Check historical price trends and seasonality for Copper Futures (COMEX) (HG=F).
Copper Futures (COMEX) (HG=F) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.92%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 30 days) is +7.98%.
6 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.
1) Overview:
Copper futures tend to exhibit a strong bullish trend throughout the year, starting with steady gains in January and February, accelerating into March. The bullish momentum continues through April, reaching a peak around April 27 at +7.4%. After a slight pullback, the price consolidates through the summer before resuming its upward trajectory in the fall, culminating in a significant surge in December, with gains reaching +13.3% by December 27.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While the overall trend is bullish, potential buying opportunities arise during periods of consolidation or minor pullbacks. One such period appears in early April, specifically around April 4, where the average gain dips to +3.1%. Another potential dip occurs in early August, bottoming out around August 7 at +1.3%, before the price begins to recover. These pullbacks could be viewed as opportunities to enter long positions before the resumption of the upward trend.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a bullish bias for copper futures, particularly from late summer through the end of the year. A strategic approach would involve considering long positions during the dips in early April and early August. Given the significant gains observed in December, especially around December 27, traders might consider holding positions through the end of the year to capitalize on this seasonal strength.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-04 | 4.3425 | 2025-03-05 | 4.7665 | 0.4240 | 9.76 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-04 | 4.4835 | 2022-03-05 | 4.9290 | 0.4455 | 9.94 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-04 | 3.5660 | 2021-03-05 | 4.0870 | 0.5210 | 14.61 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-04 | 2.5475 | 2020-03-04 | 2.5930 | 0.0455 | 1.79 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-04 | 2.7950 | 2019-03-05 | 2.9360 | 0.1410 | 5.04 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-04 | 2.1280 | 2016-03-04 | 2.2710 | 0.1430 | 6.72 |
| Avg | 3.3104 | 3.5971 | 0.29 | 7.98 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.64% | Feb Total +2.52% | Mar Total +0.67% | Apr Total +1.16% | May Total -1.43% | Jun Total +0.39% | Jul Total -0.04% | Aug Total -1.02% | Sep Total +1.37% | Oct Total +1.07% | Nov Total +4.27% | Dec Total +2.07% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.31% | +0.74% | -0.38% | -0.27% | +0.46% | -0.26% | -0.81% | -0.46% | -0.25% | +1.00% | +0.70% |
| 2 Avg +0.12% | +0.03% | -0.21% | +0.44% | +0.27% | -0.65% | +0.83% | +0.21% | -0.64% | +0.19% | +0.54% | +0.40% | +0.01% |
| 3 Avg -0.07% | -0.58% | -0.03% | +0.26% | -0.31% | -0.06% | -0.10% | +0.18% | +0.06% | -0.44% | +0.11% | -0.26% | +0.38% |
| 4 Avg +0.02% | +0.46% | +0.50% | +0.10% | -1.11% | -0.05% | +0.15% | -0.15% | -0.29% | +0.13% | -0.03% | +0.82% | -0.22% |
| 5 Avg +0.15% | +0.13% | +0.47% | +0.81% | +0.82% | +0.02% | +0.59% | -1.01% | -0.25% | +0.37% | +0.02% | +0.17% | -0.29% |
| 6 Avg +0.06% | +0.35% | +0.20% | -0.01% | -0.09% | +0.52% | +0.20% | -0.18% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.28% | -0.40% | +0.28% |
