Check historical price trends and seasonality for Humana (HUM).
Humana (HUM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.05%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -9.40%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
Humana exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern. The stock tends to decline from early January, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -6.7%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending through the summer and into the fall, culminating in significant gains. The stock price typically peaks in early December, reaching +9.2% by December 3, before experiencing a slight pullback but still closing the year strong, with an average gain of +6.0% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears in March, particularly around March 23, where the stock experiences an average decline of -6.7%. This pullback, likely driven by broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns, presents a chance to enter at a lower price point. Another potential, though less pronounced, dip occurs in April. These dips are typically followed by a sustained upward trend starting in late spring and continuing through the summer months.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for Humana could involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March, capitalizing on the average -6.7% decline around March 23. The stock then tends to perform strongly through the remainder of the year. Consider taking profits or reducing exposure in early December to capture gains from the seasonal rally.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 275.8000 | 2025-03-16 | 252.8800 | -22.9200 | -8.31 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 438.7900 | 2024-03-15 | 348.1500 | -90.6400 | -20.66 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 367.1300 | 2020-03-15 | 313.9100 | -53.2200 | -14.50 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 293.3000 | 2019-03-16 | 280.1400 | -13.1600 | -4.49 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 270.1700 | 2018-03-16 | 272.7300 | 2.5600 | 0.95 |
| Avg | 329.0380 | 293.5620 | -35.48 | -9.40 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -2.22% | Feb Total -0.74% | Mar Total +0.42% | Apr Total +3.72% | May Total +0.72% | Jun Total +1.67% | Jul Total +1.47% | Aug Total +3.68% | Sep Total -3.73% | Oct Total +3.67% | Nov Total +2.91% | Dec Total -2.46% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.16% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.51% | -0.17% | -0.26% | +0.11% | +0.28% | -0.23% | 0.00% | -1.65% | -0.77% | +0.23% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | +0.11% | -0.30% | +0.98% | -1.04% | -0.05% | +0.64% | -0.24% | +1.18% | +0.77% | -0.80% | +0.18% | -0.29% |
| 3 Avg +0.16% | -0.63% | +0.27% | -0.83% | +0.63% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.39% | +0.73% | +0.05% | +0.99% | +0.29% | +0.74% |
| 4 Avg +0.18% | +0.40% | +0.70% | +1.16% | -0.05% | +0.77% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.26% | -0.20% | -0.16% | +0.38% | -0.55% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.80% | -0.04% | +0.40% | -0.08% | -0.26% | +0.59% | +0.30% | -0.12% | +0.43% | -0.62% | +0.05% |
| 6 Avg +0.00% | -1.14% | -0.25% | -0.10% | +1.25% | -0.62% | -0.16% | +0.25% | +0.39% | -0.48% | +0.54% | +1.00% | -0.65% |
| 7 Avg -0.06% | +0.03% | -0.53% | -0.40% | -0.41% | -0.19% | -0.27% | -1.37% | +0.34% | +0.20% | +0.53% | +1.81% | -0.47% |
| 8 Avg +0.12% | -0.34% | -0.22% | -0.45% | +1.43% | +0.08% | +0.36% | -0.31% | +0.56% | -0.09% | +0.55% | -0.71% | +0.52% |
| 9 Avg -0.09% | -0.25% | +0.86% | -0.49% | +0.69% | -0.34% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.29% | -1.52% | -0.14% | +0.29% | -0.41% |
| 10 Avg +0.03% | +0.48% | -0.35% | -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.78% | -0.27% | +0.35% | +0.05% | -0.84% | -0.12% | -0.11% | +0.28% |
| 11 Avg -0.25% | +0.53% | -0.70% | -0.28% | -0.46% | -0.38% | -0.60% | +0.39% | -0.35% | -0.25% | +0.07% | -0.66% | -0.32% |
| 12 Avg -0.04% | -0.31% | +0.83% | -1.15% | -0.30% | -0.11% | +0.49% | +0.21% | +0.50% | -0.40% | -0.41% | -0.05% | +0.18% |
| 13 Avg +0.20% | -0.18% | +0.04% | +1.31% | +0.55% | -1.09% | +0.19% | +0.26% | +0.90% | +0.02% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.50% |
| 14 Avg -0.22% | -0.31% | -0.23% | +0.10% | -0.37% | +0.51% | -1.39% | +0.51% | -0.02% | -0.18% | +0.13% | -0.28% | -1.14% |
| 15 Avg +0.22% | +0.05% | +0.30% | +0.14% | +0.56% | +0.53% | +0.75% | -0.11% | -0.28% | +0.60% | +0.52% | -0.44% | +0.02% |
| 16 Avg +0.10% | +0.20% | +0.86% | -1.14% | +0.09% | +0.75% | -0.39% | +0.52% | +0.11% | -0.21% | +0.82% | +0.49% | -0.87% |
| 17 Avg +0.00% | +0.60% | -0.04% | +0.47% | -0.58% | +0.18% | +0.47% | +0.04% | -0.32% | -0.30% | +1.05% | -0.67% | -0.88% |
| 18 Avg -0.15% | -0.62% | -0.05% | -0.49% | +0.24% | -0.55% | -0.17% | -0.30% | -0.11% | +0.14% | +0.56% | -0.01% | -0.44% |
| 19 Avg -0.11% | -0.25% | +0.15% | +0.54% | +0.07% | +0.47% | -0.13% | -0.24% | +0.33% | -0.70% | -0.07% | -0.75% | -0.77% |
| 20 Avg +0.05% | +0.13% | +0.08% | -1.56% | +0.01% | +0.44% | +0.23% | -0.14% | -0.02% | +0.12% | +0.94% | +0.34% | +0.01% |
| 21 Avg +0.13% | -0.01% | -0.76% | -0.18% | -1.17% | +0.21% | +1.38% | +1.31% | +0.53% | -0.30% | +0.41% | +0.32% | -0.13% |
| 22 Avg +0.18% | +0.21% | +0.60% | -0.43% | +0.61% | -0.56% | -0.01% | +0.76% | -0.13% | +0.09% | -0.02% | +0.66% | +0.33% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | +0.42% | -0.05% | -1.39% | +0.58% | -0.43% | -0.13% | +0.31% | -0.24% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.46% | +0.99% |
| 24 Avg +0.03% | -0.14% | -0.39% | +1.67% | +0.13% | +0.20% | -0.26% | -0.85% | -0.24% | +0.10% | -0.12% | +0.19% | +0.04% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | -1.36% | +0.10% | +1.44% | +0.10% | +0.23% | -0.14% | +0.26% | -0.37% | -0.34% | +0.55% | +0.65% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.10% | +0.05% | -0.21% | +1.39% | 0.00% | +0.07% | -0.07% | +0.12% | -0.19% | -0.29% | -0.11% | +0.05% | +0.42% |
| 27 Avg -0.05% | -0.95% | -0.45% | -0.32% | +0.81% | +0.31% | +0.23% | -0.52% | -0.43% | +0.29% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.24% |
| 28 Avg +0.06% | +0.68% | -0.16% | -0.69% | +0.06% | -0.30% | +0.71% | -0.76% | +0.30% | +0.22% | -0.09% | +0.52% | +0.18% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | - | +0.48% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.19% | +0.37% | -0.18% | -0.49% | -0.23% | -0.13% |
| 30 Avg +0.29% | -0.02% | - | +0.54% | -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.25% | +1.55% | 0.00% | +0.12% | +0.31% | +0.55% | -0.18% |
| 31 Avg -0.22% | +0.45% | - | -0.36% | - | 0.00% | - | -1.19% | -0.02% | - | -0.49% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
