Greggs plc (GRG.L) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Greggs plc (GRG.L).

View:

Greggs plc (GRG.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.30%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is -3.75%.

1 wins 6 losses with a win rate of 14.29%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Greggs plc (GRG.L) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Greggs plc (GRG.L) exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early January, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -4.7%. A strong bullish phase then emerges, culminating in substantial gains towards the end of the year, particularly around December 30 and December 31, showing average increases of +10.7% and +10.2% respectively.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most pronounced dip opportunity appears in March, with the lowest point around March 23, presenting a significant pullback of -4.7%. Another pullback period occurs between late September and early October, leading to a buying opportunity around October. These pullbacks could be attributed to market corrections or sector-specific news, but historically, the stock rebounds strongly afterward, especially leading into the end-of-year holiday season.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy could involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March, capitalizing on the -4.7% dip around March 23. Another entry point could be in October. The goal would be to hold through the year-end rally, particularly targeting the gains observed around December 30 and December 31, before considering profit-taking.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 2,082.0000 2025-03-09 1,867.0000 -215.0000 -10.33
2023 2023-03-03 2,716.0000 2023-03-09 2,712.0000 -4.0000 -0.15
2022 2022-03-03 2,437.0000 2022-03-09 2,303.0000 -134.0000 -5.50
2021 2021-03-03 2,154.0000 2021-03-09 2,138.0000 -16.0000 -0.74
2020 2020-03-03 2,166.0000 2020-03-09 2,108.0000 -58.0000 -2.68
2017 2017-03-03 999.0000 2017-03-09 1,002.0000 3.0000 0.30
2016 2016-03-03 1,152.0000 2016-03-09 1,070.0000 -82.0000 -7.12
Avg 1,958.0000 1,885.7143 -72.29 -3.75
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total -2.09% Feb Total -0.35% Mar Total -0.86% Apr Total +1.37% May Total +3.72% Jun Total -6.16% Jul Total +0.47% Aug Total +1.45% Sep Total -2.72% Oct Total +0.85% Nov Total +7.60% Dec Total +4.94%
1 Avg +0.43% 0.00% +0.41% +2.48% +0.32% -0.76% +0.31% +1.07% -0.16% +0.04% -0.74% +0.61% +1.55%
2 Avg -0.12% +0.37% +0.57% -0.37% -0.63% -0.39% +0.11% -1.21% -0.48% +0.15% +0.06% +0.68% -0.28%
3 Avg +0.09% +0.39% -0.40% -0.19% +0.06% +0.49% +0.35% +0.75% -0.25% -0.29% +0.30% -0.08% +0.01%
4 Avg -0.14% +0.02% -0.13% -1.30% -0.38% -1.34% -0.30% +0.01% +1.14% +0.04% +0.34% +0.22% +0.04%
5 Avg +0.00% -0.05% -0.28% -0.66% -0.22% +0.83% -0.33% -0.27% -0.67% -0.26% +0.85% +0.60% +0.51%
6 Avg +0.08% -0.12% -0.11% +0.28% +0.35% -0.39% +0.04% -0.80% +0.79% +0.06% +0.03% +0.07% +0.70%
7 Avg 0.00% -0.08% -0.12% -0.01% +0.61% +0.39% -0.73% +0.71% +0.77% +0.07% -1.16% -0.07% -0.44%
8 Avg -0.04% -0.49% -0.29% -0.72% +0.82% +0.23% -0.28% +0.24% +0.85% +0.15% +0.14% -0.80% -0.30%
9 Avg -0.21% -0.94% +0.18% -0.16% -0.72% -1.55% -0.94% -0.47% +0.10% -0.58% +0.48% +1.91% +0.20%
10 Avg +0.08% -0.51% -0.32% -0.43% +0.45% +0.70% -0.92% +0.53% +0.91% -0.32% +0.14% +1.06% -0.36%
11 Avg +0.06% -0.63% -0.21% +0.18% -0.17% -0.16% -0.26% -0.13% +0.23% +0.09% +0.09% +1.76% -0.06%
12 Avg -0.18% -1.43% +0.48% -0.73% -0.04% -0.46% -0.14% +0.42% -0.31% +0.35% +0.40% -0.19% -0.54%
13 Avg -0.10% -0.58% +0.30% -1.14% +0.60% +0.40% -0.72% -0.21% -0.22% +0.02% -0.11% -0.03% +0.54%
14 Avg +0.10% +0.36% +0.09% +0.28% +0.13% +1.07% -0.17% -0.83% -0.22% +0.18% -0.67% +0.54% +0.38%
15 Avg +0.30% +0.13% +1.43% -0.06% +0.49% +0.45% -0.05% +0.60% +0.01% +0.01% +0.79% -0.39% +0.13%
16 Avg +0.09% +0.85% -0.06% -0.07% -0.42% +0.26% +0.30% -0.37% -0.18% -0.02% +0.27% +0.01% +0.52%
17 Avg -0.15% -0.13% +0.07% -1.16% -0.13% +0.10% +0.65% 0.00% -1.02% -0.19% +0.45% -0.19% -0.20%
18 Avg +0.08% +0.38% -0.13% 0.00% +0.16% +0.96% -0.15% +0.40% -0.22% -0.83% -0.13% +0.40% +0.14%
19 Avg +0.10% +0.37% +0.97% -0.20% -0.15% +0.09% -0.33% +0.02% +0.22% -0.11% +0.20% -0.15% +0.23%
20 Avg +0.10% -0.37% -0.04% +0.27% -0.34% +1.77% +0.72% +0.28% -0.61% -0.18% -0.18% -0.35% +0.24%
21 Avg 0.00% 0.00% -0.26% -0.18% +0.45% +0.11% -0.67% +0.81% +0.26% -0.79% +0.02% -0.07% +0.29%
22 Avg -0.01% -0.08% +0.65% +0.09% -0.05% -1.07% -0.32% -0.19% +0.21% -0.38% +0.24% +0.52% +0.20%
23 Avg -0.12% +0.24% -0.39% -0.70% -0.38% -0.33% -0.31% -0.23% -0.65% +0.43% +0.12% +0.15% +0.64%
24 Avg -0.01% -0.29% -0.03% +0.71% +0.14% +0.28% -0.94% -0.39% -0.10% -0.56% -0.01% +0.44% +0.64%
25 Avg +0.00% -0.25% -0.30% +0.76% -0.21% +0.36% -0.43% -0.08% 0.00% -0.14% +0.13% +0.20% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.24% +0.57% -0.48% +0.74% -0.15% +0.70% -0.02% +0.36% -0.11% +0.46% +0.54% +0.21% 0.00%
27 Avg +0.14% +0.56% -0.53% +0.10% +0.21% +0.28% -0.09% +0.63% +0.04% -0.15% -0.38% +1.12% -0.12%
28 Avg +0.02% -0.01% -1.44% +0.65% +0.17% +0.56% +0.68% -0.93% +0.23% +0.39% -0.34% +0.08% +0.19%
29 Avg -0.23% -0.50% - +0.92% +0.48% -0.60% -0.87% -0.37% +0.05% -1.07% -0.60% -0.30% +0.37%
30 Avg +0.08% +0.22% - +0.31% -0.12% +0.82% -0.35% -0.88% +0.54% +0.73% -0.10% -0.37% +0.07%
31 Avg -0.01% -0.12% - -0.55% - -0.08% - +1.03% +0.31% - -0.31% - -0.33%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses