Check historical price trends and seasonality for IBM (IBM).
IBM (IBM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.07%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 30 for 7 days) is +1.31%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
IBM's 10-year average seasonality shows a strong bullish trend from early January through mid-July, with consistent gains. The stock experiences a significant rally from January, reaching a peak around July 18 (+8.1%). After mid-July, the stock consolidates until late November, before entering another bullish phase leading to December. The year typically concludes with substantial gains, particularly around December 12 (+11.9%) and December 31 (+10.0%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While IBM generally trends upward, there are periods that may present buying opportunities. A potential pullback occurs in late July, continuing into August. Another possible dip appears in October, with the stock showing weakness around October 21 (+5.9%). These pullbacks could be considered buying opportunities, as the stock tends to recover and continue its upward trajectory into the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in IBM could involve accumulating shares during pullback periods in late July/August or October. The strongest seasonal strength appears in December, particularly around December 12, suggesting this could be an opportune time to realize gains. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside other fundamental and technical analysis factors.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-30 | 258.2700 | 2025-02-05 | 263.3000 | 5.0300 | 1.95 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-30 | 187.8700 | 2024-02-05 | 183.4200 | -4.4500 | -2.37 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-30 | 135.3000 | 2023-02-05 | 136.9400 | 1.6400 | 1.21 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-30 | 130.7553 | 2020-02-05 | 149.4551 | 18.6998 | 14.30 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-30 | 128.4704 | 2019-02-05 | 129.5889 | 1.1185 | 0.87 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-30 | 156.4245 | 2018-02-05 | 145.8222 | -10.6023 | -6.78 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-30 | 168.0688 | 2017-02-05 | 168.0880 | 0.0192 | 0.01 |
| Avg | 166.4513 | 168.0877 | 1.64 | 1.31 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +4.60% | Feb Total -1.48% | Mar Total +2.07% | Apr Total -1.41% | May Total +0.43% | Jun Total +2.93% | Jul Total +0.51% | Aug Total -0.77% | Sep Total +2.20% | Oct Total -2.74% | Nov Total +4.94% | Dec Total -0.07% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.36% | +0.37% | -0.28% | -0.58% | +0.14% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.22% | +0.34% | +0.41% | -0.09% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.17% | -0.27% | +0.66% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.66% | -0.33% | -0.31% | +0.21% | +0.04% | -0.08% | -0.15% |
| 3 Avg +0.16% | +0.33% | +0.64% | -0.02% | -0.36% | 0.00% | +0.32% | +0.24% | +0.73% | -0.36% | +0.31% | -0.10% | +0.21% |
| 4 Avg +0.31% | +0.71% | +0.77% | +0.61% | -0.64% | +0.52% | +0.58% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.20% | +0.43% | -0.13% | +0.50% |
| 5 Avg +0.07% | -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.13% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.39% | -0.23% | -0.65% | +0.33% | +0.01% | +1.14% | -0.10% |
| 6 Avg +0.18% | +0.21% | -0.16% | -0.10% | +0.34% | +0.64% | +0.36% | -0.13% | +0.29% | -0.12% | -0.29% | +0.75% | +0.41% |
