | +0.26% | +1.15% | +0.51% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | +0.32% | -0.23% | +0.74% | +0.07% | +0.63% | +0.26% | -0.52% | -0.34% | -0.49% | -0.21% | +0.19% | +0.62% |
| 27 Avg +0.03% | -0.57% | -0.34% | -0.06% | +0.58% | +0.89% | -0.93% | +1.05% | +0.15% | +0.33% | -1.10% | +0.20% | +0.20% |
| 28 Avg -0.14% | +0.05% | -0.66% | -0.03% | +0.77% | -0.61% | -0.09% | -0.52% | +0.25% | +0.27% | -0.34% | -0.25% | -0.49% |
| 29 Avg +0.05% | +0.37% | - | +0.48% | +0.55% | -0.76% | +0.58% | -0.27% | +0.28% | -0.35% | -1.09% | +0.79% | +0.03% |
| 30 Avg -0.21% | -0.84% | - | +0.30% | -1.28% | +0.14% | +0.40% | -0.47% | +0.10% | -0.07% | -0.59% | +0.21% | -0.15% |
| 31 Avg -0.02% | +0.33% | - | -0.09% | - | -0.49% | - | -1.37% | -0.35% | - | +1.63% | - | +0.20% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