| 7 Avg -0.16% | -0.01% | -0.34% | -0.95% | -0.83% | +0.02% | -0.80% | +0.60% | -0.48% | -0.30% | +0.50% | +0.40% | +0.23% |
| 8 Avg +0.13% | +0.23% | -0.10% | -0.53% | +0.28% | -0.27% | +0.63% | +1.04% | +0.43% | -0.35% | -0.16% | +0.11% | +0.19% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | +0.19% | +0.12% | -0.50% | +0.07% | -0.24% | +0.09% | -0.24% | -0.10% | +0.48% | +0.25% | +0.18% | +0.08% |
| 10 Avg +0.28% | +0.38% | +0.69% | +0.16% | +0.24% | -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.71% | +0.46% | +0.24% | -0.12% | +0.48% | +0.03% |
| 11 Avg +0.07% | -0.08% | -0.60% | +0.53% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -0.48% | -0.65% | +0.17% | +0.60% | +0.75% | +0.20% | +0.41% |
| 12 Avg +0.10% | +0.53% | +0.68% | +0.12% | +0.35% | -0.48% | -0.08% | +0.46% | +0.08% | +0.44% | -0.29% | -0.07% | -0.53% |
| 13 Avg +0.31% | +0.28% | +0.61% | +0.70% | +0.55% | +0.31% | -0.11% | +0.53% | -0.19% | -0.14% | +0.73% | +0.34% | +0.10% |
| 14 Avg -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.19% | -0.53% | +0.58% | +0.04% | -0.30% | -0.50% | -0.20% | 0.00% | -0.26% | -0.52% | +0.38% |
| 15 Avg -0.07% | -0.23% | +0.21% | -0.20% | +0.23% | +0.10% | -0.48% | -0.03% | -0.44% | +0.21% | +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.28% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | +0.28% | +0.69% | -0.18% | -0.12% | -0.34% | -0.22% | -0.32% | +0.38% | -0.38% | +0.21% | -0.10% | +0.23% |
| 17 Avg -0.06% | -0.56% | -0.11% | +0.51% | +0.52% | +0.82% | -0.65% | -0.22% | -0.25% | -0.20% | -0.31% | -0.41% | +0.09% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | +0.14% | +0.05% | -0.53% | +0.35% | -0.16% | +0.22% | +0.24% | +0.25% | +0.40% | -0.01% | -0.16% | -0.25% |
| 19 Avg +0.18% | +0.52% | +0.69% | +0.21% | +0.30% | +0.39% | -0.07% | -0.65% | +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.53% | +0.13% |
| 20 Avg +0.16% | +0.31% | +0.11% | -0.16% | -0.28% | +0.12% | +0.25% | +0.55% | +0.13% | -0.19% | +0.52% | +0.35% | +0.23% |
| 21 Avg +0.01% | -0.17% | +0.43% | -0.03% | -0.12% | -0.08% | +0.13% | +0.15% | +0.20% | -0.30% | -0.17% | +0.18% | -0.04% |
| 22 Avg -0.05% | -0.45% | +0.53% | -0.28% | +0.27% | -0.75% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.28% | +0.60% | -0.18% | +0.09% | -0.27% |
| 23 Avg -0.07% | -0.17% | -0.79% | -0.40% | -0.02% | +0.12% | -0.19% | +0.17% | +0.30% | -0.54% | +0.28% | +0.17% | +0.19% |
| 24 Avg +0.12% | +0.35% | -0.17% | +0.03% | +0.24% | -0.10% | -0.19% | +0.13% | +0.03% | +0.65% | +0.08% | +0.28% | +0.17% |
| 25 Avg +0.06% | +0.25% | -0.27% | +0.17% | -0.45% | +0.09% | -0.23% | +0.50% | +0.21% | -0.19% | +0.12% | +0.41% | +0.14% |
| 26 Avg +0.18% | +0.14% | -0.31% | +0.08% | +0.48% | +0.24% | +0.20% | +0.52% | +0.11% | -0.06% | +0.25% | -0.26% | +0.77% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.80% | +0.18% | -0.14% | +0.50% | +0.10% | +0.09% | -0.22% | +0.18% | -0.18% | -0.06% | -0.13% | +0.40% |
| 28 Avg +0.03% | -0.49% | -0.22% | +0.42% | -0.44% | +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.03% | +0.24% | +0.65% | -0.32% | +0.39% | -0.07% |
| 29 Avg -0.02% | +0.26% | - | +0.10% | 0.00% | -0.23% | +0.03% | +0.51% | -0.01% | +0.32% | +0.04% | -0.34% | -0.90% |
| 30 Avg -0.20% | 0.00% | - | -0.43% | -0.82% | -0.34% | +0.21% | -0.32% | -0.39% | -0.25% | -0.55% | +0.40% | +0.32% |
| 31 Avg -0.36% | +0.37% | - | +0.18% | - | -0.30% | - | -1.79% | -0.06% | - | -0.38% | - | -0.55% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