| 7 Avg -0.05% | -0.10% | -0.44% | +0.56% | -0.21% | -0.44% | +0.34% | +0.12% | -0.21% | -0.11% | -0.14% | +0.21% | -0.20% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | +0.25% | -0.44% | -0.20% | +0.24% | +0.13% | +0.39% | +0.14% | -0.13% | +0.13% | +0.37% | 0.00% | +0.50% |
| 9 Avg -0.24% | +0.01% | -0.16% | -0.76% | +0.90% | -1.10% | -0.10% | -0.14% | -1.20% | +0.27% | +0.01% | -0.54% | -0.09% |
| 10 Avg +0.10% | 0.00% | -0.45% | +0.53% | -0.19% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.41% | +0.40% | 0.00% | -0.55% | +0.96% | +0.19% |
| 11 Avg -0.11% | +0.16% | -0.19% | -0.81% | +0.11% | -0.25% | -0.62% | +0.16% | -0.06% | +0.48% | -0.30% | +0.13% | -0.08% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.27% | +0.69% | -0.80% | -0.21% | +0.09% | +0.39% | +0.32% | -0.27% | +0.15% | -0.28% | -0.63% | +0.43% |
| 13 Avg -0.11% | -0.35% | +0.17% | +0.19% | -0.36% | -0.27% | -0.22% | -0.02% | +0.22% | +0.01% | -0.04% | -0.31% | -0.29% |
| 14 Avg +0.00% | +0.12% | -0.22% | -0.21% | +0.54% | +0.25% | -0.23% | +0.37% | -0.37% | -0.18% | +0.15% | -0.08% | -0.10% |
| 15 Avg +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.47% | +0.14% | -0.41% | +0.56% | +0.13% | +0.28% | +0.33% | 0.00% | +0.16% | 0.00% | -0.55% |
| 16 Avg +0.13% | +0.32% | -0.04% | -0.37% | +0.04% | +0.59% | +0.28% | +0.09% | +0.25% | +0.19% | +0.20% | +0.33% | -0.28% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.39% | -0.10% | +1.07% | +0.20% | +0.06% | -0.17% | 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.16% | -0.95% | -0.25% | -0.20% |
| 18 Avg -0.05% | -0.28% | +0.61% | -0.29% | -0.80% | -0.13% | -0.06% | +0.57% | -0.05% | +0.06% | +0.26% | -0.15% | -0.31% |
| 19 Avg -0.25% | -0.31% | -0.02% | -0.26% | -1.03% | -0.34% | -0.16% | -0.80% | -0.10% | +0.28% | -0.22% | -0.05% | +0.01% |
| 20 Avg +0.07% | -0.20% | -0.30% | -0.77% | +1.11% | +0.27% | +0.16% | +0.26% | +0.02% | +0.36% | -0.07% | +0.09% | -0.15% |
| 21 Avg -0.13% | +0.13% | -0.78% | +0.08% | +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.09% | -0.18% | +0.09% | -0.54% | -1.34% | +0.92% | -0.23% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | -0.74% | +0.47% | -0.47% | +0.01% | -0.12% | -0.41% | +0.31% | -0.21% | +0.36% | +0.42% | +0.33% | +0.18% |
| 23 Avg +0.08% | +1.26% | -0.02% | -0.58% | +0.64% | -0.29% | +0.14% | -0.06% | -0.13% | -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.11% | +0.09% |
| 24 Avg +0.05% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +1.68% | -0.33% | +0.10% | -0.18% | -0.90% | +0.14% | -0.27% | -0.01% | +0.59% | -0.14% |
| 25 Avg +0.21% | +1.68% | -0.22% | +0.32% | -0.66% | +0.31% | -0.16% | +0.57% | +0.02% | +0.66% | -0.31% | +0.30% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.15% | -0.24% | -0.56% | +1.29% | -0.27% | +0.61% | +0.09% | +0.09% | -0.14% | +0.11% | +0.21% | +0.14% | +0.48% |
| 27 Avg -0.04% | -0.51% | -0.82% | -0.32% | +0.23% | +0.72% | -0.36% | +0.10% | +0.35% | +0.03% | -0.12% | -0.10% | +0.34% |
| 28 Avg 0.00% | +0.22% | -0.55% | +0.09% | +0.04% | -0.41% | +0.24% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.21% | -0.13% | +0.40% | -0.13% |
| 29 Avg +0.00% | +0.09% | - | +0.20% | +0.07% | -0.41% | +0.42% | +0.08% | +0.31% | -0.33% | -0.67% | +0.26% | +0.04% |
| 30 Avg +0.09% | +1.06% | - | +0.28% | -0.39% | +0.02% | +0.55% | -0.42% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.15% | +0.29% | -0.38% |
| 31 Avg -0.05% | +0.01% | - | +0.11% | - | -0.20% | - | -0.28% | -0.09% | - | +0.07% | - | +0.04% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
